Bleeding Bills Blue

https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/los-angeles-chargers/khalil-mack-14414/

17.5M cap hit, and then in 2023 and 2024 the cap hits jump to 22.7M. I know you can re-structure but that requires void years or extensions... and he's already 31 coming off a foot injury. With Mack and Bosa they should have one of the most formidable pass rushes in the league. We'll see how they address a pretty mediocre rush defense though, and honestly their secondary isn't anything to write home about.

Agreed. Houston can either take 10 cents on the dollar now, or wait and get market value. Or nothing if his career is over.

Agreed - and for Washington, they did not have a QB on the roster. I assume they're still after a rookie, but this is like the EJ manuel draft for QBs - do you draft the best of the bunch? Or overpay and get the Alex smith of available QBs like the chiefs did in 2013. Adding Reid probably helped more - but adding smith they went from 2-14 to 11-5. All the draft got was a bunch of mediocre guys drafted above their slot. In this same scenario Trubiskey is the Kevin Kolb of 2013. Maybe Matt cassel, but either way - history isn't really on his side

Depends what their 2022 plan is. Be terrible and get the cap right/start over, or try and rebuild on the fly. Buffalo traded... watkins for a 2nd basically. Similar situations in walk years. Would think they'd want that or more for Metcalf, which is a bit rich for a rental. Lockett probably costs less, and fronts the cap burden this year. If you don't plan to have all the pieces until 2024, why keep the guy who you're going to get rid of in 2024?

I'm one to believe in rehabilitiation, and generally becoming a better person etc. But this guy has done nothing but deny he did the things that he very likely did. I know he basically has to until everything is settled, but you can't just hide behind a statement and hope it all goes away. If and when this is all settled he definitely needs to make it known and obvious that - whatever happened happened, and I'm going to be a better human going forward because of it. I'm not sure how to rehab his his image and stuff, but thats on him.

They might be open to edmunds? But Lockett is going to cost as much to keep as get rid of so cap-wise it only makes sense if they extend edmunds, turning him into an asset.

He was better in 2021 than 2020. He lists 5 drops on 169 targets for a 3% drop rate. Ja'Marr chase had 11 drops on 128 targets. Deebo Samuel had 10 drops on 121 targets. Kelce had 10 drops on 124. etc. The worst was Kamara with 9 drops on 67 targets for a 13.4% drop rate.

Davis over 2 years has shown he's at least worthy of a #2. He can play inside and out, blocks well, good red zone threat. 125 targets 70 Catches 1148 yards 13 TDs I'd still like to see a dedicated slot WR player, as well as using a pick to further bolster the depth at the position. Sanders, mckenzie, and beasely is a ton of targets. Assume they sign a TE2 (and draft a TE3). They still need a dedicated slot WR (preferably take the bease role and mckenzie role), and someone as rotational depth outside. Metcalf pushes davis back down the depth chart for another year, costs draft capital, and will want a big fat raise.

I forgot the roster bonuses but the final 2 years would likely not play out as they are written anyway. We'd only pay the base salary and roster bonuses on the contract and only 2022 is guaranteed so to me its 2022- 3M (guarnateed) 2023 - 9.7M 2024 - 15.3M with 1.6M roster bonus 2025 - 15.3M with 1.6M roster bonus I went to over the cap to check and they call it a "per game roster bonus" - or option bonus of 13M. The notes say its due in 2022 if hes on the roster i guess? I'd imagine anyone acquirinig him would want SEA to eat that though. From Overthecap: Lockett receives a $19 million signing bonus and salary guarantees in 2021 and 2022. Locket is also due a $13 million option bonus in 2022. I understood it to be a deferred signing bonus but who the hell knows.

I think the issue is both Metcalf and diggs would both need extensions - and davis isn't far behind. I don't disagree with getting younger at the position - but if you can get that 2 year lockett deal (maybe 3 with a void in year 4) you get 3 prime years of a top level #2 WR with fairly reasonable cap hits and 0 risk.

