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sherpa

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Everything posted by sherpa

  1. What "subsonic warheads capable of long distances that cannot be intercepted" do they have? I'm not aware that anybody knows what can or cannot be intercepted. Anyway, modern warfare is an extremely complicated and detailed issue, and capability is far more determined in command and control capability, and integration of coordinated many forces operating together. If you look at the US deployment during Iraq wars, you see that capability. The Chinese don't have that command and control integration, or at least have never demonstrated it. They operate on the standard centralized command, inflexible model, which is not responsive and ineffective. Again, they have no real force projection. I'd never add nuc warheads to the discussion. When that is added, nobody knows how things head.
  2. I fully agree and think they are way overrated militarily. They really have almost no offensive force projection. Their newest aircraft carrier is quite small, conventionally powered and requires underway replenishment very often. They are developing a nuc powered one, but we shall see. I have spent a fair amount of time there, at least in Beijing and Shanghai, and I was always surprised at the absolute lack of creativity in problem solving. They also have a demographic problem which is getting worse and limited resources. They need the rest of the world, not the other way around.
  3. Does anyone know where the love of God goes when the waves turn the minutes to hours?
  4. It wasn't Trump that was leading us, it was a number of developments in extraction and finding new sources of methods to economically "find," extract and refine fuel. We have far more natural gas available than we need. Fundamentally, it had nothing to do with politics until the Biden group got in and slammed the brakes on it. The Saudis were universally known as trying to stomp out the emerging US energy industry as they saw it coming. They were flooding the market and depressing the price to the point of making it impossible for the US to allow its organic industry to grow and compete. Then you get COVID and the market tanks with storage facilities full to the brim and tankers dead in the water off shore holding supply that was not needed and could not be delivered. Biden has a unique ability to be wrong at the wrong time, and this is a perfect example. Taking what had existed and getting to the point of ever talking to Venezuela or the Saudis is a totally unforced error.
  5. Can you not do this work yourself? The Trump negotiated cut in OPEC production was negotiated on or around April 13, 2020. Crude was $53 in Feb of 2030, and $23 in March. Extraction and refinement costs get US fossil, much cleaner burning by the way, at a cost in the barrel more than Saudi oil. Always has. Biden comes in an arbitrarily handcuffs US production to some degree. There is simply no valid, rational disagreement of this. None. Oil is about $105/barrel now, and he goes on a begging trip to Saudi Arabia. The man has simply never gotten anything right. But to the point, the Trump negotiated decrease in OPEC oil production was at a time when the pandemic tanked demand and prices; there were no available storage facilities, tankers were off shore awaiting ports, and the US production was at a severe disadvantage. Late edit, I'm not sure where you get information that Trump "almost went to war with Iran," but that's an entirely different subject.
  6. A uniquely specious argument, devoid of factual context. The US energy complex was becoming completely independent. The course we were on would have made us completely independent of OPEC supply. The "pandemic" you mention trashed energy demand, and resulted in a situation where there was virtually no storage capability as demand dropped so significantly. Trump negotiated OPEC production declines to protect the US energy complex, while prices were tanking. Biden did exactly the opposite. He enacted an executive order that cancelled the Keystone pipeline and enacted a moratorium on drilling on federal land. Two completely different situations. One attempts to enable and support US production while asking foreign producers to slow production during a price crash. One, through US federal gov action, eliminates domestic production and jobs, horribly timed just before a nut from Russia cuts off a good deal of EU supply, spiking the world market. Two completely different situations. Biden has incredible timing
  7. I broke 21 of the 24 in one event. Five needed titanium joints. He'll be OK. Just don't sneeze.
  8. The weird thing about that hit was that everybody saw it coming a second or two before impact, and I think that's what caused the silence, which I remember as well. When Lincoln extended his arms to catch the high throw and Stratton was going near full speed about seven feet away, you knew it was going to be awful. The "crack." Thankfully he rolled fairly quickly after going down so you knew he wasn't dead.
  9. TV. Secretariat in the Belmont. Live. The Stratton hot on Keith Lincoln in the 64 championship. Though just a kid, with the sound of it I thought he was dead until he moved.
  10. A small point, but maybe illustrative. Webb is an IR telescope. The raw data that it transmits to earth is in pure IR form. It is then "adjusted" to make it make sense to people. That takes time. In no way that that make it less accurate or suggest that the data is doctored. It is simply adjusting colors wo show various IR strength returns. Again, that takes a bit of time.
