Just did the exercise of picking every game. Have Bills finishing at 12 - 5, including mail-it-in rest Josh & starters loss at NE in week 18. In the scenario of my picks they're 12 - 4 going into the last week. Tied with Baltimore also 12-4 for #2 seed, but w tie-breaker going to Ravens, Bills rest starters and accept 3 Seed.
AFC seeds, 1. Chiefs, 2. Ravens, 3. Bills 4. Texans, 5. Steelers 6. Bengals, 7. Chargers.
Bengals w 9- 8 record get wild card and come to Buffalo for round 1
In the NFC I have GB winning the North and #1 seed. NFC wild card teams are going to be so much better than AFC wildcards. Vikings plus either Lions or Packers, and either Commanders or Eagles are likely wild card teams.