Bleeding Bills Blue

I think the team's achilles heel at the moment is the inability to really step on the the gas when they're up. It bit buffalo in a couple of games as the defense wasn't able to hold up. The playoff loss, the losses to NE and CLE, near losses to cincy/miami. I don't even really know what it is. Sometimes playcalling got cute and they'd do dumb stuff, sometimes it was drops/turnovers, and sometimes it was just poor execution. A sack is a drive killer, a penalty is a drive killer, etc. The identity needs to be there for this to happen. I think moss can be a big part of helping close out games. Get that 7-10 point lead and hammer them with moss and play action. The goal is to win, and you want to mitigate risk to make that happen, but playing too risk averse can cost you as well.

Right. Could've called Dalton's agent and felt him out - no idea. I doubt they wanted keenum/mariota at that cost.

Gotta remember free agency is a 2 way street. Winston struck out and signed somewhere where he thought he could help re-establish value under brees/payton. Dalton probably wants to be in texas. Keenum got 18 million. Flacco can't suit up til September and he looked terrible last year. Foles was traded. Kyle Allen went to Rivera where he thinks he has a shot to start. Hoyer went to NE for a chance to start. Cam went to NE for a chance to start.

The Kelce extension doesn't initiate for 2 years since hes still under contract. Most of the otehr deals are like that too. But they'll have to do some maneuvering down the line.

I mean.. Kelce is 4x 1st or 2nd team all-pro. Dawson knox dropped like 11 passes last year. Hes looking at tyler eifert money currently unless he takes MASSIVE steps forward.

3rd and 2 and we were running QB sweeps. Thats how much he trusted/wanted to use gore.

I don't think you're always going to kick a 50+ yarder. But if its 3 seconds before halftime and we're on the 35 yard line, he's probably going to miss it. Less than 50% over 2 seasons and was 1/5 in 2019. 21st in FG accuracy, 18th in XPs, 26th in TB%, and better than like 4 guys at 50+ because they didn't make any of them. I'm at least giving the kid a chance. Honestly i wonder how much having no/reduced fans at games will help kickers. Pressure is the same, but you aren't in like this crazy loud stadium of people trying to get you to miss.

My favorite moorman moment was when he did that in the pro bowl and got annhilated by sean taylor. Then popped right up and gave him a butt slap.

Plus FA's get overpaid Conklin for 14 million - Whitworth for 10 at age 38. Hell the Jets gave Fant 10 AAV and i don't even think he's very good.

Cutting murphy saves you 8 mil (minus whatever johnson/cox/love makes). Cutting Hauschka saves 1.75 minus bass salary. Roberts saves you 1.5 minus mckenzie. Yeldon could save you 1.75 too. Smith and Dimarco could save some change. Add it all up and its close to what you probably pay milano, leaving you more space to secure white.

No, it'll hit next year. Its only a 1 year rollover anyway so it doesnt matter.

Lewan signed in 2018 for 5/80 at 16 per year. Matthews 5/72.5 for 14.5 a year. Tunsil 3/66 for 22 per year, Armstead 2016 for 5 and 65. Solder 2018 4/62 15.5 per. Bakhtiari 2016 4/48 12 per. So It's in line with the top level guys at the position - similar to what DJ humphries signed for, slightly less than a couple of others - but several of these guys will get that jump into the tunsil territory in the next 2 years. Bakhtiari and Villanueva will get big paydays next year at least. Other guys like Armstead, Reiff, and fisher are likely 2022 bumps.

Its up there - but a lot of the top tier guys are in later years of their deals.

I mean - i guess. Except RPOs can only be run out of shotgun since you can't make a read with your back turned to the field. You also can run PA deep since your linemen won't be caught downfield. You can have more receivers running routes since you aren't limited to reading a single player post snap. If you want you can mess with timing on RPO routes by jamming at the line and forcing them off their spot.

2 vet corners vs. harry and sanu outside is also a really bad matchup for them. Edelman is always a tough man draw, but none of these guys have speed - and RPOs over the middle require some short area timing that you can interrupt with press coverage.

Basically an RPO, everyone run blocks, and there's usually like 1, max 2 routes on the same side of the field. If you read maybe cover 2 zone, your slant WR may be open since the LB filled the run gaps. But if you think its cover 2 zone, and it ends up being man or something - there's a post-snap read that you have to make very quickly to decide if you're throwing the slant or handing it off. It's a simple post-snap read, but it has to be made super quickly. You can counter it by playing tight coverage, and their lack of downfield speed and good safety coverage makes it hard for this to be super effective.

It's all about discipline, and deceptive pre-snap looks. If a pre-snap look makes you think your TE will be open if edmunds fills his run gap, you may throw that pass based off of edmunds filling said gap. But what the other players on the defense do can create problems there.

Yeah - Big factor is how little a player makes on the practice squad vs. what they would make on another teams 53. Minimum is 8400 per week for about 142k per year. A UDFA with a roster spot earns about 600K in 2020. They also get a guaranteed 3 weeks on the 53, plus pay at that level. So 3 weeks at 35K per week (assuming league minimum salary). Even if you end up on a PS you just made 105K in 3 weeks when you would've earned 25k. There are only so many roster spots available - poaching off of other peoples PS is relatively common, but lets not act like these aren't guys that are bouncing around between 53's and PS's.

I think it'll be a lot of seniors tbh.

Probably more likely with chytil and kakko tbh. Buchnevich is pretty solid on the line with panarin and zibanejed. Or kakko plays up top with them and buchnevich maybe with the other 2.

Kakko put up 10G and 23 points... What can you really expect from another 18 year old? 40ish points? Maybe?

Foster caught 3 of 18 targets last year... How will we replace production like that?!!!! I wonder if either will end up playing some on special teams this season. Helps you get an active spot on gameday. Mckenzie v roberts will be interesting too. 1.5 mil vs. 750k in savings on cap. I think Roberts is the more secure returner of the 2, but mckenzie definitely showed some abilities on offense (3 TDs and 500 yards on like 60 touches). Duke was a nice story, and both he and foster probably still have PS eligibility. Nice to have guys there who have played a bit in the NFL, and who have familiarity across the offense. If we lose them - no harm. Neither was particularly good. You won't keep 7, so to me mckenzie and roberts is a battle on its own.

Just like every stat that points to him being good, there's one that says he isn't. It'll have to play out on the field.

We were down 16-0 midway through the 3rd quarter at the jets week 1. 4 turnovers - 2 deflected passes, a muffed snap, and a whiffed blindside block. Nothing had gone right to that point in the game other than a couple of missed kicks by the jets. However Buffalo had 160 yards at half, its not like they weren't moving the ball at all. And when it came down to it - Allen put up drives that put 17 points on the board and won the game. 3 minutes left, darnold continued to do not much of anything. The bengals game was as much on the defense than anything else - they gave up 17 points over 3 straight drives following the allen INT. I'm sure Russel Wilson has to give back his 4th quarter comeback that he earned against cincy too... Hell - Seattle only had 232 yards in the entire game against the bengals.

Paying early doesn't make sense. You just carry it over and pay them next year. Can't carry it over twice anyway. Considering addison/hughes and their salaries, i don't think they bring in clowney. In fact i think its more likely they just cut murphy and use that money to help secure milano/dawkins/white long term. I think extensions and re-structures are possible for players like poyer, hughes, maybe john brown. Gets some cap pushed out for next year should they need it, but honestly right now they're ok. Probably save those types of moves for if/when you have to pay allen.