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Projected Final Win Totals for 2018: Rams, Chiefs Riding High By Cynthia Frelund NFL Network Analytics Expert Now that eight weeks of the 2018 season have passed, we have enough data about the identity and potential of each team to really start sorting out who will be contending in January and who will be picking near the top of the 2019 NFL Draft next spring. Just as I did before the season began, I've used a model to generate projected final win totals for the 2018 campaign, providing a peek at how things could play out as we head down the final stretch toward the playoffs. But first, here's a quick look at how my model works. My model compares this season's games with 15 previous seasons of situational production metrics that led to wins and losses (between 2003 and 2017). Tracking personnel, matchups, play-calling and results from past seasons establishes historical "profiles." The results from the games that have already been played this season are then collected and analyzed in the same way, with the model revealing similarities between the current iteration of each team and its past versions. Then each remaining game is simulated. The reason every game isn't a 50/50 coin flip is because each team has different strengths and weaknesses, and the way they match up against each other has different historical references for "what happened most often." Because there are many different ways the situational aspect of football can play out, it's necessary to run many simulations for each remaining game, to see each of the involved teams' profiles stack up over a range of reasonable situations. Just how many times is each game simulated? While I might ordinarily go with a figure like 10,000, I decided to up the number to 20,000, including each remaining game in the regular season (there are 135 left). A quick note: Scoring is obviously up this year compared to past years (we're on track to set a new offensive scoring record). But that change hasn't yet -- and likely won't -- significantly affect the use of historical data, as the most influential production factors (things like turnovers and red-zone efficiency), taken in context of the game situation (think: down, distance, score and time), remain consistent with what we've seen before, in terms of what relates most strongly to the ability to win games.
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Patrick Mahomes: He is having an incredible season
26CornerBlitz replied to SDS's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
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10-31: Joe Marino from The Draft Network on WGR (20:29) Talking about what the #Bills can do with the offense going forward with @TheJoeMarino! He joins Schopp & the Bulldog live now. Marino - What I really like about Brian Daboll's offense is it schemes throws for the quarterbacks. They can run a lot of route concepts that create space. Just need a quarterback to read it and rip it. Marino on Zay Jones - 27 catches in 15 games last year, 25 already this year. When the offense has rare good plays, it seems to be because Zay Jones is out there creating space. Marino - The #Bills deserve some criticism for putting an offensive infrastructure around Josh Allen, but that's not unlike what many teams do in the league. Marino on free agents - Daryl Williams, I know it's another Panthers player, he came on strong in 2017 as one of the better right tackles. Maybe you can get him on a discounted deal. Marino - When I think about offensive line, three are going to be free agents, there's going to be turnover. There will be guys from outside the building that come in and solidify the line. Marino on John Brown- My understanding is the #Bills offered like a 3-year $21 million deal. He went out and signed the 1-year prove it deal with Baltimore. He can stretch the field and be a vertical threat. The #Bills don't have a player like that. Marino - Everyone's going to see there's just a void of top offensive talent in this draft. If you think you're getting a Julio Jones, it's just not going to happen. Marino - #Bills fans need to hope that QBs Justin Herbert and Dwayne Haskins declare for the draft. Having those guys available to be enticing for another team to trade up for.
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Bears Reveal Jersey Colors for All 2018 Games The Bears will don their white jerseys in seven of eight road games: at the Packers Sept. 9, Cardinals Sept. 23, Bills Nov. 4, Lions Nov. 22, Giants Dec. 2, 49ers Dec. 23 and Vikings Dec. 30. All teams are required to inform the NFL which jerseys they're going to wear for all 16 of their games by July 1. The home team gets first choice. Sunday, November 4, 2018 - 1:00PM at New Era Field, Orchard Park, NY Chicago Bears 0 vs. Buffalo Bills 0 Head To Head for: Chicago vs Buffalo Bears vs. Bills Game Day at New Era Field Leader of the Charge: Marcellus Wiley, #75, DE (1997-2000)
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Matt Barkley: "Preparing Like I'd be Playing" (2:50) QB Matt Barkley talks about signing with the Bills, how he approaches his preparation and more. Terrelle Pryor: "I Can Ball" (6:52) WR Terrelle Pryor talks about signing with the Bills, his first day of practice and his confidence in his ability to perform when given the chance.
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Matt Barkley: "Preparing Like I'd be Playing" (2:50) QB Matt Barkley talks about signing with the Bills, how he approaches his preparation and more.
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Terrelle Pryor in Buffalo! Update: He's signing!
26CornerBlitz replied to Roundybout's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Terrelle Pryor: "I Can Ball" (6:52) WR Terrelle Pryor talks about signing with the Bills, his first day of practice and his confidence in his ability to perform when given the chance. -
Whitehair: We have the right guys here to step in (4:05) Offensive lineman Cody Whitehair addresses the media before Wednesday's practice at Halas Hall. Daniels on preparation and next man up mentality (2:48) Offensive lineman James Daniels addresses the media before Wednesday's practice at Halas Hall. Long week-to-week with right foot injury Bears right guard Kyle Long is week-to-week with a right foot injury he sustained late in last Sunday's win over the Jets. Coach Matt Nagy said Wednesday that the injury involves a tendon and is not related to the broken right ankle Long suffered in 2016. "He's in a boot, so we're still in that week-to-week thing for him," Nagy said. "We don't know the complete extent to it yet. We just know that for him right now we're trying to just get through the point of figuring out throughout this week and the following weeks how long it's going to be." NFL Network insider Ian Rapoport reported Tuesday night that Long is expected to be sidelined 6-8 weeks. But Nagy insisted that "there's no timeline figured out with him." The Bears are considering whether to place Long on injured reserve. If they do, the veteran offensive lineman could return to the 53-man roster after eight weeks.
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Total Defense Grade: 90.5 Chicago has basically come and gone with the healthiness of Khalil Mack. When healthy, they were dominant, allowing all of 16.3 points per game over the first four weeks. Over the last three, that’s jumped up to 26.3. It’s no coincidence that Mack has only three pressures the past three weeks (two games for him) after generating 24 through the first four weeks. Putting all the success of this defense on him though would be doing a disservice to some of the other outstanding performances on this team. Akiem Hick was recently honorable-mention for midseason All-Pro. Their secondary has also been outstanding, but it might not be the names that first pop into mind. Slot corner Bryce Callahan has the second most coverage stops of any corner in the league while Eddie Jackson is the seventh highest graded safety in the league. 11. Buffalo Bills 77.9