Bleeding Bills Blue

Agreed. He has home run potential, but he isn't nearly as shifty as he thinks and doesn't use his size or power.

And if Beane has any trends - he tends to go to people with athletic upside. Of the players listed there - if linderbaum is there i think you pick him. I don't think he will be though so its probably moot.

Color rush red with red helmets. So much freaking red. Can they wear red sleeves and shoes too?

I could also see them finishing out of the playoffs. Steelers are legit never bad. The Ravens probably won't lose 3 RBs, LT, CB1 and CB2, DE, WR1/2/3 all missed time, TE2 missed half the year, Rest of oline was a mash unit, and then jackson missed time. They're a playoff team when they're healthy. And the Browns have a better defense than the bengals, and if baker can play better without being hurt they're right back in it. I got them at like 8-9 or 9-8. I put them at 3-3 in division and 2-2 vs the AFCE. The NFC south will be weaker without brady so they probably get 3 wins there- but they get KC, Tenn, and Dallas as 1st place opponents in 2022. They beat 2 of them in the playoffs but I can't put them as a big favorite in any of those 3 games.

Lots of coaches bench fumblers. The Mckenzie week inactive was really... he took a ball out he shouldn't have, then fumbled it untouched. There's fumbles, and there's mistakes that essentially cost the team their ability to compete. Stevenson was coming back from IR the same week, so it was really bad timing to screw up that badly.

19 sacks... 2 of the games he had rob johnson level sack rates. I know the offensive line isn't good there, and they played especially poorly in those 2 games, but there has to be some awareness that his clock isn't fast enough and that he needs to get the ball out quicker. Whatever they tried to do with Boyd mixon and the other short targets resulted in 17 targets for 63 yards. Poor playcalling, poor execution by burrow, poor execution by other players - in any case when he got the ball out quick there was like nothing gained. Usually to me - when you aren't getting yards on short passes its because you held the ball too long. This was the area that Allen showed the most improvement as the season wore on. Learning when to take shots and when not. Is there a pressure look? Who's rushing from where? Recognizing coverage. Knowing where the outlets are going to be.

Ah Rob Johnson..... was sack rate not a stat coaches looked at back then?

They traded so much to get that guy. I didn't even realize he barely played in 2020 either. So he was sort of in a rousseau situation, at QB though.

Tre white was the same way - got it done before Humphrey and Ramsey. Closer in AAV to Byron Jones and Darius Slay FA contracts. If you waited there you might have a contract closer to Humphreys. Not a crazy amount of cap space - 2.3M in AAV. But over 4 years we're talking like 10M dollars. The Dawkins deal was a great move as well. 14.5 M for 4 years signed in 2020 (keeping him through 2025). Brian O'neill 1 year later got 18.5, and that's largely due to the new ceiling set by Williams and Bakhtiari (to a lesser extent Tunsil because O'briens gonna O'brien).

Free agency occurs before the draft, and you can't leave a gaping hole or teams will know to jump you. If Davis is there in Rnd 1 and you picture him as an impact player to develop into a Vita Vea, Chris Jones, or Kenny Clark type because of plus traits then maybe you pull the trigger. Worst case scenario the guy is a monster plug and play 1T on early downs, but there's potential there for more. In a passing league you might think this doesn't have tremendous value, but with tons of teams adopting the mcvay/shanahan offense - being able to have a guy there who is a monster in the run game could be an element the defense is missing.

Everyone hating on Perine on that 3rd down stuff... What was he supposed to do there? What would mixon have done? The criticism should be the blocking execution or the play call (why run it out of shotgun?)- but who cares who the back is when he's hit a yard behind the LOS.?

Oh well... They covered up spygate to protect Kraft and Belichick. Call it even.

Just seems to be a hair late on his pocket movement. If you want to drive the ball down the field consistently you need to effectively create time and space behind the LOS. 8.9% sack rate isn't crazy Rob Johnson high, but its high. Higher than either of Allen's first 2 years, or Tyrod's first 2 years with Buffalo. Higher than a lot of Russell Wilsons seasons, and higher than 3 out of 4 seasons that Watson had. Wilson/Watson also had some pretty trash lines at times too.

It's not like it was man coverage on the boundary though. It's probably cover 4 or something like that when facing an empty set. If he doesn't hold there the safety is already coming up to hit kupp before the end zone. If its lead too far that safety can challenge the catch point, pick it off, or hit him hard to force an incompletion. The hold was unnecessary in that zone look. The underneath defender took the RB check down. The outside leverage guy took the over the top route knowing the safety is there inside, and the safety bolted for kupp as soon as the checkdown gets covered. I'm not sure its a completion even without the hold.

If Kupp goes behind him he's in the passing lane. Kupp went in front and is therefore short of the end zone. No penalty and its 4th and goal from like the 2 and a half yard line.

Cover Kelce in the last 10 seconds... obviously.

I agree its a need - and CBs are some of the most important players on a good defense in this era. But I would like to see it not be in the 1st - unless thats where the value is. I like to look for someone who is a potential star/all-pro if you're picking late in the first.

Don't hold at critical moments of the game. When Kupp can't get away from a middle linebacker... there's likely something going on there. Downfield underthrown passes are so difficult to defend you could probably call a penalty on either team on like every one.

Poor execution of a play call doesn't make the call bad. If he doesn't hold him there its 4th and goal from like the 2.

Why? Zone on 3rd and goal from the 8? I would call zone there 10 times out of 10.

Flag came from the back judge, and as kupp pushes into his route 55 extends his left arm into the front of Kupps jersey while also putting his right arm on Kupps hip and holds him up. A lot of contact about 6 yards down the field and you didn't let him run his route.

I could see Jameson williams if only because the knee injury might make him drop. If you think you are getting someone who would be top 10 in another draft at 25, that's the kind of move you make. Buffalo has gotten pretty solid play from... EJ Gaines, UDFA Levi Wallace, 7th rounder dane jackson, and UDFA Cam Lewis. You have all-pro caliber play at one DB who was a 1st, and a top paid player. The Nickel is a really good player in Taron Johnson. I think you can improve upon CB2, but I don't know that i need 2 1st round picks there when we literally have 1 1st round pick dedicated to the entire offense (2 if you count diggs).

These weren't phantom calls/no-calls though. You interrupted a route to kupp, and the PI in the end zone was pretty textbook in that he got there early and was playing the player not the ball.

He did hold.. And Apple did interfere... Bengals fans complaining how they let them play to that point and why call it now? Because its a penalty. Yeah stafford had a few misfires, the OBJ injury was another pretty lousy throw. The WR on the 2nd one couldve put in a better effort, he didnt even extend his right hand to try and catch it. It was also probably thrown way too hard. Burrow had the nice throw to Chase... and the bomb to higgins with the questionable no-call. Other than that he was 20/31 for 142 yards, with 7 sacks for 43 yards and 2 rushes for 3 yards. So assuming all of that... on the remaining 40 pass plays they gained 102 yards. There's a "big play" offense, and theres an inefficient offense.

Its zone coverage... its not as if they had a guy in man coverage who can hang with Kupp, let alone OBJ.