Bleeding Bills Blue

You can make some though - matakevich, haack, Ford - that makes about 5. I'm not sure what this guy wants contract wise though. To me I'd look at it like Diggs insurance for the playoffs first, and an extra weapon 2nd. Stats wise he hasn't been good since he left NY. Sub 60% catch rate, diminishing yards per reception, diminishing YAC. Not to mention his left leg is a major concern - broken ankle and now 2 ACL injuries. Based on all that - if you sign him, it better be for very little money.

Billionaires rarely need cash - if you own the Bills, someone is willing to lend you cash with a good rate. This is an asset that basically just goes up. They usually sell for more than these listed amounts too.

Right - its not like we touted #1 defense and did nothing. They get Tre back, elam - and a completely remade front 4.

I mean - He led the league in yards per catch with 18.2, and averaged 10 YAC per reception. I know he gets some RB targets as well - but his Yards before catch was actually 8.3. Cooper Kupps YBC was 7.6, and his YAC was 5.8. He broke more tackles than any WR. Another 6.2 Yards per carry which is near tops of the league if he had enough carries. He broke another 9 tackles in the run game - which translates to a 6.6 attempts per broken tackle. Tops in the league was Javonte williams with 6.5. To lead the league in yards per reception, and not be notably fast (he ran a 4.48) is pretty cool. Agree - dangerous in the open field in a play action oriented offense. Jet motion he can cause issues. Line him up in the backfield. Whatever you want to do to create mismatches and get numbers in your favor.

Saffold was an upgrade over williams. Morse will fit in well in this scheme. Dawkins with a full offseason. My concerns are on the right side - i like Brown and the upside, injury concern aside. Bates played well in limited snaps. But the depth... yeesh Ford, Quessenberry, Mancz, Van Roten, Hart. Boettger on PUP.

The goal is to build on a players rookie deal though. They're going to have to pay Deebo and that new money likely hits in 2023 and 2024 - not having to pay your QB makes that affordable. Having Shanahan coach, plus kittle deebo, and one of the best lines in football should help ease the transition. They aren't benching... i dunno rodgers. It's comparable to the bears moving on from Trubisky. Jimmy G has done more than Mitch did - but the big thing going for Jimmy G is his "winning". Trubisky "won" games too. At some point you take the W/L out of it and look at the underlying numbers, and for Jimmy G - they aren't very good. 0 starters with an average depth of target beyond 10 yards. More YAC than YBC. Still had 12 picks even though he was dumping the ball almost the entire time. I still say if Dimarco was worth anything as a player he makes that catch. I've seen random kids in pickup ball or HS catch something similar - the throw was there!

SF isn't going to make a division rival better, for a late round pick. They'd save cash/cap but there isn't anything out there to spend it on - and he's a solid insurance policy. I was shocked Seattle wasn't in on baker, but i guess they don't see him as much of an upgrade over their current guys.

They don't need him this year. They would have to balance it with the 35M cap hit for brady in 2023. Seattle would make sense.. but it is an inter-divisional trade.

I think Shanahan can't get it done without a little bit more at QB. Twice they really needed him to come up clutch, and twice he came up very short. It's sort of Goff with LA, you've gone as far as you can with this guy. If the run game falters, they lose. If they need him to come up clutch in the 4th quarter of a playoff game, they lose.

I mean - they were in the NFC championship game a year ago with him. You could certainly do worse as a bridge QB.

I suppose you could flip the slot WR with davis and move Diggs inside. The idea is to force them to use man coverage and create a mis-match. Its more of a single drive no-huddle strategy than a game strategy. Exactly - so run until they stack it.

I'm sure he's pretty similar to how he was last year - I'm not sure why they haven't really surrounded him with playmakers while hes on his rookie deal. They will run the ball and attack with PA like they did last year, the defense there is worse than it was a year ago.

NE started doing this when they started rolling 2 TEs with gronk/hernandez after the moss divorce. They usually carried some variation of it with Gronk and others but the main thing i remember is if you see a personnel matchup that you can exploit you do it. Cook with Diggs and Crowder + howard and Knox. If they are stacking the box you can just flow to an empty set and force them to man up. Put knox on the outside 1x1 with a LB, i think we take that all day. Decent chance Cook and Crowder can shake openings as well. If they roll nickel and zone - just run it.

His 2021 year has some concerning Tua trends. Very RPO dependent, very short throw dependent, and the YAC numbers weren't very good for an offense of that style. New coach, new offensive style, better weapons across the board. I think he'll do alright this year - but the problem is he's now getting to extension territory so do they dismantle what they have to give Tua 40M a year?

The big issue for Rosen is his experience the last 2 years is just... none. 26 snaps in the last 2 years. There's probably still talent there, but his last film out there was 3 years ago and it was bad. So the problem is very likely between the ears, and he'll likely never figure that part of it out.

You missed out on the QB carousel though. If he doesn't blink and holds out you don't have a QB.

He's never really in the conversation as the best running back ever - but man... the guy gets trashed because his team was good. I guess its a brady thing too. Patient runner, elite contact balance, tough as hell, and just a tackle breaking machine. He wasn't juking guys out of their shoes, but he cut through a LOT of tackles in his career.

Sanders is definitely the best in that era, but I don't know that i take any of the rest of those guys over prime Emmitt.

See Dennison's season as OC here to see what is likely to happen.

Pre-injury last year it looked like he'd really turned a corner into becoming an elite player. Through week 8 - Averaged 285 through the air completing 72.4% - 17 TDs to 7 Ints - Another 150 yards on the ground. Extrapolate that out and its 4800 through the air 36 TDs and 15 picks. Another 300 and 6 TDs on the ground. I'm not sure hes "that guy" but i can see why his agents asking for what he is - when he was healthy last year he was basically a tiny little josh allen.

I don't blame brady in the slightest. It was almost at times like Belichick wanted to sabotage his stats. Guy wins his 3rd MVP and they're like - better trade his #1 WR. Don't worry - he's got Chris Hogan and Philip Dorsett!

This is a solid pick. He came back after a stroke which was cool. During that 3 super bowl run they had he played pretty well. Law, Mcginest, Seymour, Vrabel, Harrison - he had some good company on those teams.

I always thought he was relatively "unspectacular" - not the fastest, the biggest, most elusive etc. But he was fast enough, big enough, tough enough, and broke a ton of tackles. I'd say he had elite contact balance, and just elite balance in general. His cuts never looked insane or anything, but he knew his angles, and arm tackles seemed to slip right off of him.

Yep - we just beat bad teams so badly that even DVOA weighting doesn't adjust it well enough. 7 - sub 250 yard games. 6 sub 15 first down games. 2 sub 10 first down games. I mean the jets had 53 total yards. And the defense had 4 brutal games - Tennessee, Tampa, Indy, and KC in the playoffs. 1 takeaway in all 4 - all games over 350 yards, all games over 100 on the ground.

Yeah - I honestly always thought nickel was more difficult. More responsible for run fits, and no sideline boundary to rely on. Having played CB in high school... i need that sideline. I also needed it to be on my right.