Bleeding Bills Blue

They were remarkably healthy in 2017, and beat up on some cupcakes. They're good, but if and when you bottle up Gurley, you can beat them. Especially if you control the clock and run the ball on them. Goff did some nice things, but lets not act like he's anywhere near the top QBs. Reminds me of Tannehill TBH. I mean... reading his review of him he clearly just doesn't like him for some reason. Chris Ivory should probably be a 1.5-star free agent, but he's a big name, so I'll give him a write-up. General manager David Caldwell made an incredibly stupid move two offseasons ago when he signed Ivory to a 5-year, $32.5 million deal. Ivory, in two seasons with Jacksonville, rushed for a combined 821 yards, scoring five total touchdowns. He averaged just 3.4 yards per carry in 2017, and he turns 30 in March. Like... He was injured in 2016 and the short yardage backup in 2017... Who care's what this guy thinks

Darby's a UFA in 2019 though. I'm sure they can release some people if they put a huge value on him, but i look at it like keeping the pipeline moving.

He can really get the ball moving when he torques his hips into his throws. But he doesn't do that all the time, only on hard throws over the middle, and long passes. On out routes/when hes on the run he just flicks the wrist sort of like how vick used to throw. Not as much power or accuracy on those - hence the low velocity at the combine.

His contract was pretty rough. It was i think 6.5 per year of base salary (so all cap)? Which is more than a lot of teams entire running back cap charges for 2018, and likely more than he's fetching on the open market.

Tyrod was at 50 exactly i guess, but he seems to have quite a bit of zip on the ball. Arm strength is one of the things you can't really knock him on.

This.

He's my keeper in the 8th round in the one league i play.

I just look at it like... if you want a conventional pocket passer... don't draft this guy. If you want to build a unique offense around his skill sets. Then draft this guy. He very likely rushes for 800-1000 yards a year. He's very likely going to be a monster in the red zone. He'll probably hover around 60% completion percentage unless you add more screens... but i don't think that's how you would build an offense around the guy. He really needs the most work on throwing while on the move, he always like fully stops and plants his feet.

If management is contemplating moving a large number of picks, i'd be more concerned if they weren't looking at comp picks.

If a team like Pitt or NO picked him and sat him behind a future HOFer I think he could do well. He's a gamer, and he seems like one of those guys who truly cares. I just don't know if he's smart enough, or if he can fix all his issues. Who knows?

I think they're out routes to the right and left, which is a very weak part in jacksons game as it stands right now.

Yeah - when he does that like, hip torque thing, the ball is flyin. I just wonder if he can you know... fly it to someone on our team.

Watsons were actually much worse too if you look at 2017. Watching Louisville games, the kid can SLING it when he wants to.

True - the only notable i saw from the last couple years was Dak Prescott. At the same time if you trade a couple picks from 2019 (say a 2nd and 3rd, or something along those lines) it would benefit the team to add a 3rd and 4th round pick in the comp formula. Cap casualties don't affect the comp formula which is the main benefit. Signing a free agent is almost like trading a player if you need those picks. If you can effectively fill the hole without affecting it, i think they will explore those options. I dunno - sportrac has an annual value on brown of 8.4 million, and 9.3 million for Gaines. Kyle may sign a 1 year deal with a contender, and there's like no reason we sign matthews.

6th for brown? He's trying to get 8-10 per year.

If we move a bunch of late picks, it helps to have them to re-stock the bench.

I mean the guy led the AFC in rushing in 2015, and made the all-rookie team as a UDFA. There's clearly some talent there. I'm concerned about availability, and increased fumbles over the last 2 years. I'm not concerned about his age, or how much he was paid.

3.4 a carry on a ton of 3rd and short stuff last year - and their o-line was absolute garbage in 2016, and not particuarly great in 2017. I'm not saying he's fantastic, but Fournette averaged 3.9, and only had 3 games all year where he was above 4. Our defense was very mediocre against the run, and we bottled up their run game pretty handily in the playoffs. I suspect a lot of teams did that the last 2 years.

Cap went up 10 million too, so i assume he'd negotiate for more money.

Woods was 5 years 34m with 15 guaranteed. That's a top end contract for a #2 WR. Sanu was 5 32 with 14 guaranteed the year prior. So the top end #2 value would probably cap out around 36-40 over 5 years. Garcon is that #1/#2 guy and he got 5 years 47.5 and 20 guaranteed from SF. Doug Baldwin got 4 years 46 mil in 2016 with about 24 mil guaranteed. Davante Adams got 4 years 58 million with 30 guaranteed in 2017. If he can avoid injury concerns, and can convince teams to value him as a true #1, i could see him surpassing the Adams deal. Depends on his Agent, and if he's willing to go to a team like the jets, or bears. SF has spent a fair amount on receivers, but I think theyd be better suited beefing up the line and upgrading the RB and defense. If he's willing to take a little less money, i could see him doing really well as sort of a co-#1 in Oakland if they were to cut/trade crabtree.

I think he's got a bit more burst, and his jump cut's pretty legit. Not quite lynch, but reminds me a bit of marion barber.

Trading Dareus was done so that he wouldn't hurt our cap in 2019. His 2018 base salary was guaranteed so we would have had to trade him, as cutting him was a higher cap hit. We did get Milano in the 5th last year, so its not as if there aren't players to be had in that round, but it was really a salary dump to avoid having to split the cap charge into 2019.

We have 8 picks. Assuming we maneuver to get a QB, we might end up having to move down just to get to like 5 or 6 picks. We have pressing needs outside of backup running back. Whos taking the snaps? Whos snapping him the ball? Who's playing RG and RT? Who's starting at both DT spots? What about LBs? I know some of this will be addressed in FA, but we're still going into the draft needing a considerable amount of stuff. If there's a value play with say a 4th or 5th rounder, pull the trigger, but I don't think we need a RB in the 2nd. Yeah - seems like an overpay. They must be really looking for comp picks in 2019... which means they plan to move some of those picks in 2018....

Fournette averaged 3.9...

Jeffery took a 1yr deal with Philly for 9.5 million in 2017. Also had injury problems, but was a big-time red zone target for a young QB. Any team with a young QB and missing a #1 will probably target him. Throw JAX, KC, DET, even maybe dallas if they walk from Dez, or ZONA depending on who they get into the mix. Maybe baltimore. Teams are always looking for speed at receiver.