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snafu

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Everything posted by snafu

  1. Yep. And it feels like the organization is happy to lay on the dead rock bottom like they're spending a breezy summer day in a hammock.
  2. What a nightmare. Best of luck to you and all your neighbors!
  3. So this is the straw that broke your particular camel's back?
  4. I switched over to ABC and they were interviewing JJ Watt!
  5. Why can’t you find your own post? it is easy to do, just go to your own profile and search your own content. From what I recall, the bolded part above is your weak explanation of douchery the day after the original post that Hedge cited.
  6. Thats a lot of wiping. I guess that is what one should expect from a schittt show.
  7. Especially when there are no tickets to sell. I’m close to hooking up a sling box to my brother in law’s tv in WNY. I think that might work pretty well.
  8. You mean like a Dolphins home game? I mentioned it in another thread. The Belmont without 100,000 people was an absolute dud. Some noise is better than no noise.
  9. It was easy to kick the sports radio habit. I barely want to hear what those jokers think about sports. Starting in March they were stuck talking about anything BUT sports. No thanks.
  10. Wrong. The original post isn’t about Covid-19. It is about a politician’s public statements which incite fear. My post was a simple way of pointing out that this is in no way limited to the current President. Not my points at all.
  11. Remember when all those politicians and pundits said Trump was going to start a nuclear conflict with NKorea? Remember when we were going to war in Syria? Remember how killing Soliemani was going to start a war with Iran?
  12. Well I believe that the City is slow-rolling it to see how “back to school” goes. If there’s no spike then I’m of the opinion that we will see 50%. Then the next big step is what they do when the weather turns cold and outdoor seating becomes impossible. I’ll check out the link you posted but it’s my impression that it is a loser argument to force the City to relax restrictions quicker than they want to (whether I agree with that or not).
  13. Weird feel this year for sure. I haven’t watched ANY sports except the Belmont Stakes, and without the crowd in attendance, that was like watching any random Wednesday Race #8. I’m usually a big hockey fan and couldn’t get into the playoffs. I like to have a random baseball game on the radio or playing low on the TV. Not this year. Today, I’m psyched for football to get started. I am hoping it reignites my interest in all the sports I love. ...and I expect the first two weeks of the season to contain a lot of ugly football. That usually happens even when there’s a full slate of preseason games. A lot of good teams, on paper, screw themselves by playing poorly in the first few weeks.
  14. City indoor dining will start with restrictions on September 30. Here is an email I received from the City: Dear small business partner, With COVID-19 positivity rates hovering at or below 1% for over a month, we are excited to announce that restaurants will be able to offer limited indoor dining beginning on September 30th! This is a huge win for our small business community, and we are so grateful to all New Yorkers for the hard work that went into keeping COVID-19 rates so low. Early Guidance for Indoor Dining Restaurants will be allowed to reopen for indoor dining beginning on September 30th. They will be subject to rigorous inspection protocols and strict occupancy limits. Some requirements for restaurants include: Serve customers at a maximum of 25% capacity Conduct temperature checks at every front door Collect Test & Trace data from at least one customer at each table Close bar tops for seating Offer COVID-19 protections like PPE for employees Space tables six feet apart If New York City hits 2% in COVID-19 positivity rates, the City will immediately reassess. Once indoor dining begins, the public will be able to call 833-208-4160 to make a report or text VIOLATION to 855-904-5036. Please continue to watch for emails from us as more information will be shared in the coming weeks leading up to September 30th.
  15. From your keyboard to God’s ears! I expect a bit of sloppiness and a tidy win.
  16. Nice phrasing in that article: ”she began using the pink colored device inside the business.”
  17. Wait, you’re sh***ing on peace in the Middle East? WTF?
  18. I don’t think any one of the factors is weighted. If 5 and 9 are already False then those, alone, can’t sink him. According to Lichtman.
  19. Allan Lichtman is a History professor at American University. I heard an interview with him about a month ago regarding his 13 “keys” to determining who will be the winner of the Presidential Election this year. He’s “correctly” predicted all Presidential Elections since Carter or Reagan (not sure which). He formulated the “keys” with a geologist who was making studies on how to predict earthquakes. In the interview, he said that prior to Covid-19 and the economic downturn, he had Trump winning. Those two factors flipped the result to Biden. I don’t know why he made his call so early – and I don’t have his detailed results. Seems as though he should have waited until a bit later to see where the two determining factors (Covid and the economy) take us. I also think that his reliance on the reaction to a “novel” virus and an intentional economic shutdown is strange. Perhaps this year is a bit different than any other. I’m not sure any clear prediction could be made. The way it works is that if the incumbent candidate or incumbent party nominee can answer “FALSE” to 6 or more of the “keys”, then that candidate will lose. As it is with every topic in PPP, I’m sure that there will be differing outcomes from different viewpoints. Anyhow, here are the 13 “keys” that Lichtman uses to make his prediction: True or False. Party Mandate: After Midterms, the incumbent party holds more seats inside the House of Representatives than it did after the previous Midterm. Note, this one is FALSE. 2015 House = 247 R and 2019 House = 253 R. True or False. Contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination. This one is TRUE. True or False. Incumbency: The incumbent is the sitting President. This one is TRUE. True or False. Third Party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign. This one is TRUE. True or False. Short-term Economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign. This one is FALSE with a caveat** True or False. Long-term Economy: Real per-capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms. I think this is TRUE. True or False. Policy Change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy. This one is TRUE. True or False. Social Unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term. FALSE. True or False. Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal. FALSE, though half of the threads debate this very question. True or False. Foreign/Military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs. TRUE and Probably debatable to some. True or False. Foreign/Military Success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs. I had this as FALSE until the UAE/Israel Agreement. Now I have it as TRUE. True or False. Incumbent Charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero. I think most people would have this as FALSE. True or False. Challenger Charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national party hero. Based on polls showing “enthusiasm” for Biden, I would call this TRUE. 5 FALSE – Trump wins. I'd wager that there will be differing opinions.
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