Bleeding Bills Blue

Step one - get rid of the bad contracts and malcontents. Can probably get some value for adams if you trade him now to a team who wants to extend him. Bells contract is pretty bad and untradeable but it's worth it to get him off the books. Figure out what you can do with Enunwa. Mosley's overpaid but a good player. I'd consider moving him next season. Get your ass kicked in dead money for 1 year, and then you're free of a lot of bad contracts and problems that were signed by previous regimes. You'll have money available to extend Darnold, sign free agents that help build the team in the image you're looking for, and will hopefully accumulate some draft capital to help. Hell, you might even suck enough to get #1 overall! Or if you're buffalo you could just, make the playoffs

I think they use it to try and gauge processing speed for QBs? It's not super effective. LJ is probably the first modern era QB to have real success though while having a very low score. Tua also apparently was not very good on the white board though - so I think that may be more concerning than anything else.

Yeah - 2008 was pretty bad. I'm not saying you HAVE to move around the draft - but it felt like they overdrafted a lot of guys that they liked. 2010 was bad... Not a great RB draft and they take one in the first because they need to push lynch out. Yuck. At least they traded down for EJ. Tavon Austin and TJ Mcdonald for EJ Manuel, Kiko Alonso, Maquise Goodwin, and Chris Gragg. Yikes.

Lamar Jackson also got a 13 fwiw

I mean - Football doesn't exactly require ideal conditions. They can start the season whenever they want to and the networks will air it since its the best ratings they'll get. Would it piss off baseball or something? Probably, but what can they do?

I'm looking forward to a lot of head scratchers in this draft. There will be players unanimously mocked in rounds like 3 and 4, going in the 1st.

I always look at what Beane and Mcdermott doing on the offensive line as an open competition - probably only the left side is locked up. Feliciano's either starting RG or backup C/G. ford/nsekhe/williams... They just signed a guy... could easily see them drafting someone who they think can push bates off the 53, or convince them to trade nsekhe or williams. We don't have an elite offensive line - keep tweaking it til you can get there. Dawkins is starter this year - and they likely bring him back longterm... However he isn't elite, and not taking some chances at the position makes it hard to find someone who is elite. Things that need most improvement on the offense: Short yardage plays - get more creative than just QB sweeps on 3rd and 2. Lots of drive killers there. 18 passes vs 44 runs on 3rd/4th and short. Then 2nd/3rd and long passing. Allen has to stop holding the ball, sometimes its not there. Conventional QB rating of 74.6 on 2nd and 3rd and long, with a sack rate of 10.4%. Thats like Blaine Gabbert... I know there are some scrambles there that should somehow factor in on the sack rate, but i calculated it the same way (sacks/(sacks+pass attempts). A lot of the improvement here is on Allen. The offensive line also had 44 total penalties - these are drive killers too (24 false starts and 20 holding penalties). The ravens had 23 total... the Chiefs had 24 total... you get the idea. 20 extra times that our offense shot themselves in the foot. Over the course of 150-170 possessions... thats a lot.

All depends how the chips fall. If none of the guys they want fall then go the FA route. It isn't ideal but there's some decent RB's out there still.

I'd like to see a defensive playmaker tbh... Big nickel safety, edge with some length, ball hawking corner

Singletary took 65% or more of offensive snaps in 10 of 12 games he played in (missed 3 to hamstring injury and sat out week 17). Those 2 games were week 2, when he got hurt, and week 7 his first game back. I'm absolutely ok with adding another running back in the draft with picks 2 or 3 though. We have nothing behind him and if he were to get hurt i think production at the position would suffer. But I'm not sure how much we need a WR4 considering Mckenzie Duke and foster totalled like 43 catches in various roles. I expect beasley's snaps to decrease a bit, and mckenzie would stick as a gadget player and WR4. I guess it's nice for depth to have someone behind diggs/brown who can slot into that role a bit better than Mckenzie/ roberts should someone get hurt. However it's hard to find an offense that effectively uses a 4th WR for more than a handful of plays a year though. If Hill and Watkins don't miss time, i doubt hardman gets 26 catches for the chiefs. I guess the packers but 3 bad receivers doesn't make the 4th WR important, it just means the WRs were bad. If someone could be had in later rounds that you believe is better than mckenzie/foster/duke right now - maybe? As for TE, the Kroft restructure seems to indicate they're rolling knox, kroft and whomever from smith croom and sweeney. I expect smith unfortunately.

Typically you have the kicker, punter, and longsnapper essentially doing their own mini practice. Thats why punters hold for kickers. If you only had 2, then you have to take another guy away from practicing at his actual position to hold FGs.

He's on a 1 year deal at this point and we have a lot of people to pay next season - so it would be tough to bring him back. However, cutting lee smith saves the cap hit so it's a wash dollar wise. How much should a team be willing to wager for a 1yr rental?

White's a "set the market" kind of player. I don't see Dawkins or Milano as that guy. OLB's who get paid are traditionally pass rusher's, and he has 2.5 sacks in 3 years. He's a solid coverage linebacker and a smart player. At the same token - Shaq Thompson just got 13.5 AAV. I assume negotiations are starting at around 11-13M per year for Milano? Dawkins? Vet deals basically start at 10 million, and he'll be a younger player so you're looking at like 14?

He's played in 1 playoff game in 2016. He's also a bit of a drama queen. Remember the whole watch thing? Just take off your watch! its a football game!

