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Bleeding Bills Blue

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  1. Yeah - but Signing bonus, roster bonus, workout bonus. Plus 8 games tax free - 5 seasons - thats 40 game checks that become considerably larger. Just using 5% affects the take home considerably 5 years of base salary of 3M - 1.5M for home games - $75,000 in income taxes per year - $375,000. That's 2.5% of your total earnings. Factor in any bonuses and it really adds up.
  2. I think the patriots are more likely to go the opposite direction. Losing the offensive coordinator - not a ton of cap space... and they're projected to lose.... Starting corner - JC jackson Both LBs in Van Noy and Hightower Starting FS in McCourtey Starting linemen Trent Brown and Ted Karras... They can make space if they need it - but I'm not sure that's wise with how disappointing the team finished.
  3. Passing to Holmes, Benjamin, Jones, Foster, Clay, Croom, and Ivory. On the line you had Dawkins, Ducasse, Bodine, Miller, Mills. Throw in Some Ryan Groy, and Wyatt Teller's rookie year. Don't judge a player who is without weapons and protection. I'd say the one who gets the pass this year is probably lawrence. Wilson looked so thoroughly unimpressive for me to consider there - the 10.3% sack rate indicates a bad line, but also that he doesn't know what he's doing. Most of their best offensive outputs had Mike White, Josh Johnson, or Flacco starting.
  4. Right - like... Allen struggled with protection of a bad oline, and rookie pocket presence issues. He'd miss some easy throws, didn't know when to take something off his fastball. Traditional rookie issues. But the flashes were definitely there, deep throws, tight window throws, buying time and throwing strikes, the running ability etc.
  5. The only thing to consider is that almost every player has an agent that will negotiate for a few offers and let the player choose. Its easy to say i will take less - til i see how much the dolphins will pay with no income tax.
  6. Jackson is basically their offensive identity so id imagine pretty lucrative. Baker should be in the tannehill range but with a higher cap so... my guess would be 5 years and 30-32M?
  7. Yep - while buffalo's defense was statistically #1 - they definitely were propped up by really just absolutely annihilating bad offenses. 53 yards and 4 first downs week 18, 109 yards and 6 1st downs week 4 (with 5 takeaways), Thanksgiving against the saints, the dolphins twice etc. DVOA takes into account your opponent - but putting your bottom tier opponents down that hard definitely factors in as well. The 4 games against KCx2, Indy and TB they averaged over 400 yards allowed and more than 26 first downs in all 3. The only one of those games they won they had 4 takeaways, and were 0-3 without (and 1-4 on the season with no takeaways). Figure out what you need to do to better stop those teams - if its pass rush, or linebackers, dbs, whatever.
  8. Why would he re-structure? He gets 7 guaranteed no matter what.
  9. Less man, more zone. They started to use more RPOs as the season went on to create conflicts at the LB position and create some space in the zones for easy completions. They also built more underneath stuff into the offense to Singletary - if your LBs are 10 yards off the LOS immediately take some free yards from check downs until they cover it. You also have Allen's running ability into light boxes when the defense is spread out. Screens usually are there to slow down a strong pass rush or blitz. The jax game was a failure by the oline and allen to account for a pass rush effectively.
  10. Wallace was a UDFA. Lewis was a UDFA and never looked that out of place. Same with Jackson as a 7th rounder. I don't think any of them are like all-pros, but they could certainly have done a lot worse.
  11. He still caught 107 actual passes on 169 targets. And I don't need to watch every steelers pass play to know that there are a number of trash Ben throws mixed in there.
  12. So world cup is 2 15-minute periods. No golden goal so you get a chance to answer. If its still tied its penalty kicks.
  13. It's entirely money/tv related. The playoff schedule structure isn't built for overlap. Games going on forever is a good thing to most football fans. I wanted to see more Allen in the buf/kc game. Even in the cincy game it would've been nice for cincy to actually try and get a TD not play weird FG football after the takeaway. Then you get to see if Mahomes can step up after the turnover and get them back in the game. etc. We miss out on a lot of stuff
  14. It's the worst overtime in sports. Why have a coin toss? Just pick up where you left off. If you kickoff in a tie game with 10 seconds left you get Kickoff Kneel Coin toss Kickoff That's like 15 minutes of barely football and tons of commercials. Just have them run the 1st down play and then switch ends and go into a 10 minute OT period. Without the coin toss you eliminate the "coin toss advantage". The new one might be who starts with the ball, but even so - you start with the ball because you had the ball.
