Bleeding Bills Blue

I don't think arizona is a cupcake either at this point. They've lost 3 straight close games - gotta think they are still playing hard.

They got a H2H against us and a really talented team. 2 games against the bengals, and 1 against Miami should be 3 easy ones. Then 2 of Pitt, zona, and baltimore. They're missing a really serious all-pro piece of their defense though which might end up biting them.

This is a big game this weekend for playoff hopes. I do think Buffalo will beat pittsburgh, and gase doesn't seem to finish a season once eliminated so i see buffalo winning that one.

21-10 Defense should shut them down and i like singletary-allen to move the ball well enough with their legs to open up some stuff in the passing game. I expect the pass game to be a lot of quick stuff to neutralize their pass rush.

Steelers looked really bad against the browns... and they play them again. Browns could be 9-7 when its all said and done. But don't you just picture them controlling their own destiny and blowing an away game to cincy to end the year?

Neither team has a really easy slate and now the colts have 5 losses. To get to 9-7 Indy needs to win 3 of Titans, Bucs, Saints, Panthers, Jaguars. I'm not sure they have the offense to win 4 of them so i look at them as a likely candidate for 9-7.

I'm saying - there are certain teams that have players they won't trade. These are those players, they're the building blocks. Players that get traded at this point have become distractions, problems, not played to their potential etc. Not 5 time all-pros and MVP caliber running backs.

Kuechly is under contract for 2 more years... reasonable price - why would you release him? As for McCaffrey - same thing, 1 more year on his deal and a 5th year option. MVP candidate and a 5 time first team all-pro LB... those are things you build around. None of these guys are available in 2020 (Cook, McCaffrey, Kamara). Ekeler is a RFA - but he's going to get a fairly high tender so you'd have to overpay and give up probably a 2nd round pick. Cook and Kamara are in the last year of rookie deals so they'll want to negotiate extensions, and possibly be trade candidates if negotiations are far apart - but they aren't available to sign so they will cost you picks.

It's kind of windy in buffalo - no kicker is just blasting them out of the end zone every try. Angling punts is the same thing - u also run the risk of shanking. Punting high is often enough.

He's an RFA anyway so I don't think he's on the radar

They're better than the 6-4 suggests - 4 losses, 3 by 4 or fewer points. I don't know that their defense is as stingy as it appears, but they got a great oline and zeke. Dak's playing fantastic right now... its a tough game. Maybe NE messes up his mojo before thanksgiving - but we're going to need to hang 30 points and not turn it over. Hope they have an aggressive gameplan.

Agreed. They should all be relatively cheap too. 2nd tier RBs ended up with Annual Average values below 3 mil and total guarantee's of about 3. Figure with some inflation - and a lot more talent. 4? per year maybe less?

I also am not a big obrien fan. Don't think he makes that offense go

Lines definitely an issue there. Defense is hurt too and got rolled over

Maybe it was just memories of Watson playing buffalo and I wasn't impressed

Teams usually carry 9 on the 53 and with nsekhe hurt our only backups are long (active on game days), Boettger (inactive), and bates (who will now be active). Bates becomes active as a backup swing tackle and long backup interior. You want another guy inactive on game days in case someone were to go down - then you have a guy who has at least been practicing with the team.

I like the early london games tbh. Football on tv at a time when it never is... have some coffee and eggs. Its kinda nice.

Wilsons never missed a game - pretty crazy.

I dunno - delay of game 5 yarder if you wanted to?

Yeah - they do like him for jet action plays and i think he can be a weapon in the screen game. But Allen threw a nice ball on a swing route and he just dropped it - Allen put it right in the spot he wanted it so he could change direction and cut up field, if you hit the other shoulder its taking you to further behind the LOS and towards the sideline.

Yep - and then at that point you know what you have in Oliver. Can he be an effective pass rusher inside? His dead cap hit would be 7.8 million next year - nothing in 2021 unless they split the 7.8 over 2020 and 2021. The cap hit is his pro-rated signing bonus (which was already paid but split over 5 years), but salary/roster/workout bonuses are not guaranteed. Cash wise - we would pay him absolutely nothing to not play here next year. He already got the money when he signed in 2018. https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/buffalo-bills/star-lotulelei-12294/

I don't like the designed like - QB run into traffic. I'm fine with a simple single read option where he's more in the open field. As for scrambling? Just know when to take off and get down. I don't mind zone reads and RPOs though. Use your QBs athleticism.

Bears had 8 games where they had 3 or more takeaways - went 6-2 in those games. They scored 6 defensive TD's in 2018. They also led the league with 36 Takeaways. Tied for 3rd in the league with 50 sacks. Like all of those are incredibly volatile stats. Defensive TD's and takeaways in general are sometimes a lot of luck (ball bounces up in the air instead of into the ground, or ball bounces to your team on a fumble instead of out of bounds, etc.). Sacks are the same way, teams can scheme ways to slow a pass rush down (bootlegs, screens, run game). It's still a solid unit - but the same teams show up as high with turnover differential every year and they are the teams that don't turn it over on O. As for Trubiskey - He definitely played his best against bad defenses - 350 and 6 TDs against tampa, 300 3/1 against miami, 355 and 3 against detroit. I do feel like he may be pressing a bit, holding the ball , and Nagy seems to have been figured out. The free plays to cohen aren't there and they can't run the ball or protect him it seems. 3rd down percentage has gone from 40% to 30%, They're scoring on 26% of drives vs. 36% of drives in 2018, they're averaging under 10 yards per completion, under 6 YPA (there is no fancy advanced metric that makes their passing O look mildly effective). Just not efficient - inability to run the ball or in some weeks - call running plays... has killed their O. They're actually turning it over less than last year - but their rushing offense is terrible and their passing offense is pretty much the worst in the league outside of not throwing interceptions.

He living in DC? Or probably moving out to california to enjoy his retirement

Yeah - we could have just - drafted mahomes in 2017 too... He already won an MVP and isn't just the flavor of the month at the moment. Or watson. You literally do not know who is going to be good or bad at draft time. Mayfield shredded as much as watson did in college - and he's struggling this year. Murray is plugged into an O that is basically the same as his college O - with vastly different results. Mahomes came from an air raid offense of throwing the ball 70 times a game (remember when he threw for 734 yards and 7 TDs against oklahoma? Yeesh) His "hero ball" seems to always work for whatever reason too.