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Everything posted by mjt328
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Our Problem... Josh Allen Can't Win
mjt328 replied to Midwest1981's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Who cares what anyone thinks? At some point Josh Allen will get on the field, and he will either sink or swim. It's really that simple. If Allen turns into a Pro-Bowl/Franchise quarterback, all the armchair critics will simply forget everything they said against him. -
Right now, who is the Bills best Qb?
mjt328 replied to PlayoffsPlease's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It's hard to make a call after only three preseason games. But from the action we've witnessed, Nathan Peterman has played the best so far. Peterman is the only QB to play well against another first-team defense. I think that has mostly to do with his quicker decision making, which helps counteract some of the poor O-Line play. When put in with the second and third teams, he also raised the level of play for the guys around him. Once the real bullets start flying however, I think teams will stack the line and clog the shorter routes. Eventually, teams are going to take advantage of the lack of arm strength. In contrast, I think Josh Allen is still too slow in processing everything - which is totally understandable for a rookie, but only makes the O-Line struggles more apparent. He's clearly got the most talent of the group. My fear is that with the terrible blocking in front, Allen is going to be a sitting duck. Instead of being able to focus on his footwork, mechanics and other developmental steps, he's going to be running for his life all game. Some say he needs to have real in-game experience to get better. But I don't want the lack of protection to push him back into the old habits he's learning to break. I haven't been impressed with AJ McCarron at all. He is a five-year vet who holds the ball longer than Allen, but offers none of the upside. -
What areas of the team has Beane actually improved?
mjt328 replied to Yeezus's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I never had a problem with how the previous regime spent money in Free Agency, or with some of the high-priced contracts we gave out (Dareus, Glenn, etc.), or even with bold trades being made on draft day (Watkins). If that was the avenue Doug Whaley felt was best to build the roster, then so be it. I was willing to see how it played out. The problem was, the Buffalo Bills were only marginally better in the win column after 3-4 years with him in charge. They still didn't have a franchise QB. The roster was among the oldest in the NFL. And their salary cap situation was in bad shape. I agree that Whaley got somewhat of a raw deal (not being able to hire his own head coach, the change in ownership, etc.) But at the end of the day, his decisions were not good enough to make us a champion. Nobody knows how Beane's moves will ultimately pan out. In 3 years, we may look back and decide he was the worst GM in our team's history. I just find it ridiculous to make those kind of assessments at this point of his tenure. He's had exactly one offseason. We just finished our third preseason game. At some point in the future, Beane will be forced to answer for the Lotulelei/Murphy/Ivory signings. At some point he will need to answer for the Allen/Edmunds trade-ups. But that day is NOT today. -
What areas of the team has Beane actually improved?
mjt328 replied to Yeezus's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
From the moment they walked in the door, Brandon Beane's plan was to: - Get rid of bad contracts and fix their salary cap situation - Stockpile draft picks to help obtain a franchise QB and rebuild the roster - Bring in players who fit the coaching staff's vision The short-sighted thoughts of some fans on this board are absolutely astounding. Anyone with the slightest hint of common sense, would realize this was a 2-3 year project at minimum. The plan isn't to make the Bills better "today" or to finish 9-7 during the 2018 season. The plan is to build a Super Bowl Contender. This wasn't going to happen with Tyrod Taylor's average play at Quarterback. This wasn't going to happen with Marcel Dareus getting suspended every season. This wasn't going to happen with Sammy Watkins underachieving. This wasn't going to happen with Preston Brown making tackles 4-5 yards down the field. The reason for all those trades was for draft capital to get OUR GUY at the most important position in the NFL. The reason for the large chunks of dead cap-space this year, is because it makes us TOTALLY free and clear next season. The reason we take 1-2 steps back THIS year, is because it will allow us to take 5-6 steps forward NEXT year People seem to forget that EJ Gaines missed 5 games last year (and is already hurt again). Until Davis got roasted in Sunday's preseason game, most people felt he was going to be a good pickup. Maybe we need to wait until the season actually plays out before calling this one a downgrade. -
What areas of the team has Beane actually improved?
