Bleeding Bills Blue

All joking aside, he should absolutely hold out. History of concussions, and coming off a great season, on a 1 year deal. Herbert and Burrow got theirs, what gives?

Hamlin has more starts than both combined, and while he didn't do anything impressive, he wasn't the liability people claim him to be. Coming off a near death, and a circus offseason, i didn't expect him to contribute last season. But a year removed? I didn't see much from Lewis to elevate him, and I don't get very excited about a depth player who is on his 6th NFL team.

Yeah I think they're a good young team. Just a more competitive division than people are letting on, and there are some warning signs. Point differential is one, the home/away/indoor/outdoor splits, and turnover luck is probably the big one.

It should be hard for depth players to make the team. It's honestly something i appreciate a lot about beane. He fills out depth, he drafts depth, and lets them fight it out for spots. I personally think Hyde is brought back, and i also think he's still a starter here. I don't hate what they've done at the position in a transition year, i just think Hyde's still better than the players buffalo brought in. With Buffalo drafting a potential neal/nickel depth in hardy - who is also a returner - Cam lewis probably also plugs into that same S depth group. Bishop Rapp Edwards Delaney Hamlin Lewis

I don't remember him being THAT bad. He started 13 games for a top 10 defense.

They have a strong offensive line that helps. He also had a drop rate lower than Allen has ever had in his career. He also has some pretty massive home/away, and indoor/outdoor splits. Home and away is pretty normal, but as we've seen with Tua and the dolphins... crowd noise can disrupt a lot of timing on your offense. As for weather conditions - October games @ NE, GB, NYJ should be challenging. Not to mention KC on the road in December. In 5 games played outdoors regardless of condition: 2-3 record, 60.63% completions for 1109 yards, 3 TDs and 1 INT. Losses were to Baltimore, Carolina, and NYJ. Carolina and NYJ were some pretty pitiful passing lines. Anyway... 4 dollars a pound 🙂

Same thing happened to the jaguars last year. I think both offense and defense over achieved for Houston last season. Lots of good players, but they're very young across the board. Diggs will be a big upgrade over Woods and Noah Brown. Lots to like about what else they did with trades and free agency, and I think they have a solid coach. At the same time... Jaguars are not far off from them, Indy was right there with a backup QB last year, and Tennessee has had a pretty big roster makeover (Ridley, Pollard, Cushenberry, Boyd, Murray, Awuzie, Sneed).

It's partly why I'm predicting Houston to miss the playoffs, and why my Jax prediction last year was correct. Houston goes from uncommon opponents of - Jets, Broncos, Cardinals - to KC, Baltimore, Dallas. Jax had KC, Buffalo, SF last year and went 1-2 in those games and missed the playoffs by a single game.

THANK YOU! make it look like leather!

Thought I'd throw a list together of who I believe will make final roster - not necessarily a depth chart 2 - QB - Allen, Trubisky 4 - RB - Cook, Davis, Johnson, Gilliam 6 - WR - Coleman, Shakir, Samuel, MVS, Hollins, Hamler 3 - TE - Kincaid, Knox, Morris 9 - OL - Dawkins, Edwards, McGovern, Torrence, Brown, VPG, Van Demark, Anderson, Collins 10 - DL - Rousseau, Jones, Oliver, Epenesa, Miller, Carter, Johnson, Smoot, Solomon, Williams 6 - LB - Milano, Bernard, Williams, Spector, Ulofoshio, Jones 6 - CB - Douglas, Benford, Elam, Johnson, Hardy, Lovely (I like his name :)) 4 - S - Bishop, Edwards, Rapp, Lewis 3 - Specialists - Bass, Martin, Ferguson KR/PR - My guess is Hardy or Shakir. Johnson potentially. I bolded the players I'd say are most likely players to not make the roster. What say you?

See, i thought shavers was the guy they grabbed for special teams chops, but even so. Last year the depth chart was Diggs, Davis, Shakir, Harty, Sherfield. This season I'd say Ulofoshio has a shot in LB depth, they brought in morrow but i think that spot will be open competition to replace matakevich. Then Hardy in the 6th, who has potential to replace neal - and also potential to be primary return man. I wouldn't consider either of those to be amazing use of picks, but they have better odds to make the roster than a player who doesn't play special teams, or someone at a position with lots of competition. Considering the breadth of players I'd have to say that is how the team is lined up. It's like the same cost to keep anyone outside the top 3-4.

I mean... Richardson wasn't exactly joe montana. Pearsall went in the first 1 year later and had similar numbers to shorter in 2022.

