Bleeding Bills Blue

Jackson is basically their offensive identity so id imagine pretty lucrative. Baker should be in the tannehill range but with a higher cap so... my guess would be 5 years and 30-32M?

Yep - while buffalo's defense was statistically #1 - they definitely were propped up by really just absolutely annihilating bad offenses. 53 yards and 4 first downs week 18, 109 yards and 6 1st downs week 4 (with 5 takeaways), Thanksgiving against the saints, the dolphins twice etc. DVOA takes into account your opponent - but putting your bottom tier opponents down that hard definitely factors in as well. The 4 games against KCx2, Indy and TB they averaged over 400 yards allowed and more than 26 first downs in all 3. The only one of those games they won they had 4 takeaways, and were 0-3 without (and 1-4 on the season with no takeaways). Figure out what you need to do to better stop those teams - if its pass rush, or linebackers, dbs, whatever.

Why would he re-structure? He gets 7 guaranteed no matter what.

Less man, more zone. They started to use more RPOs as the season went on to create conflicts at the LB position and create some space in the zones for easy completions. They also built more underneath stuff into the offense to Singletary - if your LBs are 10 yards off the LOS immediately take some free yards from check downs until they cover it. You also have Allen's running ability into light boxes when the defense is spread out. Screens usually are there to slow down a strong pass rush or blitz. The jax game was a failure by the oline and allen to account for a pass rush effectively.

Wallace was a UDFA. Lewis was a UDFA and never looked that out of place. Same with Jackson as a 7th rounder. I don't think any of them are like all-pros, but they could certainly have done a lot worse.

He still caught 107 actual passes on 169 targets. And I don't need to watch every steelers pass play to know that there are a number of trash Ben throws mixed in there.

So world cup is 2 15-minute periods. No golden goal so you get a chance to answer. If its still tied its penalty kicks.

It's entirely money/tv related. The playoff schedule structure isn't built for overlap. Games going on forever is a good thing to most football fans. I wanted to see more Allen in the buf/kc game. Even in the cincy game it would've been nice for cincy to actually try and get a TD not play weird FG football after the takeaway. Then you get to see if Mahomes can step up after the turnover and get them back in the game. etc. We miss out on a lot of stuff

It's the worst overtime in sports. Why have a coin toss? Just pick up where you left off. If you kickoff in a tie game with 10 seconds left you get Kickoff Kneel Coin toss Kickoff That's like 15 minutes of barely football and tons of commercials. Just have them run the 1st down play and then switch ends and go into a 10 minute OT period. Without the coin toss you eliminate the "coin toss advantage". The new one might be who starts with the ball, but even so - you start with the ball because you had the ball.

But do we need to use a 1st round asset to acquire a player is the question. It'd probably actually be most like soccer in the world cup. Except after the OT they would just do another one instead of PKs.

A 3rd receiver at like 4yr 13M with a 5th year option is also a really nice cost controlled asset. Depends on the depth in the draft at CB and OG to me whether i'd chance that. Also if they make a splash and sign a christian kirk it becomes far less likely.

Diggs had 164 Beas/mckenzie had 138 Sanders/Davis had 135 Knox had 71 Backs had 82 I don't know that the splits will be obviously - the same? I assume they'd want to give davis more targets in 2022 - but that 138 number for bease/mckenzie is largely unfulfilled. The depth behind them isn't particularly notable either.

If a highly graded player at WR falls I'd be willing to shoot a shot there. I'd probably prefer an upgrade at G/C though.

Lets end epic games with coin tosses? I'm not sure why there's a discussion. Hockey has a golden goal sudden death - but the fluidity of hockey makes this work. They'll also play for hours til it happens. Soccer usually has a full 30 minutes - but they also go to PKs in tournaments which is gross. Basketball has full 5 minute periods. I personally like the idea of an Elam ending - because i hate all the stalling/fouling/free throws at the end of games. Elam ending tends to force teams to just play basketball. NFL has a coin toss - where the winner wins more games than they lose (both in regular season and significantly more in playoffs). I get the idea behind not wanting to change it, but its playoffs, just play out a full OT period. You get more of the exciting stuff - 4th down attempts late in the game, game winning drives, etc.

NYG are in no position to NEED to jettison his contract. They're a bad team with a ton of holes and no QB. May as well just play it out with him. I don't think they'll get much in the way of interest either. Maybe someone like the dolphins will do a late pick swap or something? But thats a brutal cap hit for an injury prone mediocre running back. How much are marlon mack and david johnson with 0 picks/any compensation? How much worse is david johnson than barkley? I know he was a 2nd overall pick and theres a ton of home run potential, but at that cap hit its painful.