mjt328 replied to Yeezus's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
What a terrible assessment. I don't even know where to start with this utter nonsense. First of all, the 15 months that Brandon Beane has been on the job has included exactly ONE period of Free Agency and exactly ONE draft class. And NONE of the acquisitions made this offseason have played even a single snap for the Buffalo Bills yet. Every smart team (especially those rebuilding) are built through the Draft. But apparently you don't agree, because all of the places we got rid of an average veteran (Tyrod Taylor, Preston Brown) and replaced them with a top prospect (Josh Allen, Tremaine Edmunds), you considered that a downgrade or a wash. So basically, your assessment of this roster comes down COMPLETELY to what we did in Free Agency... Of course, completely ignoring that Beane's hands were totally tied because of cap space and high-priced contracts handed out by the previous front office. You have also determined that Pro-Bowler Vontae Davis is a downgrade to the always-injured EJ Gaines - I'm assuming based on one bad preseason game. You have also determined that Star Lotulelei is a downgrade to Marcel Dareus, who is currently a backup in Jacksonville and hasn't played well in 3 seasons now. -
O Line Troubles Start With It's Coach !!
mjt328 replied to T master's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
At this point, I think our O-Line troubles start with a lack of talent. Our best 3 linemen from the last several years (Eric Wood, Ritchie Incognito and Cordy Glenn) were all lost within a single offseason. Only Glenn has been adequately replaced, and Dion Dawkins was injured/did not play yesterday. Vlad Ducasse and John Miller both struggled horribly at Right Guard last season. This year, both are unquestioned starters. Jordan Mills has been a weak spot for years. This year, he's the most experienced starter. Neither Ryan Groy or Russell Bodine have been able to snatch the starting job, which is always a bad sign. Maybe Castillo will prove to be a poor coach as well, but right now he's working with crap. -
What areas of the team has Beane actually improved?
mjt328 replied to Yeezus's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
So wait a minute... You start this thread, criticizing Brandon Beane for not doing enough to improve the Bills roster. (Keeping in mind, this was Beane's FIRST year handling Free Agency and his FIRST year running the draft. AND ALSO keeping in mind the 2018 season hasn't even started yet). Then when I point out that Beane needs another offseason before we can judge his success, you respond to my post with the following quote: "Turnaround time in the NFL is usually around 3 years." -
What areas of the team has Beane actually improved?
mjt328 replied to Yeezus's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The players Beane has dumped were released for a variety of reasons. Some were bad scheme fits. Some were not going to fit the salary cap. Some did not display the team-first attitude wanted from this coaching staff. Out of all the players we let go, I can't think of a single one that I would take back (at the cost we traded them for). Ronald Darby was injured and didn't play well for the Eagles last year. Sammy Watkins was a disappointment on the Rams, not re-signed and has been pathetic in preseason action for the Chiefs. Cordy Glenn is hurt again. Tyrod Taylor was not the long-term answer. When considering replacements, you have to understand our limited resources. We only had so much salary cap space. We only had so many draft picks. Did we sign Bodine and Newhouse because they were coveted players by Beane and the staff? Are these guys our long-term answer at those positions? Or were we trying to make the best of our limited dollars, and get by with adequate fill-in players for THIS season? That's where the patience comes in. The 2018 Bills are not a finished product. There are some important draft pieces scattered across the roster (Allen, Dawkins, Jones, White, Edmunds, Phillips) along with some important veteran additions (Benjamin, Lotulelei, Murphy, Hyde, Poyer), all of whom are important towards this rebuilding process. But those guys only make up half of the starting lineup. Next year, the Bills will have the cap space to properly fill the weak spots. They will have another full draft class of picks. Their young prospects will have gotten some badly needed experience. By the middle of next season, we should have a really good idea where this rebuilding project is headed and whether Beane's plan is working out. If his picks are struggling at that point, his Free Agent pickups aren't earning their contracts, and the Bills aren't winning games -- THEN we can start criticizing his decisions. -
What areas of the team has Beane actually improved?
