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Everything posted by mjt328
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This was a heartbreaking loss. Especially against a division rival. But we all need to keep in mind, this season was all about developing Josh Allen. And in my opinion, the last two weeks have been extremely encouraging from that perspective. Yes. He is still doing the majority of damage with his legs. The accuracy and communication with his receivers is still a work in progress. But the strides and improvements in his passing have been very apparent, especially since coming back from injury. Compare what we were seeing during the first month of the season, versus what we are seeing now. It's clear that Allen is starting to scan the field quicker, and finding open receivers down the field. That hesitation in the pocket has decreased by a split-second or two. The kind of throws that were coming only 1-2 times per game, are now coming 5-6 times per game. He's also learning how to navigate his way out of the pass rush and get back into throwing position, where earlier in the season he was always drifting backwards and scrambling prematurely. I think fans are also starting to understand why the Bills front office (along with many other teams) saw Allen as a Top-10 prospect. He's got the strength of Ben Roethlisberger when avoiding sacks, combined with the speed of the NFL's best scrambling quarterbacks, along with one of the strongest arms in the league. If he can even become above-average as a passer (and we put a decent offense around him), teams are going to have a really tough time defending him.
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Until we sort this officiating we are going nowhere
mjt328 replied to Jasovon's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
There was nothing blatantly missed by the refs today. Sometimes there are calls that can be considered the "gray area" - and unfortunately we had a bunch of those in the last couple drives of the game. - The Milano pass interference was ticky-tacky. But he DID use his body to impede the receiver's progress, before he turned to defend the ball. - The Phillips personal foul was ticky-tacky. But he DID forcefully throw the runner's foot to the ground, while mouthing off at the Dolphins sideline. - On the sack, he didn't grab Allen's facemask or horse-collar him. His neck and helmet got twisted, but it really wasn't due to an illegal grab by the defender. -
All this "we should have hired an offensive coach" is nonsense. Funny how Frank Reich's offensive knowledge/prowess made no difference when their Quarterback was shaking off the rust. Once Andrew Luck started playing like a Top 5 quarterback again, suddenly the offense became a powerhouse. Offensive success ALWAYS begins with the QB. Everything stems off from that. Sean McDermott's offense has featured an extremely raw rookie (Allen), a 35-year-old who had no real intention of playing when he signed (Anderson), a journeyman who hadn't taken a snap in 2 seasons (Barkley) and probably the worst starting quarterback of the modern football era (Peterman). Not to mention the terrible offensive line, and bottom-tier receiving talent. There isn't an offensive genius in the NFL who could have "schemed" this group into success this year. The future of this franchise depends on Josh Allen's development. If he works out, it won't matter what side of the ball McDermott specializes in.
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Very tough question. I actually think it was easier to separate them back in April. Prior to the draft, I liked them in the following order: 1. Sam Darnold 2. Josh Rosen 3. Baker Mayfield 4. Josh Allen Darnold and Rosen have done about what I expected as rookies. But Mayfield and Allen have done much better than I expected. All four guys have flashed. All four guys have struggled. It's way too early to tell.
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LeVeon Bell: What better fit for him than Buffalo?
mjt328 replied to Victory Formation's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Smart teams don't spend $17 million per year on a Running Back. Yes, we have lots of cap space. But you don't exchange one bad/overpriced contract for another.- 247 replies
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Would you rather be the 3-7 Bills or 3-7 Jags?
