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jletha

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Posts posted by jletha

  1. 3 minutes ago, prissythecat said:

    If not for some uncharacteristic missed throws during last year’s playoff game from Rivers,  the Colts likely would have won the game as they dominated in the trenches and outgained the Bills.  
     

    I think key Buffalo injuries play a factor here.

     

    Indy - 24

    Bills -  21

    Missed throws by Rivers are extremely characteristic.

    18 minutes ago, cDAVIS said:

    I never understood this. It's the NFL. Every team is physical and the Bills are considered a more physical team then most by most analysts. I hope you are wrong, just for the sake of it I'll say 27-20 Bills.

     

    The loss of brown, star, Edmunds and Milano may likely prove to be too damning for us this week but let's hope not. Please don't give the pats the division lead!!

    Wait, Milano is out? When did that happen?

  2. 2 minutes ago, billsfan1959 said:

     

    They are 17th in YPP out of the shotgun and 2nd in YPP under center. Sunday, Allen had the highest number of yards on play action throws in the NFL over the last two years. He should be under center a lot.

    That is until defenses figure out how to stop it. Then we can revert back to Shotgun. just keep adjusting. Its very nice to know he can play under center though, he struggled in 2019 I believe.

  3. 3 hours ago, Logic said:

    I don't think the Bills will lose many more regular season games this year. Bucs? One of the Pats games?

    I've kind of given up on the idea of securing the one seed in the playoffs. The loss of home field for a potential AFC title game doesn't bother me as much, but the loss of the bye week sure does.

    Oh well. I simply don't see the Bills winning out AND the Titans losing two games, which is what would have to happen.

    Only thing that gives me hope is that I would have said the same thing last year about us and the Steelers. Then we did win out, and the Steelers faultered hard down the stretch. It can happen.

  4. 5 minutes ago, LeGOATski said:

    Seriously. It's crazy how much the expectations change our perception.

    I think of Diggs as having a pretty bad year honestly. Hes 7th in total yards with a player above him that hasnt had a bye yet. If they find even 80% of their connection from last year he could be top 3 WR again. Its bad how spoiled weve become.

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  5. 2 minutes ago, Sugar High JA17 said:

    We have to run the table & hope the Titans lose 2... it's not happening!

     

    Titans remaining games

     

    Week 11: VS -  Houston Texans (1-8)

    Week 12: AT - New England Patriots (6-4)

    Week 13: Bye

    Week 14: VS - Jacksonville Jaguars (2-7)

    Week 15: AT - Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3-1)

    Week 16: VS - San Francisco 49ers (3-5)

    Week 17: VS - Miami Dolphins (3-7)

    Week 18: AT -  Houston Texans (1-8)

    Pats, Steelers, 49ers could all be tricky. But easier than theyve played already

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  6. I am not saying this will happen but...I think Sundays game was a big step for this team. Putting Josh under center, using 12 personnel, having Brieda on the field, etc.

     

    I think we added a shiny new club to the bag. With those formations worked on, we can switch from 10, 11, 12 personnel in the game (assuming injuries and inactives) to get stuff going.

  7. image.thumb.png.d739205d07db08942078124be4a0229e.png

     

    Maybe a lot of people mis-remember but Josh didnt really get cooking until the back half of last season. He started hot against NYJ, Miami, LV and LAR but then had a long stretch of inconsistent play from TEN-LAC. With 6 games of <100 Rating, back to back games without a TD, etc that really mirrors his play even now.

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  8. 4 hours ago, ToGoGo said:

     

    Something I heard, I believe from Cover 1, is that Allen's arm is so strong that his ropes (for example the Sanders TD against the Chiefs) would be rainbows for other QBs. So it only seems like Allen is bad on deep balls because he nails his impossible ropes, but his actual rainbows (like Diggs against the Chiefs) he still struggles with since he has to take so much off of it to avoid overthrows. 

    Yea the Sanders TD against KC came to mind but he almost never hits the rainbows. There was a deeper crosser to Diggs in the Texans game, maybe that counts.

  9. Tua's arm is so weak, any pass beyond 20 yards is a jump ball. He is accurate on 8 yard passes and he does get the ball out quick so he can sustain drives but the second its 3rd and long or he needs to push the ball its bad. He needs to throw the ball so early to get it down field and that requires him to read defenses in lightning speed. Drew Brees figured out how to do it, but Im not sure Tua can.

