mjt328

Not just the two guys we drafted this year. We also drafted AJ Epenesa with our first pick last year. And we still have two veterans who aren't going anywhere in Jerry Hughes and Mario Addison. And there are many who think Efe Obada could be a steal as a free agent signing. And the team has been developing Daryl Johnson for a few seasons. Defensive Line is important. But at some point you need to invest in other places on the roster. Hunter made sense 3 months ago. Not anymore.

Not as a Buc. They may consider him worthy of being there again, since it will be with a different jersey.

Most NFL running backs are on the decline before finishing their second contract. Basically around 27-28 years old. Bell's days as a top running back are long over. This isn't 2017. I don't think he could beat out Devin Singletary or Zack Moss at this point. And he clearly doesn't have the kind of team-first attitude we want on this team. The guy wasted an entire year (2018) in the prime of his career, on possibly the most ridiculous hold-out I've ever seen. The franchise tag was more than generous, and the agent who steered him in that direction should have been fired. Instead of trying to find a balance between money and winning, Bell then signed with the most dysfunctional franchise in the NFL, simply because they were wiling to offer him the most money. After suffering from multiple injuries, he then whined and cried about playing for a bad team and bad coach, until the Jets were forced to just release him.

The signs have been pointing all offseason that Brandon Beane wants to upgrade at the Tight End position. He said it himself. There have been multiple reports from media insiders, who have made strong statements about the Bills interest in trading for a Tight End. The restructure of Diggs' contract is also pretty strong evidence they are looking to make a signing or trade. Something is going to happen. Eventually. Maybe it's Zach Ertz. Maybe it will be someone else. My guess is that Beane made an insulting offer to the Eagles, and they are holding out as long as possible, hoping he caves and gives them something more. I would also suspect that all the leaks/rumors are coming from the other side, and not One Bills Drive. I could definitely see Philly telling reporters that Los Angeles is still interested, hoping that prompts Buffalo to increase their offer.

I could see a lot of Bills players step up this year. Devin Singletary People forget that he was pretty good as a rookie. I believe last year's run-game struggles were caused by a multitude of factors (blocking, gameplan), and not just the running backs. AJ Epenesa The lack of a true offseason. Plus the weight loss. Plus him being a rookie. Despite this, I think he flashed at times. Drafting two edge rushers is really going to push him, and I think he's ready for the task. Dane Jackson One of my weekly surprises last season was seeing Jackson on the practice squad, and no other teams snatching him up. Every time he was on the field, he seemed to make plays.

Whaley clearly had an eye for talent. But something was missing as a General Manager. It was hard to put a finger on exactly what that was, until Brandon Beane/Sean McDermott took over. For an organization to be successful, the front office must have a seamless relationship with the coaching staff. You can't just throw "good football players" onto a roster. You must consider the scheme, the personality fit with teammates, etc. It's not a coincidence that Whaley clashed with both Doug Marrone and Rex Ryan, or that he's throwing his former co-workers under the bus now. I think he deserves a job in the NFL as a pro-scouting director. But a team would be foolish to give him another GM position.

It's a very interesting contract. Time will tell if it's really brilliant, or whether is totally mortgages the Chiefs in the future. Mahomes basically signed a 10-year, $450 million contract. But only about 15 percent of that was guaranteed. This allows them to basically restructure each offseason, guarantee him a couple more seasons and push his overall cap hit down. Starting next year, the cap hit on Mahomes goes from $7.4 million to $35.7 million. The year after, it goes to $46.7 million. As his contract currently stands, the Chiefs are setup with $40+ million in cap hits until he reaches age 36. Now technically, all of that money is not guaranteed and he could be released after 2023 without a big dead cap number. But it's highly unlikely that happens, so I guess the plan is to just keep kicking the guarantees into future contracts. The problem is.... how many times can they adjust and push money into future years, before they are putting themselves on the hook for a $60 million cap hit when the guy is 40 years old? How long will he be OK without a long-term guaranteed contract? Even with the new TV deals raising the cap, they are eventually going to be forced into making tough decisions.

Good list. I was also thinking of ball security. He seems to fumble a lot when he's running. It's the only negative side to ability to run around outside the pocket. He also definitely hasn't played his best football in the playoffs, or against the other premier teams. I want to see him occasionally dominate (think Miami, Denver, San Francisco last year) when he's playing an elite opponent. As he mentioned himself, there are also some specific throws/patterns that he could stand to improve his accuracy and timing.