mjt328 replied to KingRex's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The Bills are basically in the same position the Jaguars were 4 years ago. 2014 was their second season under Head Coach Gas Bradley. They just drafted a rookie QB (Blake Bortles) at #3 overall. Instead of being big spenders in Free Agency, the offseason was about trading away veterans for draft picks and clearing cap space. Sound familiar? Over the last 3-4 seasons, the Jaguars have done a pretty good job of building up their defense. But they have done a below-average job at building up the offense, and Bortles has been one of the most inconsistent QBs in the NFL (he's basically a younger version of Ryan Fitzpatrick). They had a decent run in 2017 (10-6 record and advancing to the AFC Championship). But it wasn't sustainable. Overall, their rebuild has failed, and you can pretty much count on them starting the process over again next year. Don't get me wrong. There was nothing wrong with Jacksonville's overall strategy. They just didn't do a good enough job of picking players. And their choice for franchise QB is a bust. So which team would I rather be right now? Only a fool would say Jacksonville. Buffalo has a 1-2 year head-start. The Bills are an unknown. Sure, their rebuild could go down the same road as the Jags. But it could go the same direction as the Rams. The Jaguars are going to be starting from scratch in 2019, and will be forced to dismantle most of the defense before they are in a place to compete again. -
Most are calling this draft class historic - in terms of defensive line talent. It's very strong at the top, and deep all the way through the first 2 days. That doesn't mean the cupboard is totally bare on the offensive side. There are a handful of offensive linemen slated as mid-1st Round talents, quite a few wide receivers with late-1st/early 2nd Round grades, and many also believe this would be a good year to take a tight end early. In my opinion, the key for the Bills will be adequately filling holes in Free Agency, so they aren't stuck reaching for a position instead of player. If they end up picking too high, it may be very difficult to pass on one of these generational D-Line talents. Especially with Jerry Hughes getting older, and Kyle Williams probably retiring at the end of the season. Which of course could leave them short on picks to address all the holes on offense. Right now, they need help at WR, TE, OT, C and OG. That's five spots, assuming Zay Jones and Wyatt Teller play good enough to warrant another year in the starting lineup.
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Is No. 1 Ranking Legit or a Mirage?
mjt328 replied to st pete gogolak's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Even if you think those teams are better, that still puts the Bills in the Top 6-7. I've already stated why I believe Buffalo's PPG is misleading. I don't have the time to break down each of these teams and know for sure. But my personal observation is that Buffalo has a ridiculously high amount of points scored from either turnovers returned as touchdowns or field goals where the opponent already started in scoring position. They also seem to have a very high number of drives starting on the wrong side of the 50, and I wouldn't be surprised if time of possession were very lopsided. But my biggest point to consider... Buffalo's two worst defensive performances came in Weeks 1 and 2. I think it's fair to say that Buffalo's defensive stats are being weighted down heavily by those two games. And it's fair to say that many of the weak spots people attacked in the first 6 quarters of the season, have been locked down for the most part since halftime against the Chargers. Compare that to teams like Jacksonville and Baltimore, who have been going the opposite direction over the last month. -
Is No. 1 Ranking Legit or a Mirage?
mjt328 replied to st pete gogolak's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It's not inevitable. But it does happen. Even the best defenses let up touchdowns. Take a look at the other top defenses in the NFL right now. Everyone has bad drives and even bad games. All things considered, I would have a very hard time coming up with 5 defenses currently better than Buffalo. -
Is No. 1 Ranking Legit or a Mirage?
mjt328 replied to st pete gogolak's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I don't like to rely purely on statistics, because they can be very misleading. Saying opposing offenses may have "laid off the gas" with big leads against us is a legitimate point. Just like defenses with big leads often allow garbage-time points and yards. At the same time, a stat like Points Per Game doesn't account for the multiple turnovers returned for scores and short-fields. From my eyes (and I do watch other teams around the league), I think it's safe to say the Bills are currently Top 5 in the NFL. It's important to look at what the team is NOW and not just what it was back in the first quarter of Week 1. They started the season playing very poorly (Baltimore and San Diego). But adjustments were made around halftime on Week 2, and things really started clicking at that point. We've also seen massive improvements from Tremaine Edmunds and from our #2 corner spot. Both were getting picked on early, and have since held their own. In my opinion, the only real hiccup since halftime of the Chargers game was against the Colts. I'm not holding the blowout by the Bears against them. They had a shutout in the 1st Quarter. The first TD they allowed was on a short field (37 Yard Line). Then the Bears got a Fumble Return TD, an Interception Return TD and another short field (23 Yard Line). The Defense had no reason to play hard, knowing we had no chance of coming back. -
Josh Allen starts week 12 but shows no growth....
