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Everything posted by 26CornerBlitz
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What has happened to Ryan Lewis?
26CornerBlitz replied to gjv001's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
He's likely to start this week with the departure of Gaines who was waived yesterday. -
Best, worst QBs of the first half: Who follows Mahomes? Seth Walder, ESPN Analytics As we pass the midway mark on the 2018 NFL season, the Total QBR leaderboard is a good place to see which quarterbacks have dominated and which have struggled mightily through the first half. While QBs most often are judged by wins and losses or touchdowns and interceptions, we like to rank them by the stat that measures their per-play contribution to their team's cause. An explainer of QBR can be found here, but the main idea is to capture more elements of a quarterback's play than traditional methods consider. QBR includes the value (or lack thereof) of quarterback rushing, sacks, fumbles, relevant penalties and -- crucially -- the down and distance of every play. QBR works on a 0-to-100 scale, with 50 roughly average and 75 about Pro Bowl-caliber. Which quarterbacks were the best and worst in the first half? Bottom three 1. Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills Total QBR: 30.8 Allen seems to have a weakness in dealing with pressure. Only C.J. Beathardhas a worse QBR when under duress. The good news is that the former Wyoming quarterback has an above-average pass-blocking group in front of him, according to our pass block win rate metrics from NFL Next Gen Stats. The bad news is that even with that support, he has been the least efficient quarterback in the league among qualifiers (no, teammate Nathan Peterman isn't qualified). One look at the receiving corps suggests Allen isn't getting much help, but the early returns on a quarterback that entered the draft with plenty of questions have been poor. He has been out since Week 6 with an elbow injury but is on the mend. Josh Allen Under Pressure COMPLETIONS ATTEMPTS YARDS TD INT 12 39 134 0 3 Week 9's Worst Quarterbacks By Total QBR QB TEAM QBR Nathan Peterman Buffalo Bills 11.9 Sam Darnold New York Jets 19.5 Derek Carr Oakland Raiders 23.3
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As we close the door on Week 9 in the NFL, it’s time to look at Pro Football Focus’ season grades for all 32 starting quarterbacks in the NFL. The best of the best have likely already punched their tickets to the playoffs, while the signal-callers nearing the middle of the pack and below have work to do in order to get back on track under center. NATHAN PETERMAN, QB, BUFFALO BILLS 2018 OVERALL GRADE: 32.9 Accuracy percentage: 46.3% (N/A) Clean-Pocket Grade: 36.0 (N/A)
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Yep.
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Will we ever have an offense
26CornerBlitz replied to Stroke 17's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Finally, it wouldn't be the weekly DVOA commentary in 2018 without a check-in on the fascinating black hole that is the Buffalo Bills offense. Last week, the Bills were the worst offense we had ever tracked through eight games. Somehow, they got even worse, dropping from -51.8% to -53.9%. And this was the week for the Bills to get out of last place in our historical tracking, because the 2005 49ers had a horrendous Week 10 loss to the Chicago Bears. That dropped them to -53.0% offensive DVOA (based on how DVOA works now, not how it worked when Football Outsiders was around in 2005). Before the 2018 Bills, San Francisco's -53.0% offensive DVOA in Week 10 of 2005 was the only time since 1986 any offense was below -50% after Week 6. WORST OFFENSIVE DVOA THROUGH 9 GAMES, 1986-2018 Year Team DVOA 2018 BUF -53.9% 2005 SF -53.0% 2002 HOU -47.0% 2010 CAR -45.9% 2013 JAX -44.5% 1992 SEA -44.3% 2007 SF -43.8% 1996 STL -43.0% 2009 OAK -42.7% 1992 IND -39.9% 2006 OAK -39.7% 2004 MIA -38.6% The next week, the 49ers played the Seattle Seahawks and kept the game close, losing 27-25. That game raised their offensive DVOA to -46.2%. So if the Bills don't get their act together against the New York Jets this week, there's going to be a big gap between the 2018 Bills and every other bad offense in the 33-year history of DVOA ratings. Remember my little stat about the Chiefs' offensive DVOA compared to single games for other teams? Well, we can tell the same story about the Bills. There are only 10 single games this year where other teams have offensive DVOA worse than what the Bills have for the entire season so far. The Bills have the two worst single games on offense (Week 1, a 47-3 loss to Baltimore, and Week 4, Green Bay's 22-0 shutout) and five of the worst 11. At least the Bills have one excuse for looking so bad: they've played a very difficult schedule. Buffalo has played the third-most difficult schedule of opposing defenses this year, trailing just Tennessee and Arizona. This sounds like a great excuse until you realize which team has played the fourth-hardest schedule of opposing defenses. -
Will we ever have an offense
26CornerBlitz replied to Stroke 17's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Stat by Stat, Bills' Offense Inching Toward NFL Infamy The Bills, who have been outscored 241-96 through nine games, need to rally in the second half to stay off the list of all-time ineptitude. ORCHARD PARK, N.Y. -- Around every corner lurks another statistic that tells the cringeworthy story of the Buffalo Bills' offense this season. Football Outsiders metric, the Bills are on track to be the NFL's worst offense since at least 1986. They are the first team since the 1977 Tampa Bay Buccaneers, according to Pro Football Reference, to have thrown as many or more interceptions returned for touchdowns as passing touchdowns through nine games. Even relatively good news, such as Nathan Peterman's completing 31 passes in Sunday's game against the Chicago Bears, has come with bad news. No NFL quarterback since 1950 with at least 31 completions in a game has gained fewer yards than Peterman, with 189, did Sunday. Fewest Points The Bills have scored 96 points in nine games, putting them on pace for 171 points this season. Excluding strike years, here are the teams with the fewest points scored in a season since the NFL expanded to a 16-game schedule in 1978: TEAM POINTS 1992 Seahawks 140 1991 Colts 143 2000 Browns 161 1998 Eagles 161 2006 Raiders 168 2009 Rams 175 1990 Patriots 181