mjt328 replied to Yeezus's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I really hope the message board isn't going to be flooded with these kinds of posts all season. Fans need to get it in their heads. Brandon Beane didn't come in here to patch some holes and make us a Wild Card team. He came here to completely tear-down what the previous regime did, and construct this roster piece-by-piece into a consistent championship contender. That cannot be done in only 1-2 seasons. (I think many fans have already forgotten that Beane didn't even come to Buffalo until May of last year, after Free Agency and the Draft were already wrapped up.) I agree that roster turnover CAN be quick in the NFL. But a lot of that depends on what pieces are already in place. The cornerstones of Doug Whaley's roster were either players that Beane didn't want (Sammy Watkins, Ronald Darby, Marcel Dareus, Reggie Ragland, Cordy Glenn, Tyrod Taylor) or players that have retired this offseason (Eric Wood, Ritchie Incognito). This is a TOTAL rebuild. Our two most important acquisitions this offseason were Josh Allen and Tremaine Edmunds. The plan is to build the franchise around THESE TWO GUYS for the next decade. Hopefully someday both will become regular Pro Bowlers. But for now, the common trait is that both Allen/Edmunds were considered physical freaks, who were raw and needed LOTS of refinement before reaching their potential. Read the scouting reports before the draft. Neither of these guys were expected to make a tremendous impact as rookies. There will be growing pains, and mistakes. Considering the number of players we decided to part-ways with, the two surprise retirements on the O-Line, our terrible salary cap position, and our desperation to land a franchise-QB --- it was totally unrealistic to expect Beane to fill all of our glaring holes in one offseason. The plan in Free Agency was to be conservative in spending this year, and get the dead-money/bad contracts off the books. Once 2019 hits, the Bills just might have the most cap space in the entire NFL to play around with. And all of our future draft picks. Bottom line. There needs to be an element of patience among the Bills fanbase. - 2018 was all about blowing up the roster and purging the unwanted pieces. - 2019 is about rebuilding the foundation - 2020 will be about filling in those holes If we aren't competing for the AFC East by the end of next year, then we can start criticizing what Beane did right/wrong. Until then, it's way too premature. -
Why the hell didn't we address the OLINE?
mjt328 replied to Klaista2k's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
1. We didn't have much cap space, so all of our Free Agent signings were bargain-bin castoffs. Specifically Russell Bodine to replace Eric Wood at Center, and Marshall Newhouse to compete with Jordan Mills at Right Tackle. 2. Eric Wood's retirement was unexpected. But at least it happened in January. The Ritchie Incognito retirement was an even bigger shock, and didn't happen until the earl/mid of April. By that point, the team was already wrapping up Free Agency and looking towards the draft. 3. The Bills used their premium Day 1 picks on their two biggest needs. Quarterback and Middle Linebacker. Nobody can fault them for that. 4. Their next picks were used to fill Defensive Tackle, Cornerback and Wide Receiver, which were also massively huge needs. They finally followed that up with O-Line, getting guard Wyatt Teller. By that point, we were already through the 5th Round of the Draft. We only had so many resources. -
Nothing... (whether it be analytics, statistics, film study, etc)... can flawlessly predict how a player performs at the next level. The biggest reason? They aren't a finished product yet. Teams didn't miss on Tom Brady because they were stupid. They overlooked him because virtually nothing during his college career suggested he would be more than an NFL backup. His performance on the field was average. His physical attributes were average. His stats were average. Brady just happened to perfect every aspect of his game after reaching the pros - whether it be accuracy, arm strength, pocket presence, release and his ability to read a defense. That doesn't mean analytics have no value. Every piece of information can help a scouting department in evaluating prospects. But they aren't going to be anywhere close to 100% in predicting future success.