Lockets deal is actually not that bad You'd be getting him for 4 years 43.3M with 3M (2022 guaranteed salary). After the 3M salary in year 1, the cap hits are 9.7, 15.3, 15.3. Even for 2yr 12.7 thats a bargain - and you can either restructure in year 3 or cut him. Lockett did 73 for 1175 and 8 TDs... He also did that on 22 fewer targets....

They had a pretty solid defense, and a fairly bad offense. My big concern is you fired a really good defensive coach in vic fangio, and replaced him with an unknown. I personally expect a drop off on that side of the ball... and honestly i wouldn't be surprised if the offensive jump isn't that great even with wilson.

Better than everyone else they've had since manning. and everyone else they had before that since elway.

He still won 5 MVP awards.

He has fewer MVP awards than Manning, will probably never catch brady in passing yards, and only has 1 super bowl. Better than Brees/Rivers/Ben - but worse than Manning/Brady.

He's Russ 2.0 - new and improved. Extreme RUSS! Easterby was with NE as team chaplain and character coach from 2013-2018. Then he became EVP of team development with Houston in 2019, and in 2020 became EVP of football operations. Russ Brandon showed up in 97, and became Director of non-football operations in 2006. Then was defacto GM in 2008 (with 0 football scouting or management experience), to CEO in 2010 when they hired buddy. Then he became team president in 2013. Buffalo went 2 years with a non-football guy as a General manager - and he was with the organization for like the entirety of the drought. He did oversee the sale of the team, and they ended up staying in buffalo, so we can thank him for that.

Yeah - but Signing bonus, roster bonus, workout bonus. Plus 8 games tax free - 5 seasons - thats 40 game checks that become considerably larger. Just using 5% affects the take home considerably 5 years of base salary of 3M - 1.5M for home games - $75,000 in income taxes per year - $375,000. That's 2.5% of your total earnings. Factor in any bonuses and it really adds up.

I think the patriots are more likely to go the opposite direction. Losing the offensive coordinator - not a ton of cap space... and they're projected to lose.... Starting corner - JC jackson Both LBs in Van Noy and Hightower Starting FS in McCourtey Starting linemen Trent Brown and Ted Karras... They can make space if they need it - but I'm not sure that's wise with how disappointing the team finished.

Passing to Holmes, Benjamin, Jones, Foster, Clay, Croom, and Ivory. On the line you had Dawkins, Ducasse, Bodine, Miller, Mills. Throw in Some Ryan Groy, and Wyatt Teller's rookie year. Don't judge a player who is without weapons and protection. I'd say the one who gets the pass this year is probably lawrence. Wilson looked so thoroughly unimpressive for me to consider there - the 10.3% sack rate indicates a bad line, but also that he doesn't know what he's doing. Most of their best offensive outputs had Mike White, Josh Johnson, or Flacco starting.

Right - like... Allen struggled with protection of a bad oline, and rookie pocket presence issues. He'd miss some easy throws, didn't know when to take something off his fastball. Traditional rookie issues. But the flashes were definitely there, deep throws, tight window throws, buying time and throwing strikes, the running ability etc.

The only thing to consider is that almost every player has an agent that will negotiate for a few offers and let the player choose. Its easy to say i will take less - til i see how much the dolphins will pay with no income tax.

Jackson is basically their offensive identity so id imagine pretty lucrative. Baker should be in the tannehill range but with a higher cap so... my guess would be 5 years and 30-32M?

Yep - while buffalo's defense was statistically #1 - they definitely were propped up by really just absolutely annihilating bad offenses. 53 yards and 4 first downs week 18, 109 yards and 6 1st downs week 4 (with 5 takeaways), Thanksgiving against the saints, the dolphins twice etc. DVOA takes into account your opponent - but putting your bottom tier opponents down that hard definitely factors in as well. The 4 games against KCx2, Indy and TB they averaged over 400 yards allowed and more than 26 first downs in all 3. The only one of those games they won they had 4 takeaways, and were 0-3 without (and 1-4 on the season with no takeaways). Figure out what you need to do to better stop those teams - if its pass rush, or linebackers, dbs, whatever.

Why would he re-structure? He gets 7 guaranteed no matter what.