This is a fantastic breakdown, and should give Bills fans optimism for the future. It usually takes 2-3 seasons before poor/subpar drafting starts hurting on the field. After this season, the contract for Patrick Mahomes is going to hit Kansas City hard in the salary cap. They will likely be forced to make some decisions on many of the core veterans. And they haven't really drafted well enough to replace the guys going out the door. I could easily see the Chiefs eventually turning into a Seattle-like situation, where the QB is forced to carry a mostly subpar roster. The Bills had great drafts in 2017-2018, which setup the foundation for a championship team. To keep it rolling, we need to see highly drafted players like AJ Epenesa, Cody Ford, Ed Oliver, Zack Moss, Devin Singletary, etc., step up and fulfill their potential.

The key here is the timing. June 1st is a key date for trades/cuts, because of how dead money is converted off contracts. Brandon Beane could have restructured Stephon Diggs at pretty much anytime after the season ended. He could have signed a player like Steven Nelson or Richard Sherman months ago during free agency. There is no rush for him to extend either Josh Allen or Tremaine Edmunds. The fact this happened today in the A.M., tells me Beane is eying a post-June 1 cut/trade candidate.

This exactly. It's why he made the Top #100 last year (even many Bills fans were shocked when that happened). The coaches/players know what Quarterbacks are legitimately tough to play against. They know who is getting propped up by schemes, and overrated by statistics. Don't forget that guys like Mitch Morse and Cole Beasley said they signed in Buffalo because they wanted to play with Josh Allen. And that was after his rookie season.

Think of the movie 300 and how the Spartans worked together to form a wall of shields, which was difficult for the enemy to penetrate. The offensive line is similar. Communication is very important, and understanding where the other blockers are going to be. At the same time, you can't just bring back terrible players every year, and expect to succeed due to continuity. That's why I think it was brilliant for Beane/McDermott to totally overhaul the O-Line all in a single offseason. In a sense they ripped off the band-aid, and can now focus on keeping the same guys in place. The Bills switched out a whopping 4 starters in 2019, with Dion Dawkins as the only returner. Last year, they kept Dawkins, Morse and Feliciano in place. They added Daryl Williams, dumped Quinton Spain and pushed Cody Ford inside. This year they return the same starting five, and they all should be playing in the same spots.

1-Tech DT was a problem last year for two reasons: - Star Lotulelei unexpectedly opted out due to Covid - Harrison Phillips struggled coming back from his ACL injury Lotulelei is back this year. And Phillips has gotten another offseason to recover. So we are back to the 2019 rotation, which did pretty well. Not to mention, the D-Line is already overcrowded (mostly at Edge, but many of those guys can kick inside). You can only keep so many guys at each position group. I'm just not thinking Beane will make a significant move at this position.

I was actually going to say the same thing. The Bills are going to strive for more balance this year. You can tell by the way Beane/McDermott talk. One of the focus points will be on improving the run blocking, getting the backs more involved and exposing our QB to less hits. I still think we are pass-heavy, but it won't be as drastic as 2020. The losses on the D-Line and injuries at Linebacker hurt us more than anyone expected last season. With Star Lotulelei back, some young additions to the pass rush and everyone (hopefully) healthy, I also expect our defense to have a nice rebound. At the least, opponents shouldn't be able to run the ball as well. My hope is that we go into the 4th Quarter most weeks with the game in hand, and we can just let the run-game and defense finish the job. You are correct. They weren't playing catch-up. But they did always seem to let the opponent back into games in the second half (specifically the third quarter). Not being able to run effectively (and chew clock), combined with the defense struggling - those were the main reasons we kept throwing and throwing late in games.

Throw for throw, Dan Marino was definitely a better quarterback. But Jim Kelly was a significantly better leader, and a master at dissecting a defense at the line of scrimmage. As strange as it sounds, I don't think the Bills have the same success with Marino under center. It's like comparing Peyton Manning to Tom Brady. Or Steve Young to Joe Montana. In my opinion, Manning/Young were better QBs in a head-to-head comparison. But there is an art to winning big games, and there is something Brady/Montana possess that is above anyone else who every played.