Yeah - as soon as williams signed it was like - he's either the swing tackle/guard or he's traded for a 6th RD pick. I don't think we could get much for spencer long, but maybe? He has played guard and center in the NFL and usually those types can be hard to come by. Yeah - He's 3rd string center - and he's going to be in a battle with bates. Keeping bates saves you money, and neither likely sees the field this season. Bates also likely takes some snaps at 2nd string center in camp since feliciano is starting RG.

Basically 4 years and 60 million left on his deal that you would cover. Fair amount more than Diggs. He hasn't been particularly elite in the last 3 years either. I'd probably still go offensive line in the first and then use their early 2nd on a WR. Stefanaski is a run first guy so I think they'll want to roll heavy PA with Chubb/Hunt. Plus they have Hooper/Njoku.

No idea what goes into generating a DYAR and DVOA for running backs in a passing attack - but allens scattershot accuracy on swing passes has to harm these numbers, no? Seems to factor yards per target, as well as catch rate and TDs. But look at the guys on the bottom and their QBs and it makes a bit of sense. Either way - Gore wasn't it, and Motor should have to earn 3rd down opportunities. The screen game for Buffalo in general has also been bad.

I mean - the remaining free agent options are in limbo. Anyone with a health risk is in a holding pattern until they can get in front of team docs. And the others are waiting for the draft to happen, then they're playing musical chairs to make sure they're on a roster for camp. I like Motor, and I like the idea of adding someone in rounds 2-3. I also understand why they wouldn't go that route and just decide to try and bring along a vet. Depends how the draft falls - if there's serious value at 54 then pull the trigger. If it's not major value, then go for where you think there is value. Jones i believe was brought in for Special teams, so he likely is active gamedays. Usually they would only have 2 others active and a 4th on the 53. So i doubt they'd draft someone and sign Hyde. One of them's probably not active.

The GM has not panned out. But if they fire another GM... I just don't know who to hire. If most of the murray picks are bad, you're left with a barren pipeline. Murray also traded a lot of the prospects who should be depth on this roster - in short sighted moves to try and rush the rebuild. People wanted JB to try and make some crazy move to salvage this season and TBH I'm glad he didn't. Stop loading this team with terrible contracts, you need players to contribute on entry-level deals or it wont matter. And can they get a friggin goalie? Why are we so worried about every other aspect of this team but stopping the puck. A better player than hutton and they're probably sitting at 78-80 points and a little run away from sneaking into the playoffs. Also - Ullmark aint it. Keep looking.

I mean - for this years picks maybe? Minny would still have 2 firsts to address holes on defense. For the browns, i think I'd likely use their first 2nd round pick on a WR. If they do the trade I'm sure they'd be tempted by a top 3 WR in this draft, but they have problems along the offensive line and their new coach is a run first kinda guy.

Have to agree - was a headscratcher when Kim was put on top of PSE.

I mean Ekeler was a UDFA, and just got a raise to 6M per year. He was just as productive a receiver as McCaffrey - and split time with Gordon. They replaced Gordon with Justin Jackson who was a 7th round pick. The Ravens had Ingram, Edwards, Hill. All I'm saying is you can get the production from other players at the position. Of the 5 leading rushers in the NFL, 2 made the playoffs. From a pure team rushing yardage perspective, its somewhat of a precursor to success (Turnover Differential seems to always point to playoff teams) - but I don't think those yards need to come from a single player. Rush Yards per game - Buffalo ranked 8th Rush Yards per carry - Buffalo ranked 13th Expected points from Rushing offense - Buffalo ranked 9th As for pass catching running backs A- Daboll needs to build into the offense more since I think some of the gimme plays give Allen a bit of confidence B- RBs who catch passes don't necessarily equal team/offensive success. 5/15 of the leading receiving backs teams made the playoffs. Outside of NO and the Vikings, I wouldn't even consider the other 3 to have particularly good offenses. Christian McCaffrey 116 1005 Austin Ekeler 92 993 Alvin Kamara 81 533 Tarik Cohen 79 456 Leonard Fournette 76 522 James White 72 645 Le'Veon Bell 66 461 Devonta Freeman 59 410 Ezekiel Elliott* 54 420 Dalvin Cook 53 519 Saquon Barkley 52 438 Miles Sanders 50 509 Aaron Jones 49 474 Jaylen Samuels 47 305 Nyheim Hines 44 320

I feel like the NFL "league" of owners wouldn't let a team fail at this point. The richest of owners would prop up the other ones with loans and stuff.

I go with Karlos - 9 TDs on 100 Touches, and like 600 yards. And he never played again...

At the end of the day - owners have deep pockets - and every scout and GM etc. has basically just had some ridiculous battlestation put into their home offices with a few weeks to test out the conferencing features etc. Probably have some sort of slick Draft board software that someone built and sold to sports teams for you to organize it how you would on a big magnetic board. I've built some stuff in excel that i thought was pretty cool for fantasy baseball - but this is probably like, click his name and a popup comes up with like measureables, stats, grades that you input etc. If they don't i'd fire the App developer immediately - this should be able to be programmed in like a day. Assuming the NFL provides teams with a usable database of draft-eligible player measurements and stats. I think the vet's in trouble would likely be - Nsekhe (if they feel good about williams/bates), Long (for same reasons), Maybe Lee Smith, and Philips. But I'd bring every one of them to camp this year - its going to be an abbreviated camp. If someone important along the oline gets hurt etc. you're going to want them there. Move them closer to cut downs.