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Wayne Arnold

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Everything posted by Wayne Arnold

  1. I think you're both vastly overrating the talent difference between last year and this year. Are we supposed to be weeping the departures of Justin Hunter and Marquise Goodwin?
  2. He finished 2016 ranked 19th in Football Outsider's DYAR. That's the rank he is today. So...no he hasn't improved. At least not yet.
  3. Devastating. I hope he gets as much time off as he and his wife needs.
  4. Hopefully a 6th or 7th rounder would suffice.
  5. Good idea. It's healthy to just ignore any dissenting opinion from yours.
  6. Cousins looks like he's 5-7, 120 pounds when he's on the field. Just not a physically gifted player at all, which hurts him.
  7. Some bum off the street will replace him and they'll still win 13 games because Brady.
  8. Very cool. He's also a Syracuse University alumnus and met his wife there, who was an SU cheerleader.
  9. I'm surprised they didn't keep both corners tbh. They must really like the potential of Conor McDermott and Khari Lee.
  10. Getting a bad name with fringe players?? Oh no! Anything but that!!
  11. Still dead last in time to throw. In light of that, it makes me think his "Passer Rating vs. Pressure" rank is misleading. He invites the pressure by holding the ball for so long. Still one of the least-aggressive passers in the league. https://nextgenstats.nfl.com/stats/passing#aggressiveness
  12. You act like the Pegulas are a couple of hard-ass "my-way-or-the-highway" people. They're not. Whaley should have recognized that Rex was not the right man for the job and pounded on the table for his guy. If he had done that, the Pegulas would have certainly listened. He didn't because that's not who he is. And therefore, he's not cut out to be an NFL GM.
  13. Cardinals might have the worst roster in the league. Not sure how much of that can be pinned on Arians.
  14. Nah, his fatal flaw was being a wuss and not demanding to choose his head coach. That lack of confidence trickled into his leadership skills (or lack thereof) and horrible dealings with the media. You can't be a quality general manager in this league if you can't lead and you can't speak.
  15. I thought Croom was on injured reserve. Temporary IR designation?
  16. Year to year. Or game to game. Or quarter to quarter. Etc. It's all dependent on over 50% luck. Yes, teams that have good turnover differential win more. Obviously. That's not the point.
  17. It wasn't pure luck that he did it. However, to expect that same play to happen again the next game and on and on is foolishness. The point is that sustaining anything that requires over 50% luck is impossible on a long-term (beyond a few games) basis.
  18. I don't know if the original post was intended to make me laugh out loud, but it did.
  19. Then you completely misconstrued my post.
  20. It's pretty easy for agents to find out what his client would command on the open market. This isn't rocket science.
  21. After a while, some get a really good feel for what out there is true and what is false.
  22. No. More often than not, the simplest answer is the correct one.
  23. http://harvardsportsanalysis.org/2014/10/how-random-are-turnovers/ Conclusion in case you don't want to spend the time reading it: So after a few hundred words of statistics, we arrive at a whopping conclusion that just over half of seasonal turnover differential is due to luck. That’s huge, especially when you consider that (from earlier) seasonal turnover differential explains over 40% of seasonal winning percentage. At first glance, this does seem very high to me but evidence for this magnitude is the extraordinary year-to-year variability in turnover differential, which you would expect if luck was a mega factor as my analysis suggests. While starting quarterbacks absolutely play a role in turnover differential (Tom Brady throws fewer picks than Chad Henne) and tend to be fairly constant from year-to-year, nevertheless the correlation between turnover differential last year and this year is only 0.086 which is not significant at the 5% level. Ultimately in a 16-game season, there’s just a whole lot of luck involved with winning football games and for all that commentators will talk about defensive schemes forcing turnovers this season, it’s just as important to be lucky as to be good.
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