Bleeding Bills Blue

The run call was the bad call, not the timeout. You don't run inside 2 minutes when you need to preserve 3 timeouts. If you're doing a sneak, clock it after then. As for the penalty, i assume from a win probability thing you're looking at like... a small percentage either way in win probability. I could see causing a punt there as a winning move.

Low sample size is part of it... i'd say aaron rodgers mailing in the season is another part of it.

Big ben won 2 super bowls without beating brady.... i don't think anyone seems to remember or care.

I mean in that day you knew the risk as a WR going over the middle, and a QB knew the risk he was putting his WR in if he threw certain passes. At the same time... we don't want people to suffer concussions. Those guys likely inflicted several in their careers as head hunters.

Nice thing is there's a lot of free agent backs in 2026. Cook probably commands a higher price, but you can get a solid rb2 likely after the cards fall. Or just keep drafting them.

But sometimes a bad pass is because the receiver ran their route wrong.

I bring him back... let him get his feet wet in practice so that if there is an injury i feel more comfortable bringing him in. Rapp plays with an edge and already had a concussion this year so another might be a long-term absence, and i think mcdermott would feel more comfortable with him in there than bishop at the moment.

He's definitely shooting more and tackling better. The tentativeness feels like it is gone, but he still isn't a particularly explosive athlete.

Teams that had greater than 100 yards rushing TOTAL against buffalo this year. @Indy - Taylor - 114 on 21 carries with 58 coming on 1 carry. The other 20 carries were for 56 yards. They went 4-11 on 3rd downs, had 39 pass plays that resulted in 240 yards and 4 turnovers. Buffalo did a good job keeping them in challenging down and distance. @NYJ - Hall - 113 on 18 carries with 42 coming on 1 carry. Rodgers best game in a jet uniform, and one of the worst by the defense. HOwever - 4-12 on 3rd downs, and the game itself was a messy penalty fest. Arizona - Conner had 50 yards on 16 carries. Murray had 57 on 5 carries likely on scrambles. Add that into his pass total, take out the sacks, and you get 40 pass plays called and about 200 yards, and 270 yards total. @Miami - 34 carries for 139 - 4 yards per carry. They were 7/15 on 3rd downs but they had 3 turnovers and were 1/5 on 4th downs. Miami - 137 on 28 carries - As long as mcdaniel is in the division i think the game plan is going to be to take away the pass and wait for mcdaniel to abandon the run. Tua played great in this one, the run game was working for them... but Bass balls were just too big. SF - I'm not going to go into any detail since they had 0 passing attack, scored 10 points, 3 turnovers, and i don't think films going to really tell you much other than that the weather was terrible. Baltimore - Henry had the big one, and punished the team all game. The defense was a mash unit, and lamar had 54 yards on another 6 carries. The jaguars averaged 6 yards per carry against us but were under 100. They were also down 34-3 at the half

The 80 something yarder was a trap play to get oliver up field so you don't have to double him. which allows you to double DQ. Groot stays on the edge and there's a gaping hole where spector needs to fill. He was tentative and let the double flow right into him and essentially didn't do anything to disrupt the play. If you shoot the gap and miss at least you forced him to break a tackle and slow him down.

Yeah... Williams who struggled in that one with the passing game. Spector who played tentative all game. And probably cam lewis worst game of the year. Rapp getting injured in the first half was the cherry on top.

Simmons wasn't particularly big. Oliver at 6'3 290 vs. simmons coming out at 6'4 304 - i'm not sure i factor that into my draft decision that much. Donald was 6'1 280.. you can be an effective player at a smaller size.

I think the challenge is... size doesn't mean good. The reason Reader and lawrence are so good at their size isn't because they weigh 340+ lbs, its play strength, leverage, hand usage, and deceptive quickness.

I disagree. I'd say the #1 problem against the ravens was Williams, Spector, and lewis starting instead of milano, bernard, and johnson. Rapp also played 16 snaps and was replaced by bishop.

There's multiple ways to shed and shoot - Adding 20 lbs of beef isn't going to make bernard a better run defender. Playing closer to the LOS might, but then you're way more exposed to short passing and RPOs. It's read and react, and we tend to improve on that as the game goes on.

Burfict got the full season treatment last time he got one and it ended up ending his career.

Every team in the league carries offensive players who are there to play special teams. If you're good at it, you will be able to play for a long time. Morris and Gilliam are the biggest examples this season as core STers. People wanted davidson over Morris because of preseason, but end of the day even with kincaid missing time morris has played 136 offensive snaps. Hollins ST snaps are way down this year, but when everyone's healthy i assume he'll get some snaps there. He's a good blocker and a smart player so get him on the field.

Bush league hit imo. Gotta hit him with a multi-game suspension. He doesn't have the Burfict reputation yet where they should just... throw the book at him? But I'd say 2-4 games would be fair. 4 and appeal to 2 maybe.

He never realistically pushed anyone on the depth chart all summer. Signed in May, nothing out of camp stuck out, and he couldn't beat out coleman and hollins for snaps. I'd have to say at least... some of that - was his doing.

I just think its an injury that risks re-injury. So you sit him out. It isn't the playoffs so there isn't a question of pain management.

He's under contract for 1 more year, and he'll want an extension after this year. The question comes down to - is he elevating the offense, or does the offense work around him? Clearly his numbers have taken a dip as AIyuk and CMC missed time, samuel is not the player he was, and the offensive line has not been as good. But in spite of all of that, they're still a top 10 offense in yards and top 15 in points. Being a few plays away from a super bowl championship, and then coming back to an injury plagued season makes me think you have to run it back with a mostly similar team in 2025 and hope you don't get injured. After that.. they're going to be needing to figure stuff out. After 2025 - Kittle is 33 and a UFA, Williams has a 39M cap hit in 2026 and will be 38 years old, Tons of dead money tied up in void years for d-linemen, and they're entirely missing talent on rookie contracts. I think its entirely possible they pull a reset like buffalo did and move out some of the aging players. I don't know that they can maintain the same success though, because the depth thats played this year hasn't played very well.

They traded for cooper and his role was essentially eliminated.

I probably would've made it a focus to replace jones whether i could trade him or not. At least bring in real competition like fields or wilson. I still don't bring back barkley.

I mean... He's not wrong. The wrong part was the 40M qb being a player you build your team around. Barkley on that giants team doesn't move the needle.

To play devils advocate on his "breakout year" - Never figured out how to use his athleticism to drive the ball down the field, it was always runs. So when the media compared jones 2022 to Allens 2019, it just didn't make sense to me. Still had a fairly high sack rate. Turnovers will absolutely kill you, but sacks are drive killers just the same Poor Yards per attempt. Poor Air yards I personally think i would've let him walk. There just wasn't much when i watched that i didn't think could be replaced with Tannehill, Carr, Mayfield etc.