Kirby Jackson

I think Tampa can win it even though Brady is declining. I’m not sure that they will be good for long though. They have a run or 2 in them. The Saints just can’t seem to get it done in the playoffs at this point. Obviously they’ve been unlucky over the last 3 years but their window is closing. This is their last chance IMO. Their roster is loaded and they improved in a few places (specifically pass catchers). If they stay healthy they will have a chance but they better have home field to do that. Agree, knew that I was forgetting someone. Arizona is the team on the rise.

I don’t necessarily either but in the spirit of the exercise they can. They should host a playoff game (at least 1). They have a ton of young(ish) talent. The NFC is pretty wide open IMO. The Saints and 49ers appear to be the best teams on paper. The Packers (who I think are overrated), the Seahawks, Eagles and Cowboys are the next tier. All of those teams are trending down, long-term, except the Cowboys and 49ers (maybe). The path is there.

People just hate the Cowboys but it’s plausible to see how they COULD be great for a while. That doesn’t mean that they will be but if you objectively look at that roster it is great. McCarthy isn’t elite IMO but is a big step up from Garrett. They have that scrub division too. This exercise isn’t declaring someone the next dynasty. It is just showing teams that have a case and why. Dallas has a case.

Yeah, he’s wrong. The Bills have the 5th hardest schedule in the NFL. I guess that the flip side of it is that the other 3 division teams are 1,2 & 3. So while the Bills have a very difficult schedule, it doesn’t in any way hinder their ability to win the division and host a playoff game. It can cause problems if we end up in a wild card battle. https://www.sportingnews.com/us/nfl/news/nfl-strength-of-schedule-2020-hardest-easiest/k6tyxtfog6uh14hb6vh59icqe

I’m amazed that people are so down on Dallas. They have a ton of talent, a great draft, WAY better coaching and play in the worst division in the league. It’s very possible that they take a step. I would feel way worse about the Eagles who have questions everywhere (including QB). If that group were the ones wearing Cowboys jerseys we’d think way less of them.

I’d rather move the Bills to 9 and get that same -120 or better. I just don’t like betting anything beyond about -135. It just isn’t great value. By the same token I’ll be in on a coin flip situation if it hits +125. Anything less than that and I’ll sit it out.

They’ll win 3 games in the division (at minimum), 5 games vs. the NFC East and AFC South (minimum), and sweep the Jets and Raiders. That’s 10. Their schedule is like ours last year. They are just going to play a lot of teams that they are better than.

I like them to win 9 games this year. They loaded up on the OL and got rid of Freddie Kitchens. He was Rich Kotite bad. In addition, they get the NFC East and the AFC South. The Browns are a good bet this year to go over. They went from overrated to underrated.

I had it last year (although I sweated it out). If you are giving me +180 on under 8.5 I’m giving you my money to hold for a few months :). That’s great value.

This feels fair. I HATE over 8.5 at -165. I would rather move the number to 9 or even 9.5 and take my chances if I’m betting the Bills. The Colts at +180 though feels like good value at under 8.5. I think that they win 9+ games but they could easily win 7 or 8. I disagree on Arizona. I’m betting them over. Over for the Browns too.

Clickbait (lol)

The weird thing about this poll is there is 1 position where the starter actually matters and it isn’t listed. That’s RT. While DE and RB will be splitting reps the OL will most likely pick someone and go with it. I believe that Cody Ford has the inside track but Williams and Nsekhe will have a shot.

I’m good with the proposed changes here. I like the external candidate portion. I think that eliminates some box checking. The coordinator piece is a nice addition as well. This isn’t the silver bullet but I’d venture to say that more minorities will get jobs from this.

This is about what I expected. Although it sucks to miss games I’ll just be happy that games exist.

I may get roasted for this but he was the 4th best player on those Super Bowl teams (ahead of Kelly). It was Bruce, (space), (space), Thurman, Reed, Bennett. His career is absolutely WOF worthy but I 100% get why he isn’t up there.

Hopefully this is a learning experience for Oliver. Often times when these things happen they can either be the turning point that forces someone to grow up or the beginning of a pattern. I’m hoping that this is the former.

And Mort weighs in:

I’m not sure if that was before or after but hIs rankings didn’t change much. Maybe he had a chance to go up with a fast 40 but he pretty much stayed the same running slow. He didn’t go up or down. He was the physical, bruiser that teams thought. He just wasn’t the physical, bruiser that could run away from guys in the open field. Teams probably expected high 4.5’s and got mid 4.6’s. It wasn’t enough to move him too much. Now if he played on the edge as a finesse back the 4.65 would have hurt him. He doesn’t though so he ended up where he was. In order of “Bills draft picks going later than expected” he definitely isn’t in the top 2 and maybe not the top 3 depending on where you thought Hodgins would go. Fromm went about a round and a half later than expected and Epenesa a full round after. Moss was a 3rd rounder by most experts.

Yeah but Dobbins & Greenard > Epenesa & Moss IMO. Everyone has their guys though. I’m not trying to MMQB it. I might be right and might be wrong. I hope that they are both great. I think that they both have pretty high floors. As a contending team, I get the guys that they went with. Both of them should contribute now.

Candidly he wasn’t my favorite (and Dillon really wasn’t either). I wanted Dobbins in the 2nd as it played out. I was always, and still am, of the belief that the Bills need more home run hitters. I get that they wanted a power guy though and Moss fits that perfectly.

Agree

He wasn’t ahead of them pre-40 either though. That was kind of my point. He didn’t rise or fall (much) because of his time. He is a bruising power back. If he was sub 4.4 he’d be Peterson. I do agree with Dillon though. I’m a little surprised that he went before Moss. I think Henry’s strong end to last season (and all of last season) really helped Dillon. Their numbers were pretty similar across the board.

I didn’t see many people that had him above CEH, Swift, Dobbins, Taylor, or Akers. He went after those guys and doubt he would have passed them. He may have went earlier than 86 but he probably wasn’t going in the top 60-65 IMO.

I wouldn’t say that he dropped like a rock. He was widely considered to be a 3rd rounder and was going to be the 6th or 7th RB drafted depending on where teams stood on Dillon. He was technically 9th but 8th of you don’t consider Gibson an RB (which I don’t). He went 86 which is in line with where most experts seemed to have him. https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft/prospect-rankings/ I think Kiper was a little higher on him but in general that’s about where he was expected to go.