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Everything posted by Bleeding Bills Blue
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Downward Offensive Trend is Clear
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to ngbills's topic in The Stadium Wall
When the team has 1 or fewer turnovers - they are 4-1. When they have 2 or more, 1-3. There were some end game theatric fumbles by diggs and allen in these games, but the 5 straight weeks with an INT have been back breakers. When they win the turnover battle, 3-0. When they lose 2-4. Step 1 - Stop turning the ball over so damn much. 4-0 at home, 1-4 on the road (i counted the london game as a road game cuz... it is). There's still a real HF advantage in buffalo and all 4 of those should be considered very winnable. If i had to guess why we were having more success in no-huddle against cincinnati, a big piece of it is the complications we make for our offense. Away game, personnel changes and playcalls take longer, you line up later, you need to set line protections, you need to motion people, and you have to use a silent snap count which is a big tilt to the defense. Step 2 - Figure out how to speed up the pace on the road. Even if just for some stretches - if you get to 2nd and 1 just rush to the line and force them to react to it. If we spend 30 seconds changing in for some jumbo package we basically tilted our hand. Offense has looked bad on the road all year long. What in the world is going on with our running game. The last couple of weeks we have been getting killed with negative runs. When the team including allen rushes for 100 total yards - not even a really big amount - 5-0. When they are under 100 yards rushing as a team. 0-4. Step 3 - Create a run game that has an actual identity. -
Downward Offensive Trend is Clear
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to ngbills's topic in The Stadium Wall
Maybe not 25, but easily 20. Dolphins, Ravens, Jags, Chiefs, Eagles, Cowboys, Lions, 49ers. Who from the list below do you want over the current bills offense? Jets Patriots Steelers Browns Texans Colts Titans Raiders Chargers Broncos Commanders Giants Vikings Packers Bears Saints Falcons Bucs Panthers Rams Cardinals Seahawks -
Miller is here through next year. There won't be a trade partner, and it'd cost you cap space to release him. Knox probably is too. I don't know the rules on his roster bonus - if that travels with a trade, maybe you could get a team to be interested him. Acquiring team basically gets him at 1yr 9.9M and can probably spread that over 2 years? I still don't know if there's a big market there. Tre - its tough to say - there is 6.3M in cap savings. Assuming you have Benford, Douglas, Elam - Jackson is a UFA. Knee and Achilles now, its tough to want to do much more of a commitment. Hines is on there for 5.5 so he's gone for sure. Harty saves you about 4M. Since we don't use him at all i can't imagine why we pick that up. Neal saves you 3M. Morse saves you 8.5M. Poyer would save about 5.5M. I doubt they go this route unless he becomes a pain again. Hyde is a UFA. Gilliam saves about 2. Seems like a lot but then you realize that a UDFA gets like 800K and you realize how little it does. Extending douglas even a year would lower his cap hit. You can also release him for 0 dead money. Considering what we gave up to get him i put this at 0% chance if he's healthy. Content to let poyers contract play out.
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His base salary this year is 1.5 so they definitely kicked the can. It is not a 4 year deal at minimum. The out is still there in 2025 - you just only get 8.4M in cap savings to cut him. You can't cut him next year as his base salary is fully guaranteed. You can't trade him because 17.1M is a lot for a pass rusher that hasn't flashed since 2022 pre-injury.
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Reasons why I'm still (barely) optimistic
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to JerseyBills's topic in The Stadium Wall
The lulls get sort of amplified when the defense struggles to get off the field. -
Reasons why I'm still (barely) optimistic
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to JerseyBills's topic in The Stadium Wall
Love the optimism! Not even being sarcastic. This place gets so doom & gloom at times. Everyone has the answers and its fire everyone and focus on the draft or something. Going into this week I never felt particularly good about this game. Their defensive line is a bad matchup for our offense, and I knew we would struggle to run the ball and with pressure up the middle. So my opinion on a loss shouldn't change, even if the way they lost wasn't good. Defense mash unit didn't get the job done either. They made quite a few plays, but they just followed them with mistakes. 2-0 on turnovers, and some ref fairy dust sprinkled on top and boom - you lose. The team knows what is in front of them now and that mindset needs to change from "not wanting to make mistakes", to "doing what it takes to win". -
They just have no interior push to create problems for the quick release. We tried pressure packages up the middle to force errant throws and even they couldn't get home. LBs being total 0's in coverage and tackling meant they would carve us up in zone.
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The Good, The Bad, The Ugly Cincinnati Edition
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to Chaos's topic in The Stadium Wall
A - I dunno how you put that on dorsey. If you don't send anyone deep you end up with spacing issues. Plus occaisionally you do want to take a shot. B - Perhaps they showed a different coverage look on that play C - It was a bad throw D - It was first down, its not like 3rd and 1. -
The Good, The Bad, The Ugly Cincinnati Edition
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to Chaos's topic in The Stadium Wall
Maybe i'm think of a different one. I remember a 1x1 where the throw was to the wrong hash and he had to try and turn around for it. -
I have a hard time seeing all the 10-7 teams though. Baltimore Cincy Cleveland Miami KC Jaguars 7th spot between Houston (great win but they lost to carolina the week before), Pittsburgh (ahead of us at 5-3, but a lot of games left in division and they aren't very good), NYJ (great defense but missing a QB), Chargers, and buffalo. This is all assuming Buffalo couldn't catch Miami, which i've seen nothing from them to indicate that buffalo can't.
