Bleeding Bills Blue

The big thing on that 2nd and 12 thing to me isn't just the pass pro. It's the trajectory. It wasn't a fastball, it wasn't a high pass, it was where it needed to be. If there were invisibile tires hanging in the air with the perfect throw going through all of them - he threw it through all of them. Perfect touch, perfect velocity to not get defended.

They made watkins take a paycut this season to be fair. They'll lose watkins/robinson this offseason and replace them with hardman/pringle. Maybe they draft someone too. Yeah - look at hockey's free agency and you'll see agents being like... yes - take the deal! There's still some good free agents out there and no one is willing to pay them close to what theyre asking for (Hoffman, Duclair, Athanasiou, Granlund, and Vatanen are the big ones)

If he continues to be this good you just keep replacing everyone around him at playmaker positions with players on rookie contracts. Spend your money on the oline and defense. Kelce probably has a couple more productive years, kick the cap hit down the line for hill too.

I mean - saints have been doing it since they won a superbowl. But you're hedging all your bets on a cap going up YoY - and it isn't this year... so they're currently like 90M above a 175M cap. I don't even know where to begin: https://overthecap.com/salary-cap/new-orleans-saints/

It's a business - year 1 he played to the contract, year 2 not so much. He'll be 31 and its a 9m cap hit. If you can reduce the cap charge, and tack on a void year or extend it? maybe? But if the cap truly is going down, thats a lot for your #2 WR when you have a rookie who's played well.

I mean - we all saw where he got hurt this year. It wasn't some non-contact hamstring or something. He got blasted from behind, while catching a poorly thrown ball in a close game and landed awkwardly. Worst part is it didn't even count.

KC is in the last year of mahomes cheap deal. There's a reason they're head and shoulders above the league. After this year - it becomes the restructure game that the saints play. Pick the guys you want to guarantee the next 3-5 years of contracts and fill in the rest with rookies and vet's who are available a month into free agency.

Fumbling the snap at the goalline would maybe not get allen benched but id chew him the hell out. Can't happen at the 1 yard line. Can NOT happen there. You're giving the other team points.

They were great in vastly different ways though. I would say that I'd probably take ronnie lott over polamalu tho. Guy started as a corner, and became a beast of a safety. So you know he's got sick coverage skills, but that guy could lay some lumber too. I feel like Lott could diagnose plays like reed, but also hit like a polamalu.

Started playing 2 guys inside like 1T and another on the heavy side as a 3T. then using edmunds or klein on the LOS on one side, and hughes on the other. They mix in some 46 looks too where they line johnson and edmunds/klein up along the LOS tight. They refused to mess around too much and match personnel too, the 49ers use so much motion and deception - having a better knowledge of your role in the D is almost more important than having an extra LB on the 2nd TE or the FB.

Thats 3 weeks away though. Lot can change. Its also a really bad matchup for Miami. They blitz a lot and carr is a quick release guy, and they run the ball well.

Could add another hotel. Get a NCAA bowl game maybe, try for the final 4, big 4 wrestling show. Maybe some of the larger touring musical artists like taylor swift, etc. A super bowl is out of the question unless theres massive hotel improvements. For that reason alone the budget for a bills stadium has to be drastically lower than minnesota/atlanta/LA/LV. I'd probably cap it at around 1 billion with cost overruns expected. Something nice and boring like lucas oil stadium would be my guess.

He still wasn't open enough...

Yeah - the sub 50 games he averaged 21 attempts - but he also threw for 150 or more in both so i think the KC game is included there. My guess is it inevitably dipped below as it got darker, game started at 5PM.

Even doing that, philly has a bigger cap hit trading him than keeping him. And thats if someone picks up the roster bonus (sort of like how buffalo traded tyrod). But in a limited cap year, the teams even willing to do it are limited to like the Jets, Colts, Patriots. All need QBs but... is he better than Winston who could be had for much cheaper/no draft pick comp? Trubiskey? Dalton? Tyrod? I'd be shocked if they move wentz. I think you gotta try and fix him however you can. 34M cap hit goes to 59M if you cut him. They can get it down to 33M if they trade him and his roster bonus - but then someones picking up a broken QB for 2 years and 47M. Eating the roster bonus and trading makes the contract more palatable at 2yr 37M, but you're still likely having to dump a pick to do it.

I mean - the KC game was windy as hell and raining. I felt like every time the offense took the field it started pouring too.

80%, 375+ and 4 TDs - guy was a monster in his own right

Have to agree. Limiting the turnovers, making some plays off play action, and letting the run game do the heavy lifting. 21 picks last year and 14 in his rookie year - he has 7 this year. Played in a few brutal weather games so his yardage numbers will have some low totals - they also schemed up some heavy run games with chubb/hunt. Fairly easy schedule - just Ravens, pitt, indy have been tough games. They lost 2 of those, so itll be interesting to see how they fare down the stretch.

Moss never possessed the ball, so he cannot be the fumbler. No, but taking a handoff is kinda the easiest part of the job. Get your head right and come back to it.

I agree though - i wanna see the flag so i can throw it into coverage and hope for the best. Since it was behind the LOS... has to be holding not illegal contact... maybe the ref only saw it as a block or something. Thats the only thing i could think of why they wouldnt call it.

He did get a little pouty when fitzgerald bounced that ball up in the air for the INT though...

So... https://overthecap.com/player/carson-wentz/4715/ The entire prorated bonus column would hit on day 1 if they trade or release him. So 33M right there. Option bonus kicks in on day 3 - so if you trade him... someone else could theoretically pay that. But if someone else picks that up it basically is a 2 year deal for 47.4 million (year 2 of the deal is fully guaranteed the same day they trigger the bonus) + additional years at 25 and 26 million. So you could trade for him at 4 years 94 million. But the problem is - no ones going to trade for a damaged goods QB where the first year is a 25.4 cap hit, with a fully guaranteed 2nd year at 22. So now your cap hit to trade him is 43 million... which is a cap hit that is 9 million over the current one... and the team is over the cap. Cutting him jumps it up to 59 - which is impossible to fit in. They have to pay the roster bonus, the base salary, and all the bonuses they already paid out. They need to find someone to commit to him for 2 years. I don't think anyones paying that bonus unless you're packaging a draft pick (likely a 1st or 2nd) with wentz. Cluster. F*ck.

This. He cherry picks the plays that show what he wants to convey. He doesn't watch the game flow, probably doesn't for context. It's all "charts". His charts are the best charts, and everyone else is wrong. Except he put mariota as a top 3 - and will come up with 50 excuses why he failed. And none of them are that he's just wrong, and mariota didn't have it between the ears.

Andy Reid is constantly evolving though. He was a west coast guy - and has evolved as it made sense to do so. He coaches to his talent.

I think a lot of his issues are mental at this point. Processing time hasn't improved, and may actually be worse. His pocket presence has been terrible, seems to roll and steer himself to sacks. And his throwing platform is a mess. So basically he holds the ball too long, doesn't find open receivers, can't buy time, and can't throw remotely accurately.