Bleeding Bills Blue

PFF is dumb - they do it on a per play basis. There's additional weight for big plays, but they probably didn't add enough to that. I thought he played fine, especially in the 2nd half. In the first he wasn't notable.

Missed tackles aren't missed coverage by PFF. It's he tried to tackle someone and didn't.

That was just stats - his stats say he missed 3 tackles. Thats a lot.

Hard to determine needs pre-FA RB - Moss and Cook are it for 2023. We've spent multiple 3rds and 2nds on the position and its still not a strength. I could see singletary coming back - There are a LOT of free agent running backs next year and he might not get much in the way of big offers. WR - same depth chart we have now, gabe davis 1 year from testing free agency. TE - Could see a late round flier here, but i expect a low priced vet. OL - Lots to do here. We need a starting guard (possibly 2, or at least another player to push bates), and i'd honestly consider using a 1st on a tackle. Brown has come along a bit but he should in no way be given a starting spot. I expect the same kind of free agent strategy here, but i'd also like to see them bring in a few younger players with higher picks. DL - Phillips and Lawson are UFAs. I could see both being brought back. LB - I think Bernard/Spector take the matakevich spot. Edmunds is a question mark - do they think bernard or dodson can take the spot? remains to be seen. DBs - Poyer is the main question mark. Hyde is under contract but also not a certainty. Could be a day 2 or even day 1 target. White, Elam, Jackson, Benford is probably one too many If i had to pick i'd say (obviously value dependent) 1st round - Tackle 2nd round - Safety 3rd round - Guard 4th round - Linebacker 5th round - Guard 6th round - Safety/Cornerback

This was an interesting one. McKenzie played 37 snaps to Shakirs 15 and Hodgins 3. Sweeney had 8, Gilliam had 21, and Morris had 12. I wouldn't mind seeing that number be closer to even between McKenzie and Shakir - he's earned a boost in playing time. But I do like that we rotated both TE's in not entirely Jumbo sets, and used our fullback a few times in the passing game. The PA pass to Sweeney was nice too, easy read pitch n catch. He had 3 solo tackles, 3 combined tackles, and 3 missed tackles.

It's a long season - i don't mind heavy usage in a game like this. But Id want to run some wear and tear on moss and cook over the course of the year so A - Cook is more ready and B - So Singletary has fresh legs for the games the playoffs.

My brother always tells the story of the QB on his team when he played center. He called the audible "BLACK! BLACK! SAME PLAY!"... needless to say it didn't work.

Are we sure that's even in the play? and not Josh doing one of the reckless Josh things? Jet motion, read-option, with a speed option pitch? What the hell kind of play is that?

I felt KC benefited from quite a few defensive penalty calls that felt a bit ticky-tack. Right before the JuJu TD we stopped them and they held and we got a d-holding call i didn't really see. Another one on Elam that didn't seem egregious at all. Same with one on Neal on that same drive. JuJu's taunting penalty kind of shot that drive backwards but they were given a few extra chances there. And another on the final drive.

On their last FG drive everyone around me at the stadium was calling for Mahomes to throw it - but I think he knew it would be called back if he threw it as almost all of his linemen were down field as he scrambled towards the LOS.

Raiders were my original pick. I'll go with new england. Everyones all about the Jets right now - the miracle browns win where cleveland should have iced it, Pittsburgh probably should have beaten them, and then that miami beatdown with the 3rd string QB. I like their defense but I have 0 worries about the jets They really do need to win their next 4 games though - Bears, at jets, colts, and home against jets. 3 home games - all 4 winnable. if they do then its winning against Miami (in NE), LVR, and at Arizona and they'd be at 10 wins.

They are a tough matchup. They run people in front of him, or force him to carry coverage up the middle, which creates windows to get to the 2nd level with kelce.

They just don't line him up there though

He's been pretty good all year - had a bad day in KC. I think justifiably you can argue he should have a reduced snap count. He needs to earn back trust with his performance on the field. Focus on 10-15 plays that you want from him, jet motion stuff, some man beating concepts etc. That was if they didn't make the active roster i believe.