  15. But do we need to use a 1st round asset to acquire a player is the question. It'd probably actually be most like soccer in the world cup. Except after the OT they would just do another one instead of PKs.
  16. A 3rd receiver at like 4yr 13M with a 5th year option is also a really nice cost controlled asset. Depends on the depth in the draft at CB and OG to me whether i'd chance that. Also if they make a splash and sign a christian kirk it becomes far less likely.
  17. Diggs had 164 Beas/mckenzie had 138 Sanders/Davis had 135 Knox had 71 Backs had 82 I don't know that the splits will be obviously - the same? I assume they'd want to give davis more targets in 2022 - but that 138 number for bease/mckenzie is largely unfulfilled. The depth behind them isn't particularly notable either.
  18. If a highly graded player at WR falls I'd be willing to shoot a shot there. I'd probably prefer an upgrade at G/C though.
  19. Lets end epic games with coin tosses? I'm not sure why there's a discussion. Hockey has a golden goal sudden death - but the fluidity of hockey makes this work. They'll also play for hours til it happens. Soccer usually has a full 30 minutes - but they also go to PKs in tournaments which is gross. Basketball has full 5 minute periods. I personally like the idea of an Elam ending - because i hate all the stalling/fouling/free throws at the end of games. Elam ending tends to force teams to just play basketball. NFL has a coin toss - where the winner wins more games than they lose (both in regular season and significantly more in playoffs). I get the idea behind not wanting to change it, but its playoffs, just play out a full OT period. You get more of the exciting stuff - 4th down attempts late in the game, game winning drives, etc.
  20. NYG are in no position to NEED to jettison his contract. They're a bad team with a ton of holes and no QB. May as well just play it out with him. I don't think they'll get much in the way of interest either. Maybe someone like the dolphins will do a late pick swap or something? But thats a brutal cap hit for an injury prone mediocre running back. How much are marlon mack and david johnson with 0 picks/any compensation? How much worse is david johnson than barkley? I know he was a 2nd overall pick and theres a ton of home run potential, but at that cap hit its painful.
  21. Diontae is the number 1 - 63.3% of targets, 169 targets for 107/1161/8. Short aDOT but thats to be expected with Ben at QB. He had 5 drops in 2021 after 13 in 2020. Diggs caught 62.8% of targets 164 targets for 103/1225/10. His aDOT was 11.1 after 10.1 in 2020. Diggs also had 5 drops after 8 in 2020. My guess is the Giants. Daboll request and give him a fat guarantee - then decline jones option and move him to someone like pittsburgh, washington, or TB.
  22. Yeah - 7.2 million dollars is a lot for any running back, let alone one who hasn't been particularly good since his rookie year. Trading Star saves Buffalo a little bit more than cutting him would because of the 2022 salary guarantee and helps it fit. And he's probably not signing an extension either so its a 1 yr 7.2 mil deal that to me doesn't put buffalo any closer to getting over the hump.
  23. My thoughts for playoff OT Eliminate coin toss - just keep playing where it left off. If Team A misses a game ending FG, then Team B takes over. 10 minutes. Booth Reviews. 2 timeouts. Tied after 10, play another 10. Because the current OT sucks. Coin toss winners win most of them.
  24. I mean we tried to improve the punting situation, haack was just really bad. Bass improved a lot though. FG kicking was a strength this year for the first time in a while. For punts buffalo had the 3rd fewest returns allowed with 17, and yards per return was 5.6 which was last in the league. Function of fewer punts most likely. But Haack was also a shank machine, awful at touchbacks, and was never a big leg punter either. 37.6 net average, 1 blocked, 7 touchbacks. I honestly don't remember even 1 single "wow" punt. The kickoff piece is hard to fully quantify since the stats are relatively vague - 99 kickoffs and 54 touchbacks with only an average return of 18 yards on the returns (3rd in the NFL). Basically to me - it rarely did harm to buffalo to kick it short and high, and occasionally they made plays to cost other teams some starting field position. Return wise - buffalo returned 37 punts which was 3rd in the NFL, and were 14th in PR yardage (8.5 yards per return). Likely a function of forcing a fair amount of punts. Buffalo was 8th in yards per return on kickoffs, and returned 33 which was good for 18th. They only gave up 52 total scores + 17 game kickoffs so that's only on 69 attempts. Outside of Haack's punting its not something that another team can point to as a weakness.
  25. Drafting is terrible? Even if you hate Edmunds - Allen, Phillips, Johnson, Neal, Oliver, Singletary, Knox, Davis, Bass, Rousseau, Brown. And the Big athlete dudes on that list are Allen, Oliver, Rousseau, and Brown.
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