Bleeding Bills Blue

Yeah - the dline is a mess currently. They basically used butler at 1T with zimmer (didn't work), and oliver and jefferson split time over center on their snaps. That is not what you want on the interior. Butler can line up at 1T i suppose, but i feel like they got him to play next to oliver on passing downs. Jefferson brings some flex to being able to play end (no need with how bad the tackles are), but he isn't a 1T either. He should be playing 3T on run downs, and maybe 1T on pass downs - but it seems like butler gives a bit more juice to the pass rush. The big problem is phillips- they benched him for zimmer to play next to butler, and it didn't work. He got moved around all day on combos. They need a nose to play 50-60% of snaps (and actually anchor), and they need to be able to flex jefferson or butler to end as a run defender. Right now on 3rd and 2, 4th and 1 - they aren't capable of getting stops.

It makes sense assuming KC scores 3. If they dont make it - you are down 7 vs. 6. A stop+TD now gets you a tie vs. a lead. You can still go for 2 to win. But 2 XPs is 90% probability achievements - 1 of 2 2 pt conversions gives you 2 coin flips. If you miss the first, i doubt a coach decides to do it again down 1 with little time on the clock. An assumption of KC scoring makes the math make sense, but from a win probability percentage 2 kicks is probably more likely to get you a lead vs. 2 point conversion attempts.

Depends on the new coach. I would steer clear of QB "gurus" though - get a freakin leader in there. Maybe McDermott doesn't have buffalo in the super bowl, and maybe he never will... but the team is respected around the league. Jets are a laughing stock, completely rudderless, and devoid of any talent.

So... they force you to play in college. Then force you to play for what team selects you. Then completely limit your income earning potential and lock you up for as many as 5 years. And saying- I don't want to go to a train wreck shell of a franchise is the selfish part? Seems like the nfl and ncaa are rather selfish. They're the one chewing up and spitting out kids for profit. Playing for the jets could have cost darnold like a hundred million dollars.

I guess? Most coaches kick to tie, but I guess win probability goes out the window when ur playing this KC team

I think the thought was if you make the XP, stop them, and kick again - you would actually have a lead. If you don't get the 2 - you lose the ability to win after a stop. I'm not sure how that works with win probability percentages.

I think raiders and rams could be playoff bound.

I really wanted Reader in FA- but at the time we had star so... Not sure they'd trade him. His 17.5 base salary next year is actually rather reasonable. If they need cap space they can even extend him and re-work it.

I mean - you have to go for it down 2 scores when you can't stop the run right? May as well run a QB power or something there and just try again to start the 4th. I feel like with the 50/50 nature of going for 2 - 2 points puts you down 5 and 0 puts you down 7. Its tricky - if you kick and get a stop, a TD actually wins the game. If you miss the 2 pointer and get the stop now you only tie. So I don't know the entire math there... It comes down to actually getting a stop though which they didnt do. So like - down 14, you should go for 2. If you get it, you end up down 6 with a chance to kick to win. If you don't you have another coin flip chance to tie on the 2nd score. If you kick, you're down 7 and will then kick to tie - so no result of kicking is likely to get you a lead, while going for 2 has a 50% chance. Probably not seeing as he didn't work here.

Nah - Mahomes didn't go to the senior bowl. Most of the McD picks were senior bowl guys - Peterman, Zay, Tre, Dawkins

That makes some sense - and they have a bye week to get an extra week of practice so... likely its now or never.

Not sure I'm a big fan of a move like this. Rookies tend to handle pressure worse, and they haven't run the ball well all season.

Fitz was like... sharp in several games this year. In a loss to buffalo and wins against SF and Jax. Like best player on the team sharp.

reeks of rob johnson

Miami doesn't have pitt/tenn, and got cincy/jax instead. So... that week 17 game could loom large. Not to mention - tough schedule this year. No NFCE, NFCW is far better. AFCW is good too. And our other games are Tenn and Pitt who are both currently undefeated. 10-6 this year vs. 10-6 last year is a big change. I wonder if our defense was ever really THAT good, or if the bad QBs propped up a more mediocre unit. They certainly werent like... BAD like they are now though.

Even in quarters there - if you don't pick up the crosser he'll probably get to the end zone. Communication is super important in zone coverage.

At this point the entire defense is a mess. People want edmunds benched... but milano and dodson are banged up so... not sure who you want to put in. Klein - same thing. Dline - they did bench guys, the new guys didn't do much either. Nickel CB is a struggle. Norman made a nice play, but lets not forget how absolutely toasted he got the week before. The safeties aren't playing as well either. Poyer has to make a play on that ball to kelce - not sure if he was worried about him breaking in on a post. I wouldn't blame white there as it seemed like cover 2 so he has the crosser in front. He bails for kelce and the crosser probably walks in anyway.

Do we have guards who are better too? Do they kick Williams inside and start nsekhe until Felecianos back? Winters sucks, ford is probably going to miss time, spains hurt. All offseason everyone complained that he was a fumbler. Now the regular guys can't find space so... he must be able to find space?

I think winters and ford should be benched. wasnt like 30 something yards gained in garbage time with barkley at QB?

It's going to be this same gameplan against russ too... lots of zone and not letting them hit home runs. Carson is pretty good too.

yeah. It reminded me of the browns game last year (more frustrating, but similar failures - run D, 3rd down, kicking etc). So I was expecting that result. We drive down score, get happy - then they immediately carve up the defense and take the lead. I believe hauschka missed a FG at the end of that one too.

After the previous drive it almost felt like... if they got that stop - KC was going to have to scramble to salvage the game.

The 3rd down blitzing will continue, until we can scheme up something to prevent it. I thought we did a nice job picking them up honestly. It was the 1st and 2nd downs that were killing this team in the 2nd half. They're sitting back in coverage - 5 DBs, soft zone. And we can't get more than a yard or 2 on first downs rushing. That's a serious problem. I know KC is beastly up front on defense, but cmon.

Cut Murphy and u get some space.

They play off coverage cover 3, and we run it for 2 yards. That is an issue too.