
sherpa
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Everything posted by sherpa
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Recession is upon us - disastrous economic data
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Revised from their original numbers. Not revised to a net down. The point is that making this all political is a fool's errand. Judging economic health on monthly reports is equally so. The economy is OK. That will never move me to the Dems current group. That will never happen. -
Recession is upon us - disastrous economic data
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Settle down. Use the three, (or more), moving average. Recent jobs report probably heavily influenced by two serious storms. -
Video: These are Trump’s X-Men! 👍
sherpa replied to JaCrispy's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I am quite aware of calculating net worth, and of course home equity is part of the equation, but it must be replaced if sold, unless the owner dies. It creates a tax burden and it can create a capital gains tax. Simply not as valuable as liquid assets. Nothing wrong with that. In the case of Trump, or anyone else owning income producing real estate, it's a bit different than a simple personal residence. That's why things as simple as being approved for a margin brokerage account, or investment instruments requiring investor net worth qualification will not consider primary residence in the qualification. -
Video: These are Trump’s X-Men! 👍
sherpa replied to JaCrispy's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I'm not going to speculate on property value over the next decade. What I am asserting is that unrealized gains should not be counted on to continue, nor used to base one's net worth on. Only liquid assets, those than can be capitalized in a few month's time, are what really matters. Pumping trillions of dollars into the economy is always going to result in inflated prices of competing commodities, whether stocks, real estate or other assets. Print money---->devalue money. That doesn't mean extra wealth. It simply means higher numbers. -
Video: These are Trump’s X-Men! 👍
sherpa replied to JaCrispy's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I didn't dismiss it out of hand. What I am stating is that including property value as part of net worth is not a great idea, nor indicative of true economic growth. It must be replaced unless you die, at similarly inflated values. Property taxes drain an increased amount with the annual appraisal value. There is also a potential capital gains tax to be considered, further reducing real value. -
Video: These are Trump’s X-Men! 👍
sherpa replied to JaCrispy's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I am very familiar with using equity. There is risk involved. One cannot assume that property will not undergo a reversion to the mean. One cannot assume property values will even remain stagnant. The owner of that property is paying increased taxes every year, based on appraised value. In addition if it is to be liquidated, there may well be significant tax consequences. The point is that using property value as a variable in net worth, as opposed to liquid asset value is deceptive. It must be replaced unless you die, and that appreciation is in the market options for replacement. -
Video: These are Trump’s X-Men! 👍
sherpa replied to JaCrispy's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
It seems that you are arguing a strategy for home equity line of credit. That is not only not part of a discussion of net worth, it is not part of the issue. Home equity is an asset that if used, needs to be replaced, at much higher cost unless downsizing. See 2008 for risks involved in real estate values. The way to truly value net worth is in liquid assets, not home/land equity. -
Video: These are Trump’s X-Men! 👍
sherpa replied to JaCrispy's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Net worth is a sketchy way to determine people's situations. It includes real estate, which must be replaced unless one, or both dies. Liquid assets is a much better indicator, and without doing the math, I'm quite sure it has not kept up with inflation over the past four years. -
Previous And Ongoing Election Rigging and Interference.
sherpa replied to BillsFanNC's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Win. -
If lower inflation is desired, practice responsible fiscal policy. We haven't done that for years. Monetary policy, ie., the Fed acts in response to data caused by fiscal policy.
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I have brined in liquid and dry brined, and I much prefer dry brining. Put the dry brine on and let the turkey sit for two days, uncovered in the refrigerator. Make sure to loosen the skin and get the mixture under it and on the meat. There's solid chemistry backing this process. I also place the turkey breast side down for the first half of the cook. I discovered this technique by accident a few years ago, and the breast is much more moist.
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Are you serious? A hint. There are just as many people "making prognostications re interest rates" on both sides of the argument. That is what makes the market. Jeez this is stupid.
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Absolute nonsense. Of course tariffs would cause higher prices on those items impacted. That would slow demand, and thus lower interest rates. Interest rates are the free market demand for money.
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First game Sep22, 1963. My uncle took me. I wasn't really interested, but I went. Really young. I still remember the smell of those Sahlens hot dogs. Great atmosphere. We sat behind Kansas City wide receiver Chris Burford's parents. Game ended in a tie, but I was hooked. Been a fan ever since, as are our kids, who were born and raised for their first years in San Francisco during their heyday, but are just as die hard for the Bills as I am. We never call them the Bills. We call them "the beloved." They still join me on Sundays when able for good food and the game. They'll be here this Sunday for the Dolphins. The Bills have provided massive disappointment at times, but their contribution to the the closeness of family is immeasurable.
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Previous And Ongoing Election Rigging and Interference.
sherpa replied to BillsFanNC's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Non citizens, in this case self proclaimed non citizens do not have that right. -
Previous And Ongoing Election Rigging and Interference.
sherpa replied to BillsFanNC's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Are you in possession of the facts here? These are self identified non citizens. The state's actions were a continuation of a precedent set in 2006 by gov Tim Kaine. Recognize that name? Hillary's running mate and favorite of on of our staunch Dem poster's here? -
"Suckers and Losers"---Trump on our GI's
sherpa replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Can you possibly be more disingenuous or deceitful? He was talking about the Biden Admin's refusal to apply US immigration law, and what has resulted. Goodness, what gross, intentional lying. -
I served as an elections officer for five years. I knew and met people who are extremely affluent, and many less so. After a while of doing this, and engaging in conversation, which my small precinct allowed me to do, I concluded that there is no value in judging based on net worth, education or any of the myriad of other categorizations. We have two very flawed candidates. We need to get through this and get over this nonsense. We don't have a Hitler or fascist, and the world is not going to end. We have a somewhat narcissistic blowhard, and a leftist loon from an area that has destroyed effective government, and cannot answer a simple question. Tough years ahead. Great for the media, but not for us, but we'll get over it.
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Billy Shaw vs the Chargers Ernie Ladd. Worth the price of admission.
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Tim Walz Was A Great Pick Thread
sherpa replied to Trump_is_Mentally_fit's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
This guy is a total goof. My brother in law and his wife just visited. He is a partner is a Minneapolis wealth management firm that does a lot of Vikings and Twins clients. He and his wife despise the guy. Special state call in lines to report on your neighbors who might be violation their covid restrictions at family affairs? One could drag a guy off the street and I'd be more confident in competency. -
I like revenge movies. Top two. The Count of Monte Cristo, newest version, with Jim Caviezel, and Mask of Zorro with Banderas, Zeta Jones and Anthony Hopkins. Simple stuff. Total escapism.