Bleeding Bills Blue

Like... what are we doing here? They made the playoffs one time in 6 years with Barkley, and now you have to pay him more? IMO the issue is that Daboll is not a good run game caller, and tends to get pass happy. Look at the numbers when Jones was out last season, it's a bad rushing attack. Now he's running less because he can't stay healthy, and the run game still sucks. Not sure if its edge blocking by WRs and TEs, actual scheme, or weaknesses along the offensive line. But any good rushing attacks Daboll ever coached were propped up significantly by QB runs.

Realistically they kept the band together for 5 seasons, and likely 1 season too long.

It's a long season, there will be questionable playing surfaces, wind, rain, snow, cold... No one makes everything. At the same time, he's hit some absolute dud kicks in his most recent game film including a really ugly 27 yard FG attempt I'm also wondering if somethings on tape with the blocks (XP this past game, Pittsburgh last year). Trajectory issue? Slow kick tempo? Bad blocking in certain spots? I wonder if he's trying to change something to avoid blocks. I lierally know nothing about special teams.

He has by far the fewest snaps on the roster at WR. There also isn't anyone over 70% on the roster.

I would've lost my fantasy game and started 0-6 across two leagues so i was appreciative that he did not do that :-).

He breaks more tackles than most backs. In a single game, one or two of those can be the difference.

He did have his best statistical season the year Hopkins left, and somehow the team went 4-12.

Hollins, Keon, and MVS are all pretty big dudes fwiw.

He's only played 46 snaps which is last out of the WRs, so i can't really fault him for a lack of production. I'm not sure if its injury or script, but either way - nice to win with him not really needing to do much.

Yeah, over the course of a season i don't think it makes too much of a difference. In a single game, it can be amplified a bit more.

I know they've largely built their success on their offensive line and a strong defense, but he was an absolute menace in that playoff game in buffalo last year.

Small school, smaller player, and didn't blow anyone away at the combine. Scouting report says he struggled with the more NFL bound tackles on tape. Either way, looks like a baller. Stud DE's usually go earlier in the draft, but there's always exceptions. Crosby, Judon, and Hendrickson come to mind as later round picks. You also see a lot of other dudes in this range za'darius smith, trey flowers, Hubbard, Sweat, and many others in that 2nd tier of solid pass rushers. Hopefully he can develop and fall in one of these top two tiers.

No huddle is so freaking hard to defend, if you have chemistry you barely need plays.

Cook has weird mental lapses between drops and fumbles. The drop wasn't... game changing this week? But a mistake nevertheless.

It's pretty early too, and as bad as most of those 5 weak teams are, they all have a little scrappiness. 4/5 already have wins. Denver has a good defense. Vegas can't run or stop the run, but they have an interesting array of pass catchers. Tenn is 0-3, and not a lot has gone right, but if they stop turning the ball over and get back to basics I don't think they'd fall among the worst teams in the league. Early bye week for them that is timed pretty well for their team. Giants look like a drought era bills team. Lameduck coach, GM, QB. We've all seen this story though and it rarely ends with the #1 overall pick, so they'll win some games they shouldn't. Carolina played well last week, and the raiders played badly. Competent QB play opened up the run game. Now how to get competent QB play out of your franchise QB?

The patriots would also have probably checked a box as a cupcake. Carolina, NYG, LVR, Tenn, Denver are all on the schedule so they definitely still have some easier games. I hesitate to include Cleveland (Burrow is 1-5 against Cleveland). In order to make noise i'd say they need to win all 5 of those. Baltimore x2, Pitt x2, Cle x2, @LAC, @Dallas, Philly. If they win those 5 "cupcake games", they'd need to win likely 5 of these games. They probably need to go at least 5-1 in the division too.

I think one of the things this team and defense do very effectively is communicate. And yes they have a bunch of no-name guys playing considerable snaps at the moment. I mentioned on another thread, but the fact remains that a lot of these guys have been here for a while learning this defense inside and out. I'd argue pass rushers and defensive line should be pretty high on the list. If you want to beat mahomes you're going to need to pressure him.

He reminds me a bit of puka nacua. Nacua's a bit bigger but they're both low center of gravity yac guys who seem to catch everything on 3rd downs.

Buffalo has 8 picks and 4 of them are day 1/2 picks. WR is high on lists. Pass rusher should be too. Corner will have an opening with douglas gone and elam likely on his last year with no 5th year option. Can't hurt to keep adding to the interior of offense and defensive lines And this is all before free agency. So they definitely have flexibility to go in different directions.

I think any addition to the WR room is likely injury related.

I don't know about ticky tack - ball in air and keuchly tripped him as he broke over the middle. Big missed tackle let jackson get out of bounds too. Not his best drive. Big play there was jacksons "drop" i think he felt contact and put the ball on the turf. Same with Spillers which was not remotely intentional and almost resulted in a pick. Either of those are catches and the drives probably dead.

Moving him costs 3.4M in space since you bump up the 2025 bonus. Keeping him is 3.8M in space. Savings would be eaten by the replacement player. So now you're spending more in cap - the new depth would be codrington and Couch. The new backer likely carries a higher cap hit than andreeson who you would likely cut to accommodate. Doesn't seem to make financial sense, and you should be getting bernard back by the time the new linebacker is settling in. Also, i didn't see anything from spector that made it seem like he was completely overwhelmed on the field either. 3rd year on the team, good athlete, and they liked him enough to play roster games to get him on injured reserve last year.

They brought in multiple corners during camp and through the draft. None of them beat him out for a job. If they were going to trade him, they would've done so in August when they were trimming the roster down. If they didn't call around for him after camp, it was because they felt he was the 3rd best boundary corner. Even trading him wouldn't have actually saved any cap space vs. keeping him.

I try to not judge players by how much they sack bad QBs, as these players usually cause their own pressure several times per game. Levis is hovering around 10% for his career now. Floyd's year last year where he had, 10.5 sacks for example. 6 of those sacks total came against players who are all backups now, who all maintain pretty high sack rates over their careers. 3 sacks against wilson (10.22%) and boyle (Career 5.18%, but 10.47% with jets). 2 sacks against Howell (9.73% sack rate) 1 sack against tyrod (9.24% sack rate)

Both QBs stink in that first matchup so... its likely who stinks less. Willis didn't hurt them last week but... I would also go with Arizona, though i fear detroit runs it all over them. It's also an indoor road game for detroit, and Goff plays much better indoors than outdoors.