Diontae is the number 1 - 63.3% of targets, 169 targets for 107/1161/8. Short aDOT but thats to be expected with Ben at QB. He had 5 drops in 2021 after 13 in 2020. Diggs caught 62.8% of targets 164 targets for 103/1225/10. His aDOT was 11.1 after 10.1 in 2020. Diggs also had 5 drops after 8 in 2020. My guess is the Giants. Daboll request and give him a fat guarantee - then decline jones option and move him to someone like pittsburgh, washington, or TB.

Yeah - 7.2 million dollars is a lot for any running back, let alone one who hasn't been particularly good since his rookie year. Trading Star saves Buffalo a little bit more than cutting him would because of the 2022 salary guarantee and helps it fit. And he's probably not signing an extension either so its a 1 yr 7.2 mil deal that to me doesn't put buffalo any closer to getting over the hump.

My thoughts for playoff OT Eliminate coin toss - just keep playing where it left off. If Team A misses a game ending FG, then Team B takes over. 10 minutes. Booth Reviews. 2 timeouts. Tied after 10, play another 10. Because the current OT sucks. Coin toss winners win most of them.

I mean we tried to improve the punting situation, haack was just really bad. Bass improved a lot though. FG kicking was a strength this year for the first time in a while. For punts buffalo had the 3rd fewest returns allowed with 17, and yards per return was 5.6 which was last in the league. Function of fewer punts most likely. But Haack was also a shank machine, awful at touchbacks, and was never a big leg punter either. 37.6 net average, 1 blocked, 7 touchbacks. I honestly don't remember even 1 single "wow" punt. The kickoff piece is hard to fully quantify since the stats are relatively vague - 99 kickoffs and 54 touchbacks with only an average return of 18 yards on the returns (3rd in the NFL). Basically to me - it rarely did harm to buffalo to kick it short and high, and occasionally they made plays to cost other teams some starting field position. Return wise - buffalo returned 37 punts which was 3rd in the NFL, and were 14th in PR yardage (8.5 yards per return). Likely a function of forcing a fair amount of punts. Buffalo was 8th in yards per return on kickoffs, and returned 33 which was good for 18th. They only gave up 52 total scores + 17 game kickoffs so that's only on 69 attempts. Outside of Haack's punting its not something that another team can point to as a weakness.

Drafting is terrible? Even if you hate Edmunds - Allen, Phillips, Johnson, Neal, Oliver, Singletary, Knox, Davis, Bass, Rousseau, Brown. And the Big athlete dudes on that list are Allen, Oliver, Rousseau, and Brown.

1 - Agree, it makes everyone better including the outside pass rushers. 2 - I can see this, but how much will they see the field with white/poyer/hyde/johnson starting in 4/5 spots. 3 - I probably get a complimentary back in free agency. Even a chase edmonds isn't particularly expensive. Rookies usually can't block so they tend to see fewer snaps 4 - 3 young guys - lot of power and lot of length - need a bendy or twitchy guy in there 5 - Open to this in most cases, i think WR 3/4 is open for business with a free agent. Blocker wise i think everythings probably up for grabs except LT and probably RT. Morse makes too much, and the guard play wasn't particularly inspiring. Bates will stick for cheap, feliciano and williams weren't overly impressive. I'd like to see some real talent brought in here in hte 1st or 2nd round.

My issue is Wilson didn't look anywhere near good - worse than burrows rookie year, worse than lawrence, worse than fields even. Trash line. Trash WRs. Trash TE's. Trash RB's. As for defense there's what - mosley and williams? And they aren't exactly all-world type players either. 4 picks in the first 40, and tons of cap space can address a lot of that. Maybe you get a CB1 in FA, a pass rusher and WR in the 1st, and some oline help in the 2nd. But they are still likely very far off. And i don't trust wilson to elevate them. There's a good chance they're right back here in a year.

So its 26.6M in dead cap if they cut him. But trading him drops off the 8.4 in base salary so its just the signing bonus of 12.9 and 5.638M (money they already paid CMC) - so a little over 18.5. They can split that over 2 years and lower the dead cap to say - 10M. It isn't a ton of savings (his cap hit is 14.3 in 2022), but if you can get a couple solid picks it helps you in building your team or maneuvering the draft to select the players you covet. It's more cutting your losses on a bad contract than anything else. So the summary would be: 18.5M in total dead cap for carolina to either split or eat in 1yr. Acquiring team gets a 4 year deal - 44M deal with 8.1 guaranteed, and 800K in workout bonuses (200 per year). 1M of 2023 is guaranteed for injury only. So realistically its a 1yr deal for 8.6M, with 3 team options of 12M per year with 0 cap ramifications. Very easily restructured if you need cap space as well (and he'd likely sign anything that gave him guaranteed cash).

its 4 year like 45 if you wanted to keep him, the last 2 years are salary/workout bonuses only and nonguaranteed. Basically option years and you can tack on void years if you want to lower the cap burden in year 3.

It's basically a 2yr 20ish mil contract if you acquire him. Years 3 and 4 have a total 1m in injury guarantees.