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Everything posted by Wayne Arnold
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Rihanna-A boring halftime performance
Wayne Arnold replied to Billsfan1972's topic in The Stadium Wall
Few singers on the planet have more hits than Rihanna does. And unlike many "hits", most of hers are actually good. It's the Super Bowl. That's what they want. -
Brick-By-Brick, the NFL Losing Me As A Fan
Wayne Arnold replied to pocoboy's topic in The Stadium Wall
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Stefon Diggs - “I watched the game five times”
Wayne Arnold replied to BillsFan619's topic in The Stadium Wall
That's Dorsey's issue? The quarterback? -
I don't see a way they let Edmunds get away. He's not even close to reaching his ceiling yet.
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"Catching with hands" is a technique that is only secret to Hall and Gabe Davis, apparently.
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How did the Patriots maintain a top team for 17 years?
Wayne Arnold replied to Success's topic in The Stadium Wall
2001 - First season as with Tom Brady as starter, won Super Bowl 2019 - 12-4, Won AFC East They were a "top team" during that entire stretch. Winning season every year, only missed playoffs twice. That's 19 years aka seasons. -
How did the Patriots maintain a top team for 17 years?
Wayne Arnold replied to Success's topic in The Stadium Wall
By this logic they were only a "top team" for six years. -
How did the Patriots maintain a top team for 17 years?
Wayne Arnold replied to Success's topic in The Stadium Wall
It was 19 years and when you give the greatest football coach of all-time the greatest competitor in the history of pro sports it's not hard to figure out how they did it. -
There isn't an OC on the planet who can scheme positive plays when the receiver drops the ball.
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Bill Parcells says Josh Allen needs help
Wayne Arnold replied to Buffalo_Stampede's topic in The Stadium Wall
I see a lot of "commentators" saying this loss is proof that Allen is overrated and/or not very good. Can't carry a team, chokes in playoffs, etc. -
Maybe it's a bit much to say the defense gave the offense a chance in the 2nd quarter to get back into the game and even take the lead. But consider the fact that the Bengals scored a total of THREE points against the Bills defense from 3:47 in the 1st quarter to 1:17 in the 3rd quarter when they scored their final touchdown. 32 minutes, 40 seconds - 3 points allowed The offense was only able to score 10 points during that span of time. That was the offense's chance. And the offense blew it. Bills D hold the Bengals to a FG with 1:49 to go in the 1st half - 7-17, Buffalo ball. Far from an insurmountable deficit. Chance to score a touchdown or at least a FG to build some momentum going into the half. What does the offense do? Punt. Bills have the ball first to start the 2nd half. They settle for a FG after taking over 7 minutes off the clock. Bengals score a touchdown. What does the Bills offense do to respond? Three-and-out capped off by a typical Gabe Davis drop on a dime from Allen. The offense blew it.
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How many #2 wide receivers did Brady have during his Patriots career that had as many drops as Gabe Davis? Drops kill drives. And I'm afraid for Davis that horrible ball skills isn't something that can be corrected. Brady wouldn't be considered the best QB of all time if his receivers consistently dropped passes like Allen's receivers did this season.
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As a whole the defense has played reasonably well in the playoffs under Frazier. Per Adam Penzel of cover1.net, "Of the 29 teams that have made playoff appearances since his first season in 2017, the Bills’ defense ranks 12th in dropback success rate allowed, 13th in dropback EPA/a, and 14th in EPA/a against on all plays, when adjusting for garbage time by filtering for plays with a win probability between 2%-98%. Kansas City, New England, and Philadelphia are all ranked well below the Bills in these aforementioned categories, yet each of these teams has won a Super Bowl in that very same window." To address your examples, we weren't quite good enough to compete with the Chiefs in 2020. Last year was our year IMO. We were peaking at the right time. 13 seconds will haunt me and all of us forever (or at least until we win it all). Mahomes and Kelce took our souls that day. A simple squib kick could've changed everything. I just can't pin the loss on Sunday on the defense. Could they have been better? Sure. They gave up 27 points to a great Bengals QB and offense. Not good enough, but Buffalo's offense should've scored 30. That's where I'm at. And they didn't need to because the offense laid an egg.