He lead the team with 365 special teams snaps. Next two were Matakevich (special teams captain) and Neal - who are gone. I expect buffalo to keep 4 backs, 1 to be inactive (probably johnson unless he is made a primary returner), and Gilliam to be active for special teams. He plays FB which... you probably use fullback formations 5x per game maybe? Probably more when you factor in some of the crappy weather games we've had in recent years. He's also played TE before so you have him there at emergency depth. 3rd string and 4th string players don't play anywhere but special teams, and he's pretty good at it from what I remember. Keeping a 7th WR to be inactive in lieu of a special teams ace doesn't make sense in the scheme of constructing a football roster.

Only thing that would've given me a semblance of hope was the clock. They were gashing us in the run game (which they can't use much inside 2 minutes even with timeouts), and buffalo had stopped them their last drive. I just feel like we would've lost the coin toss and thus the game in OT.

I always look at WR specifically and say - all the guys from last year who didn't play are 1 year older and thus forgotten. Hamler and Isabella are like 4 years older and completely forgotten. There were 30+ new WRs added this year in the draft alone, plus additional UDFA's. When i look at column 2 of this list: https://www.ourlads.com/nfldepthcharts/depthchartpos/wr , I'm having a hard time finding players that would be cut for someone like Shorter. Obviously injuries can change a lot of things.

Justin shorter sat a season as a 5th rounder. I don't think teams are lining up to poach him. I assume they want at least one vet in the bottom 3. I'd have to assume MVS fits that bill. Hollins plays special teams, but so does a player like shavers who also has the advantage of having played here for a season.

These back of roster guys have such a low salary that the replacement player is actually cheaper, so I don't see the guaranteed money as much of anything. May the best man/men winnnn. Hollins Cap hit - 2.48M Shavers Cap hit - 1.1M Hollins + .8 = 1.9M Cephus Cap hit - 1.1M Hollins + 1.055 = 2.155M Shorter Cap hit - 1.1M Hollins + .875 = 1.98M Hamler Cap hit - 1.1M Hollins + 1.055 = 2.155M Claypool Cap hit - 1.1M Hollins + 1.055 = 2.155M

I think Diggs was part of the plan for 2024. Diggs removed himself from that plan, so... this is likely not the "plan A" that was put together for the offseason. Trading for a name would've been cool, but its a challenge when Diggs cap hit actually went up when you trade him.

I see no reason why he'd get a massive contract. 0 all-pros, 0 pro bowls, and pedestrian sack numbers. His 5th year option is listed right now for 13.3M, and i don't think he would make more than that AAV on a new contract here or elsewhere. Gross-Matos made 9M AAV, Granderson 13M AAV in 2023, Chase Young 13M. I'd think somewhere in that range would be appropriate.

Well I look at it like the ST guy plays... the game the player is injured. But the next week you install the depth player who will start the next game.

Correct - but I don't have any split data to get into it further. Parsons was targeted in coverage 5 times in 2023 vs. 4 for Rousseau. I'm not sure Parsons is covering particularly often anymore. I'd agree as "complimentary DE". He's tied for 37th in total pressures (i'm not going through all those snap counts to determine his... pressure %). The team was also 4th in the NFL in sacks, and he gave up a lot of primary pass rush snaps to Floyd, while playing on his off side. End of the day though, the team needs Von to do... something.

Thats how i saw it - WR5. Active on gamedays, limited offensive snaps based on injury or maybe a few random formation wrinkles. However... if say Coleman has a long-term injury, its more likely they play other WRs in that spot over time. Like a first off bench, but never a starter.

I don't see them keeping 7. It comes out of either offensive or defensive line depth - where the depth actually plays considerable snaps, you also will likely have 2 inactive WRs on game day. Locks: Coleman Samuel Shakir ST - Depth Competition (Hollins has inside track with experience, but the cost is probably the same to keep anyone): Hollins/Shavers/Cephus Depth at primary boundary Competition (Probably keep 1, Shorter might end up on PS too): Shorter/MVS/Claypool Slot depth/Specialist Competition (Probably can stash either on PS and elevate if a samuel or shakir is injured): Hamler/Isabella

Bengals next year have Higgins as UFA, and Chase is on his 5th year option. Something has to give there - and beginning in 2026 that chase number will be among the highest in the NFL. They also have multiple starting offensive linemen as free agents (karras, T. Brown), BJ hill, and Mike Hilton. Hendrickson also wants a new deal going into next season. Lions numbers don't factor in Goff extension yet is the big piece, but they have a ton of great players on rookie deals. Hutchinson, Sewell, St. Brown (not rookie but... 13.9M on year 1 of his extension), LaPorta, Campbell.

17.1M Cap hit this year 51.5M next year if he plays - if he doesn't... it's a 49M cap hit and in 2026 they'd be free. If he does play then in 2026 they get 35M in dead cap. I think for them ideally he plays the next 2, Wilson and Sauce 5th year options are in 2026 so major extension money will begin in 2027.