With other NFL teams, it's about how much I like the players, coaches and fans. Sometimes the city itself. I also get very tired of seeing the same teams winning all the time, so I often root for the underdogs to start finding success. So outside of the AFC East, it often changes by the year. For instance, I was fine with Tampa Bay until they added Tom Brady, who is probably my least-favorite player of all-time. I liked Kansas City until Tyreek Hill, and Andy Reid's son destroying the life of that little girl. Now I just can't support them. I'm tired of teams like Pittsburgh, Baltimore, Green Bay, New Orleans, Dallas and would like to see some other teams get attention. As someone else mentioned, Indianapolis has always fielded teams with likable players and coaches. I also wouldn't mind seeing teams like Chicago or Detroit find some success in their rebuilds.

We'll see. Despite finishing 7-9 last year, most analysts still see the Patriots as a legitimate postseason contender. So if you have that perception about them, of course playing 3rd Place schedule is going to look pretty favorable. My opinion is they are giving Bill Belichick too much credit. In the snippet you posted, they list ten October/November opponents for New England. Out of that group, they should be the heavy underdogs in at least six of those games: Bills 2x, Colts, Dolphins, Browns and Titans. The Chargers will also be a very tough road opponent. If they escape this stretch with an above .500 record, I would say they are beating the odds.

You keep saying this. But such is the nature of free agency. Paying excessive amounts for average veteran production. In 7 months, most of the guys who just signed massive contracts will be in the exact same boat. The 2017-2018 Buffalo Bills weren't exactly an attractive destination for free agents.... unless we were willing to overpay for their services OR they had a history with this coaching staff and really wanted to play for Sean McDermott again. This is a major reason that our rebuild featured a ton of ex-Panthers, who ultimately didn't live up to lofty contracts. Our other choice was to just stockpile cap space, and leave massive holes on the roster. What also keeps getting forgotten when it comes to guys like Lotulelei, Murphy, Gore and Addison is that Beane/McDermott were NOT just looking for long-term talent upgrades. That's what Doug Whaley tried to do, and failed. The Buffalo Bills needed to develop a winning culture in the locker room, and across the entire organization. They needed solid veteran leadership to fill the gaps, until the younger guys were ready to step-up. Tre White, Dion Dawkins and Matt Milano were fantastic draft picks. But four years ago, they weren't ready to lead this franchise's turnaround. Like it or not, the signings everyone likes to call trash were probably more valuable than anyone gives them credit for. Do you honestly think the Patriots will get sufficient value/production from the contracts they handed out this offseason to guys like Jonnu Smith, Hunter Henry, Kendrick Bourne or Nelson Agholor? Not a chance. But they couldn't just fill the roster with rookies, and hope to reclaim the AFC East. Belichick understands the importance of veteran leaders on offense, especially now with a rookie quarterback. Without those huge contracts, players wouldn't be clamoring to sign with New England, and they would be left with nothing. At this point, it should be pretty clear that Beane is going by the Green Bay/Pittsburgh model. Now that our roster's foundation is established, the priority will go towards re-signing our own talent. Free agency will be mostly used for bargain-shopping.

People don't remember the players the Saints were forced to let go, because they have done such an excellent job drafting. That's the only reason it took so long for the salary cap to totally catch-up. Just look at the receiving weapons for Drew Brees. The year they went to the Super Bowl, their main guys were Marques Colston/Devery Henderson/Robert Meachem/Lance Moore. The only guy who really got paid from that group was Colston. As the other guys started leaving or fading off, Jimmy Graham developed into a top tight end and replaced that production. Before the Saints got into cap trouble with Graham, they traded him away to the Seahawks. They never missed him either, because that's when Brandin Cooks stepped up on the outside. Then instead of paying Cooks, they traded him away too and suddenly Michael Thomas became the main target. Outside of Brees and Cam Jordan, the Saints have mostly been a revolving door for the last 10 years.

I have my own ranking system for draft picks. A - All-Pro/Pro-Bowler B - Solid Starter C - Rotational Player D - Backup/Special Teams F - Out of League Tre White is clearly an A, and one of the best corners in the NFL. Zay Jones was a major disappointment here, but has settled as backup for the Raiders. He just re-signed with them on a 1-year-deal. Grade him a D. Dion Dawkins is a solid B, as a solid starting left tackle. Matt Milano is also a B (maybe a B+). I think he's got some potential to become a Pro-Bowler in this league though. Nathan Peterman is a joke around here. But he's still floating around on the Raiders roster as a backup. Grade is a D. Tanner Vallejo has also remained in the NFL as a backup and special teamer. Just signed a two-year deal with Arizona. Another solid D. On the team level, this was a very strong draft for the Bills. Three picks were clearly hits, and every player is still floating around the NFL somewhere.