mjt328 replied to Rebel101's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Just because there were comparisons between Carson Wentz and Josh Allen, does not mean they were equally prepared to enter the NFL. And just because Allen hasn't progressed as quickly during his rookie season, does not mean he can't eventually be as good or better than Wentz. The question coaches need to ask, is whether Allen will progress quicker/better by playing or by observing. This was a debate we had when Allen was first drafted. This was a debate we had during training camp and the preseason. This was a debate we had when Allen was inserted into the lineup in Week 2. Everybody has their own opinion on the matter, but there is honestly no way to determine which way is correct. Matt Barkley probably gives us a better chance to win our next game. But at 3-7, we need to be looking beyond our next game. We need to be looking at what is the best method for developing Allen into a franchise quarterback, so that he can be ready to carry our team in 2019 and beyond. -
Football players are just like the rest of us. What prompts the regular/everyday working person to change jobs? What do they consider important in an employer? I think most of us would admit that MONEY is the most important factor MOST of the time. No matter how much we may enjoy working somewhere, if a competitor offers a significant pay raise - then we would absolutely jump for the bigger salary. But at the same time, some people may not like picking up their home and moving. They may be willing to take less money from their current employer, so they can enjoy the stability of staying in one place. They may want to live close to family or friends, or not want to pull their kids out of their school district. Some may put emphasis on the work environment or what their boss is like. For football players, this would be choosing a GM or coach they have familiarity with (why the Bills have attracted so many from Carolina). Veterans may prefer a certain offensive or defensive scheme, which takes advantage of their skill set. And for every person that wants to live in warm weather, surrounded by exciting nightlife - there is another person who hates hot summers and enjoys the peace and quiet.
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Benjamin has continued to lose playing time as the year progresses. I'm pretty sure his effort (and lack of production) have indeed gone noticed.
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THE ROCKPILE REVIEW - What Is It With This Team?
mjt328 replied to Shaw66's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Dedicated film-watchers have been telling us for several weeks that Zay Jones was getting consistent separation. You just can't tell when the QB isn't getting the ball to him. Robert Foster was burning people back in the preseason. But he was having serious problems tracking the ball in the air, which is why he ended up on the practice squad for the first half of the season. Kelvin Benjamin has never been able to get separation. His value has always been in using size to win jump-balls. For some reason, it just seems like he can't come down with those contested passes anymore. Which pretty much makes him worthless. -
Comments about Nathan Peterman being a "good guy"
mjt328 replied to The Bills Blog's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
For some people, their religious faith comes across as a big part of their personality. Lots of NFL players may be Christians, but not everyone talks about it openly or wears it on their sleeve. Drew Brees (for example) is a devout Christian. But it's not something he is instantly recognized for publicly - at least compared to someone like Tim Tebow or Reggie White. I get the impression that Nathan Peterman's faith is something that also stands-out strongly whenever people get to know him. Similar to how Kyle Williams is recognized for his hard-work and leadership, or Ryan Fitzpatrick was recognized for his fun/goofball personality. In terms of "bias" towards Christianity, I find it odd how much Sean McDermott gets criticized for seeking out high-character players. It's something that literally 90% of coaches, general managers and scouts around the NFL cite as important factors in evaluating prospects. Our staff has never remotely hinted that a person needed to be a Christian to be on this roster, or that anyone with off-field issues is not welcome. They stuck by LeSean McCoy this offseason. They stuck by Zay Jones this offseason. And they tried bringing back Ritchie Incognito. -
THE ROCKPILE REVIEW - What Is It With This Team?
mjt328 replied to Shaw66's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It's all about the Quarterback. Over the course of this season, some fans have convinced themselves that Brandon Bean/Sean McDermott somehow assembled the worst overall offensive team in the history of the NFL, and literally nobody on that side of the ball was worthy of playing in the pros. But yesterday, we saw that with "decent" QB play, the rest of the offense CAN move the ball, CAN score points and CAN look generally competent. Don't get me wrong. The Jets are really bad. And that was a big factor. But the most important thing to remember about this season is that: 1. Nathan Peterman has played HISTORICALLY bad. 2. Derek Anderson wasn't good 10 years ago, and only signed up to be a mentor. He had no intention of playing. 3. Josh Allen is an extremely raw rookie, who needs time to grasp the game. I've been arguing with people who think it IMPOSSIBLE for this team to be competitive by the middle/end of next season. But yesterday was a clear illustration that IF we can get Josh Allen playing on a similar level to what we got from Matt Barkley, this team can absolutely be in playoff talks for 2019. -
Would you rather lose next 6 or win next 6?
mjt328 replied to Bakin's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
We should always be rooting for the Bills to win. Just because a team is in rebuilding mode, doesn't mean they should be trying to lose games. The problem with too many on this board... they just can't reconcile those two concepts. -
Week 10 Bills @ Jets second half thread
mjt328 replied to SlimShady'sSpaceForce's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
38 points. The Bills scored 33 points in the last 4 games combined. (9, 6, 5 and 13). They have scored 46 points in the last 5 games combined, and are climbing to within reach of that total. -
Week 10 Bills @ Jets second half thread
mjt328 replied to SlimShady'sSpaceForce's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The Bills scored 33 points in the last 4 games combined. They now have 31 at halftime. -
Are Elite Defenses on Brink of Extinction?
