Bleeding Bills Blue

To me its not a consistent "turnover machine" issue - he just has games where he's a turnover machine. Usually you lose those games. Jets and Denver this year - whether we should have won either or not, we're in a lot better shape if he doesn't combine for 7 turnovers in those games. Like if he doesn't play terrible in those games - probably 8-4.

I think winning a super bowl is what usually buys you a lot more time. Winning % is higher than McVay hired the same year but McVay won a super bowl. Better record than Shanahan, who has not won a super bowl. Higher than Vrabel in tennessee. Better record the last 2 seasons than McDaniel and Pederson.

I'm not worried too much about Jackson - him or another depth corner shouldn't cost a ton. Once you get past the top 7 FA CB contracts in 2023, everyone made 4M AAV or less.

13M AAV vs. 14.3M AAV. Closer than you think - but kelce signed in 2020 vs. 2022. Cole Kmet is making 12.5 to knox's 13. Njoku at 13.6. Engram at 13.75.

If you can bring back white at a reduced cost, with benford, and douglas. CB is basically set, and thats not factoring in whatever you might have with Elam. Safety i expect them to do what they did with poyer and hyde - identify vets who aren't pro bowlers who will be scheme fits.

Lots of picks, lots of holes. If we go WR in the first, i'm not sure another offensive player gets drafted til round 5+. Need pass rushers, 3T, 1T players (these are usually found in that late 3rd/4th where we have 3 picks), probably a corner, and safeties. After they do their moves to get under and figure out the von situation - they should have space to make some moves. Maybe bring back DQ and AJE. Id expect 2 free agent safeties (assuming mcdermott stays, which i think he will). Quite a few pretty good safeties hitting UFA so if you do it right you can get a couple good players who need homes. Pass rusher - same thing. Allen, Burns and Young will be getting paid and there will be people without jobs who won't cost nearly as much.

Eh i didn't want to add more guaranteed money to him down the line. His dead money number for 2025 is 7.8M vs. a 15.4M cap hit. You can also keep him for 2025 while you have kincaid on a rookie deal. It's a lot for knox, but its not as bad when you average out the two tight ends. All his bonuses wouldn't be touched. Its the base salary that is currently guaranteed up to 10ish M, and then another portion triggers a few days into the new league year. Any of his roster bonuses etc. would also be voided.

Would certainly make releasing him more palatable - for both cap reasons and pegula's wallet.

Yeah i got to 30.5 without touching miller or knox. Knox isn't cuttable until 2024, and depending on results of all this stuff with Von who knows there. I could see him getting cut with the hit splitting across 2024/2025.

I got to 16.4 on spotrac doing this: Restructure - Allen, Milano, Oliver, McGovern, Bates Cut - Tre, Morse, Poyer, Hines, Harty, Neal Left alone - Diggs, Von (for now), Knox, Johnson, Dawkins Other possibilities Cut Von post june - saves 6.79M in 2024, but theres 15.4 in dead money 2025 Extend Dawkins - Can likely lower the base salary number from 9.3M and give you flexibility to restructure down the line Extend Taron - Reduce base salary from 6.45 Extend Douglas - Already 30 years old but even adding a year can get that 9M base salary lower Restructure Diggs - Can get about 14M in cap space if you do this - but he's in age 31 and it basically locks him in through age 32 or 33 season

All his bonuses and restructures are already "paid" - salary would be the only thing you might get cap savings on and thats contract dependent.

I like the player but its just going to take kincaid off of the field. He's not a particularly notable blocker - plus ideally knox can return. I also don't see why we'd use cap space on a TE at 6-6 with playoffs looking unlikely.

Someone mentioned that his guaranteed salary may not be guaranteed under these circumstances, which would lessen the blow. If it is - you do it "post-june" - see some 2024 savings and get hit in 2025 with the rest. I don't even know if you're allowed to have practices during a bye week tbh.

I wasn't particularly good at football, and probably somewhat dirty when it comes down to it. Way i see it? I'm aiming for hurts. Either im aiming for his head or stepping on his hand. You wanna do your garbage play, then get some garbage response. He rocks back to get momentum - its bull.

Yep - you can pursue bonus money paid out or whatever... but you aren't really going to get cap space back. Likely ends up on exempt list - gets cut post June release. We end up with 2024 dead - 17M 2025 dead - 15.4M 2024 cap savings - 6.79M

Raiders cut him the very next day.

Another ~5M in 2022 as well.

Well he was released in 2021 so... they just accelerated the cap hits and ate the charge in 21/22 dead money.

So we shouldn't take a shot to try and go over the top?

Little bit easier when it happened yesterday. Any bruises or visible abuse would still appear today.

It's our bye week?

To be fair - everyone wanted chandler jones...

Eh... JP losman was a sack machine in college, and a sack machine in the pro's. Kid didn't have it between the ears in the slightest. Not to mention his arm was not nearly as strong as Allens. I don't see it. Holds the ball, takes sacks, not a rhythm passer, not particularly accurate.

62 QB runs vs. 26 for the lions. Buffalo has also played an extra game.

Side note - i feel like he's been the victim of several blatantly non-called PI penalties this year.