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Everything posted by Wayne Arnold
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Now is the time that teams have to knock the passion out of Brady. Hit him hard and land on him with all of their weight. If it costs a few 15 yarders then so be it. Big picture. Have him come home to Giselle in so much pain she'll be demanding his retirement. "It's football or me. Your choice."
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The odds are heavily stacked against them. Obviously the division is off-limits as long as Brady doesn't tear an ACL. The Wild Card will require 10-11 wins. In order to win 10-11 games, the following must happen: (1) The defense's key performers - Hughes, KWill, Lawson, Brown, Lorax, White, Poyer and Hyde - must remain healthy (2) The OLine must start geting better with the new blocking scheme ASAP and maintain that improvement through the season (3) Jordan Matthews must get back within the next 2-3 games and stay healthy through Week 17 (4) Shady must stay healthy (5) Charles Clay must get back within the next 4-5 games and stay healthy through Week 17 (6) The light must go on for Zay "Hands of Stones" Jones (7) Tyrod Taylor must start trusting all of his receivers and himself and stop holding onto the ball for so long (8) Dennison must implement the read-option OR turn to Peterman if Taylor can't get the job done (9) If Peterman starts, he must be better than his draft position If all of these things happen, I can see the team winning 10-11 games and sneaking into the playoffs for a one-and-done appearance. Otherwise, it won't. Yeah, McDermott is the stubborn one in the wrong here. Maybe Dareus should get his fat butt motivated and earn more playing time. And Miller has been terrible.
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Fire Rico Now; be done with it.
Wayne Arnold replied to bobobonators's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Exactly. In that system Castillo's run game worked. Why would they think hiring Castillo would be a bad idea? They tried retaining lawn chair warrior as OLine coach but he wanted to move on. What can you do? -
Fire Rico Now; be done with it.
Wayne Arnold replied to bobobonators's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
What do you want me to say? There's nothing to convince you that Dennison knows what he's doing because you'll just come back with "He's always been with Kubiak." You don't stick around in this league for as long as Dennison has without knowing what you're doing. "But Kubiak." Alrighty then. The adjustments Dennison has made so far has been impressive. He's doing what he can to adjust his playbook around what Taylor does well with regard to throwing the football. He's basically eliminated three-step drops, calling for more rollouts, more shotgun, etc. The execution has sucked. That's just a fact. Watch the tape. The Oline has strugged with the new blocking scheme. Maybe that's on Castillo. If you want to blame someone for Taylor not using the read-option or having to become a pocket passer, blame McDermott. Blame Beane. Dennison has his hands tied. -
According to PFF, Ducasse was the second-best OLinemen and the sixth best graded player of the 16 players on offense who had snaps on Sunday. Joe Buscaglia and Matthew Fairburn said he was the third best OLinemen out there. Miller had been a bottom 5 player for us every week this season. If the Bengals game is any indication, Ducasse is an upgrade over Miller, sadly.
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Fire Rico Now; be done with it.
Wayne Arnold replied to bobobonators's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The way the AFC East is shaping up is the way it always shapes up: the Patriots will win the division by three or four games (at least). Sqeaking into the playoffs with no real hope of winning the Super Bowl (like the Dolphins in 2017) isn't my idea of a golden opportunity, but to each their own. This season is really all about Tyrod while at the same time laying a foundation (on defense, especially) to become a true contender in this league. Not just a team that could luck into 9 or 10 wins (despite a horrible offense) solely by winning the turnover battle enough times. I'll repost the following from another thread... The bottom line: if Taylor cannot develop into a capable pocket passer in this league, then is he worth the extra $10 million cap hit to keep around in 2018? That's what the franchise needs to figure out. If it takes sacrificing some of the offense in 2017 to make that determination then so be it. I want a Super Bowl contender. Not a 9-10 win one-and-done playoff pretender. Fortunately, all evidence indicates that's what McDermott and Beane want as well. -
McBrothers "Silent Tank" occurring?