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The Good, The Bad, The Ugly Cincinnati Edition
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to Chaos's topic in The Stadium Wall
I mean... a good throw to Harty and we might have a completion. A great throw and you might get a TD. That was neither. -
2 stadium questions from my wife and her friend
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to judman's topic in The Stadium Wall
They're nice at the tailgate though. Woo! My wife gave some friends them for a gift for some hardcore season ticket holder friends so I'm glad they can use them! -
Dawson Knox on his decision to get surgery
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to BillsFan619's topic in The Stadium Wall
Yeah that is so utterly trash and disrespectful to the players. -
Why do you come to TSW & Post
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to Billsfan1972's topic in The Stadium Wall
Rational football discussion (mostly). Twitter is full of hot heads and young people. I'm only 36, but I don't understand half the slang and people on twitter are insane. Bet? Bet what? So stupid. -
Both times hit in the pocket for the UCL injury too. Shoulder looks like he landed on it funny. He's still playing so i assume the AC joint and rotator cuff are probably fine.
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Random talking head says something about the Bills
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to Simon's topic in The Stadium Wall
It's week 18, i'm saying we might be 1 game back going into that game. Win would get us the division. -
Random talking head says something about the Bills
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to Simon's topic in The Stadium Wall
My guess is 11-5 miami and buffalo 10-6 for the division. Miami has NYJx2 (I guessed 1 loss of the two), KC, Dallas or Baltimore. That would put them at 11-5 going into week 18. Buffalo has @Cincy, @Philly, @KC, Dallas Home. I don't expect they lose all 4 of these games, but the above scenario would have buffalo winning 1 of these 4. I think they beat denver home, NY home, LA on the road, NE home. Looks to me like the playoff teams look like this in some order AFCE - Miami and Buffalo - Jets could be sneaky 9-8 or something but i see them fading like last year. AFCN - Baltimore seems to be the best team here so far. Pittsburgh will fade with limited offense, Cleveland likely will as well. Hard to string W's together without scoring points. Cincy seems to be the hot choice but their schedule is a load - Bills, @ ravens, @jaguars, @chiefs - plus another game against the browns, 2 vs. pittsburgh. There's like no way they're running through that schedule without a couple L's. Between the in-division stuff, I'd say 1 team comes out of this division. AFCS - Jaguars and likely no wildcards because these teams are all flawed in some way. AFCW - KC is the best team here. Chargers are my last-in wildcard pick. Schedule has broncosx2, LVR, NE, the jets, the packers. Just winning the games they should win there would get them to 9 wins. Sneak in a W over detroit, baltimore, buffalo or KC would get them to 10 too. -
A commonality among the Bills recent signings
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to Simon's topic in The Stadium Wall
I do feel like when we were winning big - we were playing with attitude on both sides of the ball. It's a tough way to play sustained all year, but that's what you want to be as a wildcard team going into the playoffs. If we want to play physical on offense we have guys for it both passing and running the ball- Allen, Knox, Kincaid, Fournette, Murray, Davis. We also have speed and quickness with Diggs, Cook, Shakir, Harty. Defensively - 8 man rotation of guys who have ability to create havoc - hopefully Joseph can let the LBs make some plays. Back end we have smaller LBs but bigger corners and adding douglas is just another player who will hit you. We will miss tackles, and we will give up some chunks - but make them earn it. If you don't think a team like that is dangerous come playoff time... I'd say you are wrong. -
I think he's hurt all the time too.
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Bills sign DT Linval Joseph---Elam to IR
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to Process's topic in The Stadium Wall
Defensive line isn't too bad. Most of what you have to know is gap integrity, and a 1T has a pretty clear gap. Other than that its "see the ball, get the ball". Stunts/twists are possible? But i doubt he'd be too heavily involved in those types of plays as they really brought him in to be stout at the interior point of attack. -
Bills sign DT Linval Joseph---Elam to IR
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to Process's topic in The Stadium Wall
I feel like its really hard to get a ton of non-clean up sacks as a 1T. Not only do you have to likely split a double team, but you're right in the QBs face and he's likely to try and escape since its the first thing they'll see. -
Barkley signed to Giants practice squad
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to Draconator's topic in The Stadium Wall
I thought he had a nice game when we played miami a few years ago. I know it was 28-6 at half, but it was nice when he dropped that deep ball in a bucket to gabe just to stick it to the fins. -
Barkley signed to Giants practice squad
Bleeding Bills Blue replied to Draconator's topic in The Stadium Wall
Why would you have a practice squad QB that you don't trust to play though? If they're bad.... get someone else?