     

    He needs so much to go right around him. If they dont have a lead I dont know how they ever win a game. H

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  10. 2 hours ago, Draconator said:

    The A's were going to bring him up to the Major League Roster. Maybe that was a promise to keep him on the A's and not play football, and the money is greater in the NFL, but my point is he had a commitment, and turned his back on that commitment. 

    The A's drafted him knowing he wanted to continue to play football and that drafting him that high was a huge risk since he could always choose football. They offered him a contract for millions and he signed, what else would you do...not sign? And then he got into a position to make a LOT more money in a better situation playing football. The A's did it to themselves drafting him when they did with no guarantee he would play.

     

    "Maybe that was a promise to keep him on the A's and not play football" They had to adjust the rules of baseball basically to make that happen and it still wasnt 100% he was going to skip the minor entirely.

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  11. 8 hours ago, Draconator said:

     

    Well for me, myself and I, being an Oakland A's fan, he was under contract with the A's, the top prospect in their system, about to make it to the Majors, and he totally turns his back on Oakland. 

    He wasnt "about to make the majors" he would still have had to go through the minors. Many top prospects dont make the majors or struggle for a time. If someone offered you $9 mill guaranteed and requiring working through the minors or $35 mill and starting QB in the NFL from day 1? Its an easy decision.

  12. 5 hours ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

     

    I'm hampered by "No All-22" and the new Gamepass interface which, unless I'm missing something, has no ability to go directly to different plays.  It sucks.

    That said, I'm halfway through a detailed re-watch of the game and I'm here to say that I see a BUTTLOAD of pressure still.

     

    There were 3 throw aways under pressure and a batted pass - that's 25% of the passes thrown in the first half.  Of the 16 throws, I consider Allen under pressure in half of them.

     

     Now I'll say right here that it's not the whole story - there were 2 high throws and a pick, and there was an additional throw I would call a bad decision.  Two were not thrown under pressure and 2 were. So that's 25% of the passes thrown in the first half. 

     

    A number of the 7 completions lacked pressure only because they were quick passes.  There was one completion on a deep pass.

     

    So I would say that while it wasn't the complete and total jailbreak of the Pitt game, there was still a lot of pressure and Allen wasn't running for his life trying to pass as much because he was either getting the ball out quickly, or he was just running.

     

     

    See, I disagree with a lot of the take here (see above).  I think pass rush was still a concern, and I don't understand how someone could watch the game and think it wasn't.  There were poor throws - a high throw and the pick - that were NOT thrown under pressure.    Rashoman-like!  Most of the first half completions had no pressure only because they were quick throws.

     

    I said elsewhere and will repeat here, one objective stat is the 'pocket time" metric on pro-football-reference.  It was 2.6 seconds last year, and is 1.2 seconds so far this year.  Pressure is an issue.  Hopefully all the running we did this game will help.

     

    However....you may be "on" to something about the impact of Sanders.

    Diggs 13 receptions on 21 targets, 62%

    Beasley 12 receptions on 17 targets, 71%

    Sanders 6 receptions on 14 targets, 43%

    He's not being targeted more than Diggs or Sanders, but he's getting a lot of targets and catching less of them, and I would say that Allen's timing with him is just off.

     

     

     

    Based on what Ive seen, seems like both games the teams bracketed Beasley and Diggs on every play. Basically saying "Youre going to beat us with someone else"

     

    Obviously not every team will be able to do this but its also something the Bills need to work on. Beyond that Josh's throwing motion doesnt look the same.

  13. I think its good to remember the Steelers defense gave us problems last year too. If you only look at the raw numbers, Josh arguably had a better game on Sunday then he did against them last year, at the least it was very similar (more yards, better comp%, no int).

     

    The difference in that game was the pick 6 and we did establish a rhythm for a few drives. On sunday they got the defensive TD and we had more holding calls.

     

    Onward and upward I say, I think we rebound.

  14. So many of us were hoping (maybe too much) for this guys return to free up Oliver and Edmunds and others to play more to their strengths. I was always worried when "We get Star back..." was always such a key feature for how we were going to improve our run D because he hadnt played in a year.

     

    And now here we are...

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