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Colin Cowherd says he was wrong about Josh Allen
mjt328 replied to wppete's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Why can't anyone just be patient, and maybe wait for him to play a few seasons? The Chicago Bears were on the clock for about 5 seconds, and half of the NFL "experts" were already preparing articles about how bad the Bills screwed up. By the time Josh Allen was shaking hands with someone other than Roger Goodell, he was already a certified bust. Now he's played approximately 3 quarters of preseason action, and all his critics are saying they were SO WRONG and he's going to be an perennial Pro-Bowler. -
A pleasant surprise? The misfit toys at the WR position.
mjt328 replied to Tipster19's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Said it before. And I'll say it again. Wide Receiver is the most overrated position in the league. You don't need superstars at WR. You need guys who can get just enough separation... along with fairly reliable hands. Ultimately, our success in the passing game will depend on the starting Quarterback, and how well he plays. Nothing else matters if the QB can't make the correct read, release the ball quick enough and deliver the pass in an accurate fashion. -
Winless Teams in Preseason
mjt328 replied to The Real Buffalo Joe's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It's had to take anything from the preseason. At least when it comes to Wins/Losses. The starters and veteran/guys who will play 80-100% of the regular season snaps, will often get 1 quarter in each preseason game. Some will only play a warmup series. Some won't play at all. And you have to wonder if half of those players are even going full-speed. By the time you reach the second half, an extremely large chunk of those guys will never play a real NFL down. And that doesn't even factor in the lack of game-planning by the coaching staff. -
The thing that stood out to me was Josh Allen's ability to escape the rush. Even when defenders got hands on him, they couldn't seem to bring him down. It was very similar to what Ben Roethlisberger and Cam Newton bring to the table. On the night, there were at least 2-3 "wow" throws from Allen. The zip and placement on that touchdown was impressive. I know that people were always impressed with EJ Manuel's physical abilities too, but I don't ever remember being wowed by anything he actually did on the field. Quite a few of Allen's incompletions were the fault of his receivers. Either drops or poorly run routes. Between the sieve of an offensive line, and the awful play of his receivers - you have to wonder how Allen would look with the 1st or 2nd team. I don't think you can fault Allen too much on the 4th down play -- simply because it was 4th down. He was trying to make something happen and there was nothing to lose. Now if he does that on 1st-3rd down, it's another story.
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Interesting Astro Tweet re: Beane
mjt328 replied to Johnny Hammersticks's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I totally agree, but you need to read my whole post. Is Mack worth a 1st Round Pick? Absolutely. But it's not JUST the 1st Round Pick. It's also the $20 million per year salary that he's looking for, which could easily be used on anywhere from 2-4 additional starting players. When you are in rebuilding mode, I'm not sure you can justify paying one player (outside of the QB) that much. Would you rather have Mack and a bunch of bums? Or would you rather have 4-5 solid starters all over the defense? Teams like New England have proven it's better to have a deep/balanced roster - because it allows more flexibility in game-planning and makes it easier to handle injuries. -
Interesting Astro Tweet re: Beane
mjt328 replied to Johnny Hammersticks's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Nope. Outside of quarterback, very few players in the NFL are worth that kind of investment - unless you KNOW he is the last piece necessary to make a championship run. And the Bills are nowhere close to that point in their building process. First of all, Khalil Mack would cost us a 1st Round Pick. Bare minimum. And considering all the question marks on our roster, it's quite possible that pick will be Top 10. For most decent GMs, a Top 10 pick should be a slam-dunk starting caliber player. If that wasn't already enough, (assuming we aren't looking for a 1-year rental) I've been reading that it's very possible Mack hits $20 million per year in salary. For a comparison, Star Lotulelei just signed for $10 million per. Jerry Hughes makes $9 million per. Trent Murphy came for about $7 million. Kyle Williams and Micah Hyde make roughly $6 million per. Jordan Poyer is between $3-4 million per. At the end of the day, the cost of trading for Mack would be at least 3 strong NFL starters. Depending on how well we played the free agency game, that money could go even farther. I'm talking 5-6 starting players. When you are building for long-term success, you can't justify that. -
The arrogance of some players is unbelievable. Until you are a proven commodity in the NFL (and have become a free agent), you should just be grateful at being in the league. If you want to play for a contender, then help make your team a contender.