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Since Sunday afternoon I've seen so many Bills fans complaining about Frazier, McDermott and the defense. Upset that they couldn't shut down one of the best offenses in the NFL in the divisional playoffs. The bottom line is this: Once Allen signed that massive contract, the Bills stopped being the type of team that can shut down powerful offenses and instead moved into the category of teams that have to outscore opponents. The days of a dominant Bills defense are over. The NFL's system is built that way thanks to the salary cap. We have a franchise quarterback now that's paid that way. We're not going to be able to load the roster with defensive stars going forward. Josh Allen is one of the three best quarterbacks in the NFL today. That means the offense has to be dominant. The defense just has to not be terrible. Giving up 27 points is not terrible. Scoring 10 points IS terrible. This is the mentality that Bills fans are not used to but have to get there: which is to focus on the offense instead of the defense. It's not ideal to get down 0-14 to start a game. But it didn't phase me. I knew the defense would adjust and for the most part they did, only giving up 13 points the rest of the way. But the 0-14 start really didn't bother me much because we have Josh Allen - I fully expected the offense to start humming and not only get back into it but eventually take the lead. But they never did. The defense gave the offense opportunities to do so but the offense failed each time. Frazier isn't a schematic genius but he's not going anywhere. The system isn't going anywhere. It's good enough to not be terrible. Instead, put the focus and pressure on where it now belongs - the offense: Dorsey has to get better in Year 2. The schemes he comes into the 2023 season with and his playcalling on game days. Beane has to upgrade the OLine. Draft, free agency...whatever. The OLine on Sunday was a total embarrassment. That's on Beane to fix it. Outside of Diggs, the wide receiver unit is simply not good enough. Gabe Davis ain't it. Neither is McKenzie. I like Shakir. But Beane needs to address this unit this offseason. Improvement from Knox, Cook, Hines - a lot of this has to do with Dorsey involving them more. But all three have major talent that must be properly utilized. If all of this happens, Allen can relax and be the best quarterback on the planet in 2023. He will stop feeling like he has to be Superman every possession and just play. Then the offense can be dominant. That's how this team is going to win the Super Bowl. Not by being the 2000 Ravens. But by being the 1999 Rams.
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Old Buffalo Bills Message Board
Wayne Arnold replied to Floridagatorsbuffalobills's topic in The Stadium Wall
Never heard of it. -
Yes to Dorsey. Hopefully Beane does that. Epenesa and Basham don't need to be stars. #1 DVOA in the NFL. You don't get that ranking by not playing teams. It was one crappy game. You guys are more emotional than my 12 year old daughter.
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Why would Hyde leave? Maybe Benford can bulk up and play SS. Safety is pretty interchangeable in this system anyway.
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"Easily" Maybe for a week or two. Beyond that, it loses its luster. I think having Hamlin there on Sunday backfired and the players saw it as a spectacle. In fact, seeing how they played, it likely brought them back mentally to where they were when Hamlin was fighting for his life.
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I can see Dorsey getting better. The scheme he comes in with and the playcalling. And his job will be that much easier if Beane gets his head out of his ass and improves the OLine and WR's 2-5. Defense I don't care as much about but I still have hope in the young DE's. Oliver is back for one more year to prove himself. Da'quan Jones was a beast all season and was missed tremendously on Sunday. Von Miller and Tre White could be premier players again. Hyde is back with the young DB's (Elam, Benford). Key to the season is the offense and as long as the aforementioned defensive players are able to get back to where they used to be or reach their potential this team has what it takes to win it all without any coaching changes.
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Cover 1 also acknowledges how much the metrics loved the Bills this season. That the pythagorean winning percentage chart showed that they were actually better than their 13-3 record. They also dealt with a *****-ton of adversity this season. It sucks that they played their worst game of the season in the playoffs but I don't see things getting better by firing everyone.
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If you say so.