Bleeding Bills Blue

The loss to the fish is the unplausable piece. But its a division game and they gave buffalo issues. This is the game that comes to mind when you say anything can happen: https://www.pro-football-reference.com/boxscores/201912290nwe.htm. Anything relating to denver wouldn't be that shocking imo. They haven't looked that great for a bit, and they have GB, JAX, @KC, and LAC. Would need them to lose 3, unless buffalo were to win out.

I just played around with a few games but it wasn't particularly hard to create this scenario: Requires Buffalo to go 4-1 and lose to philly. NE to go 1-3 and lose to Buffalo, Baltimore, and Miami. Would be an epic collapse, but its december and the dolphins aren't even dead yet. I expect them to be by then, but its a division game and this isn't brady patriots from an aura perspective. Denver to go 2-3 with losses to KC, GB, and one of chargers and jacksonville. Not particularly unplausable with how they've played recently. 4-way with jacksonville and buffalo still wins division but would not get a bye on tiebreakers. Probably a pipe-dream, but i thought it would be far harder to create a path to #1 in the conference.

This was why i kinda expect buffalo to win.

They lost the playoff game because they couldn't stop the run. Fun fact is that Buffalo ran the running backs 19 times across both games.

Knox is also wide open. You could make an argument they probably score on a throw to cooks too since its cooks + blocker vs. 1 defender, since 29 and 22 both chased keon. Pretty good example of when the rush and the coverage don't match up. My GUESS is one of 29/22 has cooks in motion - and the other has keon. They ended up both chasing keon thinking the other takes cooks.

I posted elsewhere but: LAC - 8-4 - PHI, @KC, @DAL, HOU, @DEN - Absolutely brutal schedule - 10-7? Maybe? IND - 8-4 - @JAX, @SEA, SF, JAX, @HOU - Another tough slate - Also 10-7. JAX - 8-4 - IND, NYJ, @DEN, @IND, Tenn - Couple easy home games, 3 tough games - 11-6 best case which would probably take the division HOU - 7-5 - @KC, ARI, LVR, @LAC, IND - Couple easier games at home, but 3 tough games - 10-7 best case - indy week 18 might be win and in KC - 6-6 -HOU, LAC, @TEN, DEN, @LVR - Easy road games, and 3 teams they can beat at home - I'd guess 10-7 and if the loss is to denver they're very much in the mix. BAL - 6-6 - PIT, @CIN, NE, @GB, @PIT - 3 wins would get them to 9-8 PIT - 6-6 - @BAL, MIA, @DET, @CLE, BAL - Could see them splitting and both finishing 9-8, another interesting week 18 scenario.

The primary competition in WC - not going to get into tiebreakers because i think its too early. LAC - 8-4 - PHI, @KC, @DAL, HOU, @DEN - Absolutely brutal schedule - 10-7? Maybe? IND - 8-4 - @JAX, @SEA, SF, JAX, @HOU - Another tough slate - Also 10-7. JAX - 8-4 - IND, NYJ, @DEN, @IND, Tenn - Couple easy home games, 3 tough games - 11-6 best case which would probably take the division HOU - 7-5 - @KC, ARI, LVR, @LAC, IND - Couple easier games at home, but 3 tough games - 10-7 best case - indy week 18 might be win and in KC - 6-6 -HOU, LAC, @TEN, DEN, @LVR - Easy road games, and 3 teams they can beat at home - I'd guess 10-7 and if the loss is to denver they're very much in the mix. BAL - 6-6 - PIT, @CIN, NE, @GB, @PIT - 3 wins would get them to 9-8 PIT - 6-6 - @BAL, MIA, @DET, @CLE, BAL - Could see them splitting and both finishing 9-8, another interesting week 18 scenario. Based on this - Buffalo is probably the 5 seed if they go 3-2 the rest of the way. It will depend on who wins the AFC South - but if there's an 11-6 team, the other 2 are probably 10-7. I don't see any of the other 3 going on a 5-0 run to get to 11 wins, and we have tiebreakers over all of them anyway. So I think the ideal scenario would be BAL losing @CIN, and PIT losing @DET and @BAL. Week 18 game would be for the division as they'd both finish 9-8 and Pittsburgh would take it on divisional record. I would rather play a team we handily beat than a team that trucked us in week 1 - injured lamar is still more dynamic than rodgers.

Dolphins had a few extra days against Buffalo, and Falcons off the bye week.

A cheap depth WR who can play special teams. He shouldn't be playing this much, and ideally there are 5 options ahead of him in 2026. I also don't mind bringing in competition from a similar player. At the same time - good blocks should earn you some routes too. Shavers cap hit next year is 1M, but there's no shortage of similar special teams players who might offer a more rounded player offensively. These types of Hollins guys are always pretty available in the 1-2M AAV range, and I would suggest bringing one in to compete for that back of the roster spot.

It was Gabe before that. "Why does gabe play more than sanders and brown?" was frequently a point of contention and it was blocking back then.

If they're going to show 2 high looks, run at them until they change it. We aren't fast enough to attack the boundary through the air, but if they do - there needs to be an element of misdirection like a play action, a screen, a double move, etc. The outside leverage screen isn't working that well these days.

At the time, many mock drafts had both jefferson and aiyuk off the board. So we were getting mocked Higgins and Pittman in the 1st. Both turned out to be good players though so i guess it would have worked out. I think the challenge here is that only buffalo gets to use hindsight to know what JJ is pre-draft, not the lions or giants who picked busts at 3 or 4.

When you get called for phantom holds all season long you tend to let go at that point to try to not get called.

How many drops does that make for him this year?

Latu was elevated as a 3rd tight end in case someone is injured, and to play special teams. Most 3rd tight ends do some combo of that like Morris did for Buffalo for a couple of years, we just use Hawes more because he's such an impact blocker and kincaids missed so much time this year.