Bleeding Bills Blue

I know they've largely built their success on their offensive line and a strong defense, but he was an absolute menace in that playoff game in buffalo last year.

Small school, smaller player, and didn't blow anyone away at the combine. Scouting report says he struggled with the more NFL bound tackles on tape. Either way, looks like a baller. Stud DE's usually go earlier in the draft, but there's always exceptions. Crosby, Judon, and Hendrickson come to mind as later round picks. You also see a lot of other dudes in this range za'darius smith, trey flowers, Hubbard, Sweat, and many others in that 2nd tier of solid pass rushers. Hopefully he can develop and fall in one of these top two tiers.

No huddle is so freaking hard to defend, if you have chemistry you barely need plays.

Cook has weird mental lapses between drops and fumbles. The drop wasn't... game changing this week? But a mistake nevertheless.

It's pretty early too, and as bad as most of those 5 weak teams are, they all have a little scrappiness. 4/5 already have wins. Denver has a good defense. Vegas can't run or stop the run, but they have an interesting array of pass catchers. Tenn is 0-3, and not a lot has gone right, but if they stop turning the ball over and get back to basics I don't think they'd fall among the worst teams in the league. Early bye week for them that is timed pretty well for their team. Giants look like a drought era bills team. Lameduck coach, GM, QB. We've all seen this story though and it rarely ends with the #1 overall pick, so they'll win some games they shouldn't. Carolina played well last week, and the raiders played badly. Competent QB play opened up the run game. Now how to get competent QB play out of your franchise QB?

The patriots would also have probably checked a box as a cupcake. Carolina, NYG, LVR, Tenn, Denver are all on the schedule so they definitely still have some easier games. I hesitate to include Cleveland (Burrow is 1-5 against Cleveland). In order to make noise i'd say they need to win all 5 of those. Baltimore x2, Pitt x2, Cle x2, @LAC, @Dallas, Philly. If they win those 5 "cupcake games", they'd need to win likely 5 of these games. They probably need to go at least 5-1 in the division too.

I think one of the things this team and defense do very effectively is communicate. And yes they have a bunch of no-name guys playing considerable snaps at the moment. I mentioned on another thread, but the fact remains that a lot of these guys have been here for a while learning this defense inside and out. I'd argue pass rushers and defensive line should be pretty high on the list. If you want to beat mahomes you're going to need to pressure him.

He reminds me a bit of puka nacua. Nacua's a bit bigger but they're both low center of gravity yac guys who seem to catch everything on 3rd downs.

Buffalo has 8 picks and 4 of them are day 1/2 picks. WR is high on lists. Pass rusher should be too. Corner will have an opening with douglas gone and elam likely on his last year with no 5th year option. Can't hurt to keep adding to the interior of offense and defensive lines And this is all before free agency. So they definitely have flexibility to go in different directions.

I think any addition to the WR room is likely injury related.

I don't know about ticky tack - ball in air and keuchly tripped him as he broke over the middle. Big missed tackle let jackson get out of bounds too. Not his best drive. Big play there was jacksons "drop" i think he felt contact and put the ball on the turf. Same with Spillers which was not remotely intentional and almost resulted in a pick. Either of those are catches and the drives probably dead.

Moving him costs 3.4M in space since you bump up the 2025 bonus. Keeping him is 3.8M in space. Savings would be eaten by the replacement player. So now you're spending more in cap - the new depth would be codrington and Couch. The new backer likely carries a higher cap hit than andreeson who you would likely cut to accommodate. Doesn't seem to make financial sense, and you should be getting bernard back by the time the new linebacker is settling in. Also, i didn't see anything from spector that made it seem like he was completely overwhelmed on the field either. 3rd year on the team, good athlete, and they liked him enough to play roster games to get him on injured reserve last year.

They brought in multiple corners during camp and through the draft. None of them beat him out for a job. If they were going to trade him, they would've done so in August when they were trimming the roster down. If they didn't call around for him after camp, it was because they felt he was the 3rd best boundary corner. Even trading him wouldn't have actually saved any cap space vs. keeping him.

I try to not judge players by how much they sack bad QBs, as these players usually cause their own pressure several times per game. Levis is hovering around 10% for his career now. Floyd's year last year where he had, 10.5 sacks for example. 6 of those sacks total came against players who are all backups now, who all maintain pretty high sack rates over their careers. 3 sacks against wilson (10.22%) and boyle (Career 5.18%, but 10.47% with jets). 2 sacks against Howell (9.73% sack rate) 1 sack against tyrod (9.24% sack rate)

Both QBs stink in that first matchup so... its likely who stinks less. Willis didn't hurt them last week but... I would also go with Arizona, though i fear detroit runs it all over them. It's also an indoor road game for detroit, and Goff plays much better indoors than outdoors.

I don't think any kicks into that end were touchbacks, and buffalo's long return in the game was similarly a kick deep attempt. Seems like if you are going to kick it in play you don't want a high kick since you cannot run until the receiver catches it, and you're better off trying to knuckle it into the landing zone where you can run as soon as the ball touches the ground. In any case - Bass and Smiley need to come up with a better strategy because its not going to get easier to kick touchbacks in buffalo as the season goes on. I don't look at his number last year and say "oh he doesn't have the leg" because under previous rules buffalo kicked short of the end zone intentionally.

The allen and mahomes effect is... even when you call the right defense, match up well, put pressure on them. They still convert because they're freaks.

And i believe that was the last straw for dorsey. I know the coaching mistake on the missed FG "cost them the game". But buffalo ran 52 plays (denver had 71) and had 22:39 in time of possession. Buffalo outgained them too, but the old "complementary football" argument reared its ugly head - turnovers being the big one. Hard to argue with the team results post-dorsey though. We didn't win time of possession in miami, but they didn't really need to as the team had gotten by with a few explosives while miami threw up all over themselves.

I didn't see it. He looks like Kyler, but he's not nearly as athletic, and doesn't have nearly as good of an arm. So in that vein, his football IQ needs to be that much better than a Murray. Basically they ended up with a more athletic mac jones, and broke him in year 1 when they put him behind a trash line. Hopefully he can get out of there sooner rather than later so he can lose the pressure that seems to have consumed him as a #1 overall pick. There's a few landing spots that could be interesting. Cleveland, Tennessee, Vegas, NYG, NYJ, Pitt are all going to be looking for another QB next season and I'm certain they aren't all going to be in position to draft someone. Carolina needs to go in a different direction at this point.

Now he has to hire Mckinsey to tell him who to layoff... If you can fire enough people you can probably make a little more money this year!

Bend but don't break has been around forever - the tightness of the red zone, a penalty or sack can derail the entire drive, and it forces an offense out of their game scripts.

I really like watching Maxx Crosby play.

I remember when this first started to become popular 2 seasons ago, and allen wasn't having his best year. Then they just doubled down and threw the ball even deeper and it started to work. I don't blame coaches for saying - I'm sick of these big chunk plays on deep overs below my single high safety. More than half of QBs in the NFL now are mobile so man coverage can sometimes mean covering for like 2 routes per play, not to mention man coverage exposes you to QB runs. 2 deep safeties lets me keep eyes on the QB, but forces you to tackle and exposes you on the boundaries. I don't hate it because Allen has shown he can be patient, and is taking the free alerts based off the opposition alignment. So far anyway, the free alert plays are generating like 8 yards a play and no one (diggs) has been dropping them consistently. He also has the arm strength to drive into tight windows, and the eyes to manipulate them.

Coaches could probably yell them out from the sideline.

No, but there also isn't a successful ohio state QB in the NFL... ever.