  11. There is no elephant in the room. There is Jefferson DNA in Sally Hemmings descendants. There is no conclusive evidence that it was his, as there were a couple of Jeffersons around. Either way, there is absolutely no evidence of anything untoward or non conceptual. Jefferson's wife died at an early age. Anybody who suggests anything inappropriate or unwanted needs to be in the early 1800's or shut up. To suggest that one of the most brilliant men of his time, and a priceless contributor to our's and the world's political philosophy is somehow sullied by suggestions two hundred years later is foolish, but inevitable on this forum. It always amazes me how people can display their hate.
  12. Monticello is an architectural and agronomic masterpiece. Many items invented by Jefferson are still in place and working well. The new focus is on slavery.
  13. Oh contraire. History makes me quite comfortable. Know why?' I've been a student of this, and I've done the work. When you have done the same, we can have a conversation. Till then, I am not going to waste my time with someone who continues bring up "cult" crap, as if that has anything to do with me or this subject. Jefferson was a brilliant jurist. A brilliant political philosopher who wrote a document that changed the relationship between the governed and the governors forever. An accomplished astronomer, agronomist, inventor and the best architect in the colonies. He wasn't perfect, but his many writings on the issue of slavery were prescient and illuminating, and though he had slaves, he hated the practice. People in those times cannot be judged by folks two centuries later, anymore than people who practiced medicine in those times can. In our current situation, we would be blessed by people of the Washington, Jefferson, Madison group. Late edit: If anyone is interested in this, read "The Life and Selected Writings of Thomas Jefferson." The book includes a number of the personal letters between Jefferson and John Adams as they aged and repaired their political differences, each man expressing ultimate respect for the other, as well as correspondence with his daughter while he was Minister to France. I'm as certain that anyone who reads the book will be better for it, just as sure as no one will. Got a place on the top shelf of my library.
  14. Nonsense. The fact is, not that you would know, is that there has been a massive change in the focus of that tour. If you are not familiar with that issue, don't claim it doesn't exist because of your ignorance of it.
  15. Couldn't agree more. Some things make too much sense.
  16. Lost you? The point I have made over quite a few posts is that the Sunday Super Bowl has a massive economic impact to the league, the media, the host city, even as far downstream economically as local restaurants and national charcoal companies. Moving it to Saturday diminishes that.
  17. Because there's a lot of media regarding volunteers who quit? I have friends and neighbors who have done this for years. The change over these past years is astounding, and I know nothing nor anyone in the "cult."
  18. Of course there are no high school football games in Feb., but there sure are during the beginning of the college basketball season, and the NFL season. The networks are not stupid, and pro sports doesn't want to upset their reputation and thus ratings. High school football has no impact on that, but start running NFL games on Friday nights and see what the PR is. They leave high school football alone. They, largely, leave NCAA football and basketball alone and they all make money.
  19. The situation there is absolutely pathetic. I've lived here for years, discovered this area as the result of looking in depth at Jefferson's life and contributions. Commuted to my career profession from here. What has happened to that tour in the last three years is disgusting. Many volunteer guides have quit over it. We had family visitors a few weeks ago, brother in law who had done it before and his kids, and said the change was terrible.
  20. Seriously? Ever been to an ACC game on a Sat afternoon in Feb? Think the Super bowl would have an impact? Ratings are ratings, and ratings are money. That's what all these contracts are based on. They all compete but to some degree they do what is best for each. Friday night is high school football, not college. Sat is college football or basketball. Sunday/Monday and to some extent Thurs. is NFL. There are some Sat playoff games, but these schedules are not coincidences. They are media driven.
  21. No accident either. It gets the home city another night of hotel occupancy, and probably a breakfast. Move it two hours earlier, and that changes.
  22. I get what you're saying, but the Sunday thing is a major economic deal. The two teams are not known until two weeks prior. That effects some amount of fan participation/travel. Having two days of SB tourists, who are probably corporate and/or high spenders has a huge effect on the coffers of the host city. Simple businesses like BBQ providers/beverage providers/charcoal vendors would be impacted across the country. It has become that big of a deal. The best solution is to move it an hour or two earlier, or take the Monday following as some kind of holiday by moving an existing one.
  23. They aren't going to move it to Sat. As I mentioned, Sat night is the major revenue producer for this thing, and Sat screws the thing up. Corporate jets arrive Friday. Some events take place Friday night, but few. Saturday and Saturday night is where all the money is, and a game on Sat screws that up. NFL and the host city would lose a fortune. By the way, here's the Sat NCAA basketball sched the day before this year's Super bowl. Think the NCAA would mind? https://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/schedule/ALL/20220212/
  24. OK, here's the solution. Knock off the ref's constant announcements during the game, especially the challenge plays. Two officials have mics. The ref tells the other one to make these stupid announcements that everyone knows about anyway. The ref gets the challenge, goes to the tent, rules and relays the ruling. The way it is now is bizarre.
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