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"Ruining" a QB by starting him too soon
mjt328 replied to Buffalo86's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
OK. Go ahead and argue for those guys. Throwing random names out isn't actually saying anything. There is no way to prove that any of those players were "ruined" by playing too early, or if they would have just busted regardless. Everybody likes to talk about David Carr, but statistically his best seasons were his 3rd, 4th and 5th in the league. If he was ruined by playing too early, you wouldn't expect to see any progression after his first season. But like many NFL quarterbacks, he just peaked at a certain point and never got better. -
The Bills were a ridiculously talented team. Anyone that says they "knew" the team was going to lose in the Super Bowl is just being negative. That team was totally capable of beating the Giants, Redskins and the Cowboys. Despite that, I will say that those NFC East teams were a nightmare matchup for our defense. If the 90s Bills had one weakness, it was an undersized front 7. We sometimes struggled with powerful offensive lines and strong/smash-mouth running games. Which happens to be the common denominator with those Super Bowl teams. Our gameplan should have been airing it out, racking up points and trying to force the opponent to give up on the running game. But we tried to play too conservative, and got punched in the teeth. The 90s Bills probably would have matched-up better against the 49ers. Somehow, the 49ers appeared in 6 NFC Championships between 1988-1994, and never faced us once in the Super Bowl.
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[Vague Title] It continues... Josh Allen...
mjt328 replied to Scorp83's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Lots of people had Josh Allen ranked #1, or right around that spot. Just look in the Top 10: Cleveland allegedly was debating for months between Allen and Baker Mayfield. Like you mentioned, the Giants/Pat Shurmur have said Allen would have been their top choice if they decided to go QB. Many have reported the Cardinals being "heartbroken" on settling for Josh Rosen instead. We know what the Bills thought. -
[Vague Title] It continues... Josh Allen...
mjt328 replied to Scorp83's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I guess we'll see. I've voiced many of the same accuracy concerns, and was very vocal that I preferred Josh Rosen. At the same time, a very large chunk of NFL Scouts (the guys who get paid to do this) had Josh Allen ranked extremely high. Even the team that actually drafted Rosen reportedly preferred Allen. -
If the Bills are without LeSean McCoy, the season is pretty much shot. Losing three of our best offensive linemen, our Pro Bowl running back, installing a new offensive coordinator's system, AND completely starting over at quarterback (possibly starting a rookie). That is way too much to overcome, regardless of how good our defense can be. The only silver lining is that McCoy is 30 years old, and our team can't be counting on him long-term anyway. Even if nothing happens with these accusations, his contract runs through 2019 and then he's a 32-year-old free agent. I think most of us were expecting the Bills to take a step back this season, even anticipating McCoy on the roster. Hopefully we can get Josh Allen some experience, add some strong pieces next offseason and then be ready to compete in 2019.
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But where is the evidence this happened? Do you really think the NFL owners called around and told each other - "Hey, let's show that Kaepernick guy and make sure none of us sign him!" There are thousands of other NFL players who kneeled for the anthem and still have jobs. Like I said. In terms of other NFL Quarterbacks, Kaepernick had played himself into a backup role (at best). His decision/actions caused a ruckus across the country, and enraged thousands of fans. Nobody was going to deal with that headache for a guy holding a clipboard. Nobody forced Kaepernick to kneel. Nobody forced Kaepernick to make his statement about "refusing to respect" this country. Those were his own decisions, and he should take the consequences like a man. But instead, he's choosing to play the victim.
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Why would that make a difference? I am a salesman, traveling from business to business. For my job, I spend 99% of my job outside of the office. My company still expects me to be on-time every day, gives me a dress code and tells me how to act while representing them. If I don't live up to those standards, they have the right to fire me. When you are employed, your boss makes the rules.