Wayne Arnold replied to Big Turk's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Yes that must be it. I want to see them fail. http://harvardsportsanalysis.org/2014/10/how-random-are-turnovers/ So after a few hundred words of statistics, we arrive at a whopping conclusion that just over half of seasonal turnover differential is due to luck. That’s huge, especially when you consider that (from earlier) seasonal turnover differential explains over 40% of seasonal winning percentage. At first glance, this does seem very high to me but evidence for this magnitude is the extraordinary year-to-year variability in turnover differential, which you would expect if luck was a mega factor as my analysis suggests. While starting quarterbacks absolutely play a role in turnover differential (Tom Brady throws fewer picks than Chad Henne) and tend to be fairly constant from year-to-year, nevertheless the correlation between turnover differential last year and this year is only 0.086 which is not significant at the 5% level. Ultimately in a 16-game season, there’s just a whole lot of luck involved with winning football games and for all that commentators will talk about defensive schemes forcing turnovers this season, it’s just as important to be lucky as to be good. -
McDermott's Influence on Offense
Wayne Arnold replied to ROONDOGG55's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The bottom line: if Taylor cannot develop into a capable pocket passer in this league, then is he worth the extra $10 million cap hit to keep around in 2018? That's what the franchise needs to figure out. If it takes sacrificing some of the offense in 2017 to make that determination then so be it. -
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McBrothers "Silent Tank" occurring?
Wayne Arnold replied to Big Turk's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Wishful (and naive) thinking. No defense (no matter how great) can sustain turnovers. -
Again, how can a switch to Peterman be any worse?
Wayne Arnold replied to SaviorPeterman's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It's a hypothesis that's very easy to come to if you watch the games. Perhaps you should provide statistical evidence to refute it. -
Again, how can a switch to Peterman be any worse?
Wayne Arnold replied to SaviorPeterman's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Well just last game alone he was sacked six times. Did he have six amazing plays where he avoided a sack that no one else could avoid? -
McDermott's Influence on Offense
Wayne Arnold replied to ROONDOGG55's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
So you're admitting that you don't believe Taylor can be an NFL pocket passer. I give him more credit than that. He has the potential to do it - he can make all of the throws - if he can get over his indecisiveness and lack of confidence in himself and his receivers. The Bills are not going to sacrifice what they consider future benefit for a little short-term success. This has been stated over and over again and yet some here either refuse to listen or can't grasp the concept. -
Again, how can a switch to Peterman be any worse?
Wayne Arnold replied to SaviorPeterman's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Spare me the "agenda" garbage. Once in a while Taylor can get out of a sack no other quarterback can. But we're more likely to see Taylor sacked because he held the ball too long than we are to see Taylor contort his body and use his athleticism to avoid a sack. -
Fire Rico Now; be done with it.
Wayne Arnold replied to bobobonators's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
No I'm not backtracking. That's still true. Maybe it would be slightly better because the blocking scheme would be the same, but the read-option plays would be gone and Taylor would still have to remain in the pocket while going through his full progressions. Which hurts the run game. -
Fire Rico Now; be done with it.
Wayne Arnold replied to bobobonators's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
"Short-term gain sometimes doesn't equal long-term success." Remember that quote from McDermott. They already know Taylor can run on teams. How can he do as a pocket passer? That's what we're seeing right now, whether you perceive it as a try-out or player development. No question this decision has hurt the run game. But it has a long-term benefit. -
Again, how can a switch to Peterman be any worse?
Wayne Arnold replied to SaviorPeterman's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Geary is wrong (again), specifically about this... One of the main reasons Taylor remains the starter and will likely remain the starter for the rest of the season is because with how miserable the Bills have been in pass protection. Taylor, at times, has covered up a lot of their mistakes with his athleticism and ability to make plays outside the scope of the offense. That improvisation doesn’t entirely get thrown out the window with Peterman, but its effectiveness is greatly reduced. The pass protection is fine. 7th in the NFL according to PFF. Taylor gets plenty of time to throw. He just doesn't. It would be amazing the improvement we'd see in the OLine with a quarterback who made quick decisions. Not saying Peterman is that guy but if things don't improve these next three games then we'll certainly find out. -
Fire Rico Now; be done with it.
Wayne Arnold replied to bobobonators's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Kouandjio is unemployed for a reason.