He was not on PUP. He made active 53, then was placed on IR. Once he start practicing i think theres a 3 or 4 week window to activate.

Or just trade him in the offseason when there are more suitors. Nothing changes much between now and then. If he gets injured, you can always cut him too. There's a decent chance the GM could be fired so he might be told no on CMC trades in general.

Mckenzie had a really bad game - not going to fire him but id probably put him behind shakir to try and spark something. Can't make that many mistakes in a big game and not expect something. You get an extra week to get shakir up, and you put mckenzie at the 4 and give him some package plays but his snap count should be decreased. However... and I want to stress this. We will need Mckenzie before the season is over, so don't roll the bus over him. Shakir dropped a wide open pass in the pittsburgh game, and concentration drops were an issue for him in his college scouting report. It was a dumb play imo. We run and pass our way down then try some weird cheeky jet motion read option WITH a pitch - just dumb. If you want to run it, run it - or hand it on the jet motion... just a really confusing easy to screw up play. He's still gotta have that ball though.

Yeah, they scheme kelce open quite a bit. They sort of drive someone underneath to force the inner zone guy to cover and kelce basically finds hte soft spot between the linebacker and DB. Straying into man is where he can really gash you with YAC.

I might barely even rush - 2 or 3 safeties deep and man coverage underneath. Have 1 guy spy and 2 guys rush.

I think part of the challenge is determining a value. Usage to me doesn't equate to value. Often the complete package is determined to be a better option than 2 or 3 incomplete packages, and I'm not really sure if this is true (outside of fantasy) . Take Mixon for example - over his last 4 years he has been a running back workhorse and generally a "complete" running back. He has averaged 3.91 YPC and has scored on 2.8% of carries, while earning 7.33 yards per catch. Zach Moss has averaged 4.08 YPC, has scored on 3.5% of carries, and 7.25 yards per catch for his career - and we can probably all agree the way he's played this year we can consider him at the very least "replacement level". Mixon signed a deal last year for 4yr 48million. I think looking at the numbers above and also during time missed for injury in 2020, he wasn't any more effective than the combination of Perine, Bernard, and Trayveon Williams. They can probably get similar production from a stable of rookie contracts or moderately priced free agents. Le'veon bell is another example - he held out multiple times trying to get that extension and sat out all of 2018. In 2018 Pittsburgh rushed for fewer yards, but they did so in far fewer plays and with greater efficiency. Bell - 321 for 1291 9 TDs and 85 catches for 655 and 2 TDs Conner/Samuels - 271 for 1229 12 TDs, 81 catches for 696 and 4 TDs.

Better yet, have a guy behind the catcher just call them.

I hate using replay in most sports. I like how NFL streamlined some things on obvious challenge plays to speed up play. But the things people want to most challenge are BS penalty calls. Baseball is probably the worst though. Seems like you can challenge everything but balls and strikes, and its obnoxious. Players scout umps, they know what their zone is before a game. To me its such a non-issue. Hockey Offside challenge is terrible, one of the worst replay rules. VAR is terrible in soccer. There are line judges whos sole purpose is to call Offside, just let them do it.

Why not just put a chip in the baseball and do balls and strikes too? Probably because it doesn't work, not to mention - things don't need to be right all the time. You play baseball for your entire life with human umps, but now you get to the show and theres some computer determining balls and strikes... just doesn't seem right to me. Same goes here, until college they didn't even do reviews for your entire football life. It's part of the game.

He's benched on the toxic team. Are we sure he's not the toxic one?

It won't fully front load the cap hit - as far as i can tell. They would lose the remaining base salary off the books, and the bonus would be dead money. 2022 cap hit with him: $8,785,750 2022 cap hit if they trade: $7,750,750 2023 cap hit from trade: $18,352,250 If they trade him in the offseason they can do it after June and do the same thing - 7.75 in 2023 and the rest in 2024.