I'm not sure what our 2018 dead cap situation has to do with 2021. It has been off the books for 3 offseasons now. The idea behind taking on that dead cap at once, was to give us more flexibility in future years. And it worked. We suffered through a 6-10 during Allen's rookie season. Then jumped to 10 wins. Then to 13. I agree that Star Lotulelei and Mario Addison are overpaid, based purely on production. But sometimes you also need a veteran-bridge while rebuilding your roster. You can't just fill a team with rookies and expect to succeed. Part of the process has been keeping NFL-tenured leaders in the locker room and gradually replacing them with younger talent. Both of these were guys Beane/McDermott knew and trusted from the Carolina organization. And fans also tend to overexaggerate how "awful" they are, because both guys are still solid pieces to our rotation, even if they aren't huge impact players anymore. As guys like Lotulelei, Addison and Jerry Hughes begin to filter off the team, then guys like Ed Oliver and AJ Epenesa will hopefully be able to step into a leadership role on the D-Line.

Not sure we can really blame COVID. Other teams in similar situations found ways to spend money this offseason. Brandon Beane's mentality is just different than most GMs. The recent trend around the NFL is for teams to go ALL-IN after hitting on a franchise quarterback. The idea is to stack the roster like crazy before they are forced to pay said QB $30-40 million per year. This allows for a 2-3 year window, and hopefully you can get a trophy before the entire structure collapses. Then a rebuild becomes necessary. We are seeing this right now with the Chiefs, who are already 1-2 seasons away from cap hell. The Rams get maybe one more shot, before everything totally implodes. The Eagles have already fallen apart. Beane has a different philosophy. Instead of selling out for a brief window, he wants to keep the Bills competitive every season for the 10-15 years we (hopefully) have Josh Allen under center. This is more the way teams like Green Bay, Pittsburgh and New England generally run their franchises.

It would be great to have both. No doubt. I would love to see Singletary/Moss turn into superstars. It's just about allocating resources. Not all positions can get equal attention. If you decided to spend a Round 1-3 pick on all of the 22 starting spots, it would take over 7 years to address every position. Most teams can only afford between 5-10 players (depending on the QB contract) making over $10 million per year. My opinion is that Quarterback, Offensive Tackle and Edge Rusher always get first priority. They are followed by Wide Receiver and Cornerback. Running Backs, Tight Ends, Defensive Tackles and Safeties can often be addressed on Day 2. Good interior Guards, Centers and Linebackers are the easiest to find in later rounds. Of course there are always exceptions, depending on scheme.

Everybody would love to have 22 superstars, backed up by incredible depth at every position. But with the salary cap, teams need to prioritize the areas they consider most important. For example, this draft really showed how much Sean McDermott's defense emphasizes the D-Line over the secondary. In this kind of zone scheme, they don't see the need to obtain multiple lock-down corners. With enough pressure, they are confident Levi Wallace/Dane Jackson can do the job. Outside of a few exceptions (Tennessee for instance), I believe that RB is also way low on that list.

As Buffalo Bills fans, we have a history of all-time great running backs (Cookie Gilchrist, OJ Simpson, Thurman Thomas). Even during the playoff drought, we had two potential future Hall of Famers on the roster (Marshawn Lynch, LeSean McCoy), a couple first round picks (Willis McGahee, CJ Spiller) and the extremely popular Fred Jackson. Then you have Travis Henry, who ran for 1400 and 1300+ in back to back years. It's tough for people in this city to accept the facts, because for so many years THIS POSITION was pretty much all we had on offense. Outside of fantasy football, the running back position just isn't that important anymore. You need to go back 7 years before you find a Super Bowl Champion where an individual running back (Seattle/Lynch) was the primary attack of the offense. Then probably another 10 years before you find one again (Pittsburgh/Jerome Bettis). The Patriots dominated the last two decades with a by-committee approach, where backs are expendable and exchangeable depending on gameplan. The RBs with the rings over the last 20-25 years are guys like LeGarrette Blount, Damien Williams, CJ Anderson and Sony Michel. The guys the Bills have on their roster can be effective, with better blocking up-front and a better gameplan for getting them involved. I'm not worried about this position in the slightest.