mjt328 replied to HumbleAndHungry's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Historically, the sport of football has always fluctuated back and forth. I would like to believe that Defensive Coordinators will eventually adapt - coming up with new schemes, player combinations and strategies to counter everything we are seeing today. Instead of Cover 2 or Cover 3 being used everywhere, something brand-new will take hold of the league and Defense will become an actual thing again. I would like to believe that... But unfortunately, I think too much of what we are seeing is the result of rule changes. Defensive players are now being handicapped at every turn. They can't touch the receiver at any point after 5 yards. They can't have any contact when the ball is in the air. They can't tackle with their head in a lowered position. They can't touch the quarterback below the waist or above the shoulder. They can't even fall with their body weight on the passer. Defense will always be important -- in a sense. It's just that elite defenses might eventually be those who give up 25-30 points, instead of those who give up 10-15. -
The gap between the haves and have-nots is growing wider
mjt328 replied to notwoz's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The league has always been this way. For all the talk about parity, the same teams (those with the best quarterbacks) always rise to the top of the standings. The Patriots with Brady. The Steelers with Roethlisberger. Those teams have been at the top for 15+ years now. The Colts and Broncos were good when Manning was around. Not so much since then. The teams with good/not-great quarterbacks see some year-to-year fluctuation in the middle of the pack. Chargers, Ravens, Bengals, etc. The teams with poor QB situations like the Browns, Jets, Jaguars or Bills get the occasional good season thanks to strong defense, but it doesn't last. They eventually fall right back down to the bottom. Usually when you see a new team suddenly become dominant (Chiefs, Rams), it's because they suddenly have a new hotshot QB. Hopefully that's what we eventually get out of Josh Allen. -
It happens all the time. Every year, you can can find teams (offense or defense) that go from the bottom of the NFL to the Top 10. SO MUCH hinges on the development of Josh Allen. He was very raw coming out of college. Right now, he's struggling with pretty much everything - reading a defense, holding the ball too long, throwing mechanics. Even slight improvements in any of these areas can make a world of difference There are many factors in Goff's improvement. McVay's system helped. Adding receiving weapons helped. Improving the offensive line helped. But don't discount how much better Goff himself became as a QB. The Rams were the perfect example of an offensive turnaround. I think a team like the Chicago Bears is more of a realistic goal. They have improved drastically with some solid (but unspectacular) free agent additions, and marginal improvement from their second year QB. I don't get the impression McDermott is "comfortable." He wants to win. He wants to get better. Even if he didn't expect this level of bad from his offense, I think he knew they would struggle. That's why he talks about being run-heavy and relying on the defense. Not because it's a long-term strategy. But because he knew it would be necessary with a rookie QB.
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Almost all quarterbacks are BAD as rookies. Jared Goff was awful his first season, and he now runs the best offense in the entire NFL. The biggest complaint I keep hearing is that Beane didn't surround Josh Allen with tons of offensive weapons as a rookie. But even if you surround a rookie QB with talent (see Dak Prescott for example) - he EVENTUALLY needs to prove he can succeed in the NFL on his own merits. This team isn't built for now. It's being built for 2019, 2020 and beyond. So quit trying to judge this team NOW.
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We are talking about the difference of ONE YEAR. Focus on the offense in 2018. Focus on the offense in 2019. It doesn't matter. We were starting a rookie QB this year. We weren't going to be good, no matter what we did. The worst four offenses in the NFL are Buffalo, Cleveland, Arizona and the NY Jets. Guess what they all have in common?
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I agree. There certainly needs to be overall balance when constructing a roster. But the roster construction isn't done yet. This was always a 3-4 year rebuilding project. And it was always unlikely we were going to be competitive in 2018. If the front office identified 12-13 spots that needed immediate upgrades, and we only had enough resources to address about half this year... does it really matter if our 2018 cap space and draft picks were split equally? Let's say that instead of signing Star Lotulelei and Trent Murphy to big contracts, we replace Murphy with an free agent offensive lineman. And then instead of drafting Tremaine Edmunds, we grab a rookie wide receiver. Our offense is a little bit better. Our defense is a little bit worse. We still have major holes on the roster that need to be addressed in 2019. Overall, I see no difference. We went defense-heavy in 2018 and will go offense-heavy in 2019. When we look back at the roster in 2-3 years, the ORDER we did things in will not be the difference in success or failure.