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Everything posted by Fadingpain
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Odds of 17 Year Playoff Drought 1 in @ 6 million
Fadingpain replied to Fadingpain's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Wrong on all counts. Why are you raising TWO to the 17th power for this calculation? It's .5 to the 17th power. -
2013: Russ Brandon bringing "Moneyball" to Bills
Fadingpain replied to Big Blitz's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Your description of the analytics guy would describe like half of the users on this site I think! This is just something to do while you pretend to work in your cubicle for many, no doubt. -
Odds of 17 Year Playoff Drought 1 in @ 6 million
Fadingpain replied to Fadingpain's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Why? -
Odds of 17 Year Playoff Drought 1 in @ 6 million
Fadingpain replied to Fadingpain's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
To help explain why 1 in 6 million is not wrong, consider a much more simple example. What are the odds of flipping a coin and getting heads 17 times a row? The probability of getting heads 1 time is .5. That is because there is only 1 way to flip heads, but 2 possible outcomes. 1/2 = .5 To calculate the odds of flipping a heads 17 times in a row, you must multiply .5 x .5 x.5 x .5 (continuing until you have multiplied 17 .5s together). That yields a decimal of .0000076, rounding to keep it somewhat simple and not end up with too many decimal places. Expressing that decimal as a fraction in reduced terms gives you 19/25,000,000. So the odds of flipping a heads 17 times in a row are @ 19 in 25 million. -
2013: Russ Brandon bringing "Moneyball" to Bills
Fadingpain replied to Big Blitz's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Russ is the kind of guy who will try to convince you that white is black if he can benefit from it in any way. He is fantastically full of ****. Every organization has guys like this. -
Tyrod omitted from season-ending hype video
Fadingpain replied to bobobonators's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
If more people around here realized we are the Cleveland Browns, metaphorically speaking, this would be a more peaceful, civil place. -
Odds of 17 Year Playoff Drought 1 in @ 6 million
Fadingpain replied to Fadingpain's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The number isn't "random." You aren't one of the 42% of Americans who believes in creationism, are you? -
ORCHARD PARK, N.Y. -- One in 6 million. Well, one in approximately 6 million. That was the probability, according to ESPN Stats & Information, that the Buffalo Bills would miss the playoffs from the 2000 through 2016 seasons. For mathematical purposes, that calculation assumes each team had an equal chance of qualifying for the postseason each year. The Bills, with their dramatic, 34-31 overtime loss Saturday to the Miami Dolphins, beat the long odds against their run of futility and extended their postseason drought to 17 seasons. Already the longest drought among North America's four major professional sports leagues, it is now tied for the fifth-longest postseason drought in NFL history -- and already stands as the only drought that took place entirely after the 1970 AFL-NFL merger. https://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:Y6YOQfIs7WQJ:https://www.espn.com/blog/buffalo-bills/post/_/id/27027/bills-playoff-drought-now-17-seasons-beats-one-in-six-million-odds+&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us
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Sully: Bills' bozos leave Lynn to twist on his own
Fadingpain replied to Rico's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
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MMQB: Rex told team playoffs were out of reach on 12/11
Fadingpain replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
That may well be true. Different man, different attitudes/behaviors, different outcomes. My position is that Lynn is almost certainly not the most qualified man to be the HC of this team next year. Yet he will be hired regardless for various reasons already stated. His hiring will amount to a cynical move on the part of Whaley, almost identical to Regier's hiring of Ron Rolston, and when Pegula finally catches on (he's always late with these things), Whaley will be gone along with Lynn. And around the Merry Go Round goes. It would be so much easier/better/faster to get to that next phase NOW instead of 2 years from now or less. As I've said many times, we are all paying the price for Pegula coming up to speed with this stuff. -
Whaley to select Lynn as HC. Lynn not ready to be HC. HC will be fired, with Whaley, in 1 or 1+ seasons. Bills fans will prepare 20th Year Playoff Drought Posters as part of charitable fundraising campaign for Hunter's Hope.
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MMQB: Rex told team playoffs were out of reach on 12/11
Fadingpain replied to YoloinOhio's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Watch! They are going to hire Lynn as HC. It will be akin to Darcy hiring Ron Rolston, and it will be Whaley's ticket out of town. "All of this only worked to deepen the divide between coaches and the personnel staff. So the result is GM Doug Whaley surviving, and Ryan going; the fact that Whaley is leading the search is being perceived in the building as no mistake. His charge is not just to find a good coach, but one he can work with to build a more structurally sound football operation. And that’s why the feeling is that it’s Anthony Lynn’s job to lose. If the burden for Whaley is to find someone he can work with efficiently, it’s a lot safer to go with someone you know rather than someone you don’t." -
12-28: Media Day - Anthony Lynn's Presser as HC
Fadingpain replied to 26CornerBlitz's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Save the keystrokes! The lack of a PC announcing the firing of the HC by someone other than the guy who started the season as the running backs coach is a major gaffe on the part of the Bills and it serves to bolster national opinion that this franchise is what it has been for most of its existence: a joke. A handful of die hard Kool Aid drinkers on this board will never see that, but they don't see a whole lot anyway. -
Sully: Bills' bozos leave Lynn to twist on his own
Fadingpain replied to Rico's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
These people who love to attack Sully or the News in general don't even read the articles. "They let Lynn twist in the wind." "I felt sorry for Lynn...they put him in an untenable position." "Lynn will probably get his chance. I wish him luck." All quotes from Sullivan in the piece. Yeah, "hunting season" has already begun on Lynn. No ****? In other breaking news, the sky is blue. -
Sully: Bills' bozos leave Lynn to twist on his own
Fadingpain replied to Rico's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Whaley isn't bright enough to be combative. Well, not effectively anyway. -
Sully: Bills' bozos leave Lynn to twist on his own
Fadingpain replied to Rico's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Sully is dead on. -
12-28: Media Day - Anthony Lynn's Presser as HC
Fadingpain replied to 26CornerBlitz's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Fairly obvious Lynn wasn't prepped by anyone before the PC and he is not smart enough to get by on his own without said prep. Makes everyone look bad, but that's nothing new around these parts. -
The fix is in-- Lynn will be the new head coach
Fadingpain replied to jahnyc's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Vic Carucci agrees with you. http://buffalonews.com/2016/12/28/vic-caruccis-bills-wake-call-dont-expect-thorough-search/ -
Bills are a joke of an organization
Fadingpain replied to Jerry Jabber's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
That's what Cubs fans were saying after the 1925 season. Turns out they weren't due for another 91 years or so.