
sherpa
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UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I honestly don't believe that these type of claims have any basis in reality. The bottom line is that the world is dealing with a fundamentalism Islamic group at the head of Iran and its nuc program. Do any of you care to understand what "diplomacy" means to a fundy Islamic group that thinks it has a God directive to eliminate Israel? You can disagree, but I don't think "diplomacy" means the same to the Iranian regime as it does to an obviously uninformed westerner. To change course, but I think is important, the status of this confrontation has changed immensely in the past few months since the fall of Syria. So as to not waste words, Iran is infinitely more vulnerable to offensive air strikes than it was earlier. That is not to say they can't energize their third party proxies in other countries, but they are quite vulnerable. -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
All of this internecine arguing in this forum is a waste of time. There is no agreement that Iran was going to sign on to to stop it's nuclear program. Only an ignorant fool with no knowledge of that regime would conclude that any US administration could force it, short of military action. Waste of time targeting the US policy. The Israelis have this figured out, and have for some time. -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Buying them from N. Korea would e a gross violation of many agreements. Their nuc program has Pakistani origins and N. Korea technical support, and has for years. Producing them in N. Korea would not get them in place to launch. Delivering one of these things is a multi pronged issue. The warhead, which needs about 90% pure, the missile range and accuracy, as well as mounting the warhead on it. If they did it in N. Korea they would be found out and the weapons would likel never make it to Iran without interdiction. -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
No US president since 1980 has had the ability to get them to stop. The regime is intent on completing the program. -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
sherpa replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
All the usual blaming of various US administrations in this thread, but that doesn't address the reality. Iran is run by an individual who thinks he has a God given mission to destroy Israel. That is that group's raison d'etre. It's been that way for decades, just as the Iranian nuclear weapons program has been going on for that long. There is no chance any US president was going to stop it unless by force, which is not a pleasant option, or by regime change brought on by internal force. That is the reality, and anyone who has looked at their program for years would know that. How they built their facilities, where they put them, how they spread them out etc. Fortunately, the Iranian air defense system has been denigrated to the point of ensuring strike success against various sites, but the thought that Iran was suddenly going to stop is pure folly. -
Los Angeles under military attack
sherpa replied to Joe Ferguson forever's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Remind the individual of Kent State. -
Los Angeles under military attack
sherpa replied to Joe Ferguson forever's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
That would also be an illegal order, and they would be bound not to abide by it. Support of others or respond to threats against them is authorized. "Attack" is not. -
Los Angeles under military attack
sherpa replied to Joe Ferguson forever's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
You've gone full blown Sunday afternoon wacko. -
Los Angeles under military attack
sherpa replied to Joe Ferguson forever's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Your exaggerations are pathetic. Calling up the NG to prevent a potential catastrophe in an area known for very serious rioting is not "going nuclear," nor is it a military "attack." Further, you have zero credibility on the subject of what I think of the MAGA group, so give up the idiotic judgement, which you repeatedly place too much self confidence in. It's just stupid. -
Los Angeles under military attack
sherpa replied to Joe Ferguson forever's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Regarding the thread title, the National Guard does not "attack." Responding to another claim, you know what's a "good look," and would have prevented this nonsense? Denying illegals entry. That was intentionally decided against, and so we have this. -
Just a feeling, but a strong one. I think this past week was the beginning of the end for Putin. Highly publicized destruction of a significant amount of his strategic air assets, which the Russian people saw. Underwater droning an important bridge. Oil revenue greatly decreased. 27% inflation. 600,000 or so dead or significantly injured while in the years of this war they hold an area about the size of LA County in Ukraine. The same as 89. The economy will bring him down, and once started, it may happen quickly. Just my view, but the economic and military momentum and vector is horrible for them.
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That's fine. I'm just saying buyer beware after reading scores of nonsense from X people who lead with opinion against zero knowledge of existing situations, any acknowledgement of the other point of view, history or current context. And no credit goes to mainstream either, but they are a bit more disciplined as there are ways to get at them if wrong. To each his own.
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The difference is the reader's subjective response to whether such claims are justified. There is some implied suggestion of credibility when these no names/no knowledge sources post some giant X view. A poster doesn't get that same response, and believing some ignorant goof simply because it's an X post is a really bad idea.
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I can inform that the US military is well equipped with extremely long range anti air missiles, those that receive initial guidance from the launce platform, link to a third party enroute, whether it be satellite, ground based, separate aircraft or other, the use internal terminal guidance at the end game. The issue will be the ROE. The US has very, very rarely allowed beyond visual range engagements and targeting, which such deployment would require. That is one of the significant benefits of the F-35. Not a great dogfighter, but unbelievable ability to process the battle on all levels, and team up with other assets to provide informed, coordinated response including all other aircraft with link capability and drones. There's a lot going on.
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I don't have a dog in this fight, but there is an observation I would make relating to these X links. Very frequently they are from people that nobody has ever heard of, and generally for good reason. The links are always in support of the poster's underlying view. The problem is that they are rarely credible and contain vies and judgements that are ridiculous, with near complete ignorance of the subjects and context of what they suggest. I only say this regarding those I have noticed on issues I think I am quite familiar with. When I read those, I frequently find myself shaking my head and being amazed at the ignorance.
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This drone strike on Russian aviation is a game changer in the annals of offensive warfare. Currently, there is no way to adequately defend against such a thing. Imagine a container ship cruising past a US task force in congested waters. Hundreds of drones suddenly launched inside the range needed to properly engage. US airbases do not protect airplanes with hardened spaces, and there are thousands of them. These drones were not data link controlled, so no way to jam them. Consider the amount of farmland purchased by Chinese interests near US air bases. This drone strike is akin to the brilliance of the Israeli pager operation. Pentagon.....We've got a problem. By the way, this has been discussed for years, but nobody did anything about it.
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My wife runs her business through Etsy. She creates custom banners for churches and ships them throughout the US. She and the buyer discuss the plan, swap a few design ideas, agree on the product and then she creates and ships it. Last week she got a request for a banner for an Episcopal Church. The guy wanted the official Episcopal symbol with a "pride " thing added, sewn onto the lower left quadrant of the 4x3 banner. She politely told him she would gladly do the Episcopal symbol, but not the pride portion. She mentioned she didn't want to create any banner that could be remotely political. Anyway, she gets more business than she cares to handle, so no problem.
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On a happy note, and because it has been mentioned in this thread, Truman ended its' eight+ month deployment and docked in Norfolk today. The airwing would have flown off a couple days prior. Fly-offs and landing at your home base after a long cruise are tremendously happy days that you never forget.
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It is pure craziness to suggest that the US taxpayer has any obligation to "retrieve" illegals who have been deported. the only way to solve this issue is for those people to come together and change their governments. It's been done before. The stupidest, least efficacious strategy is to have a single safety net to illegally enter. Fix their govs and the fleeing will stop, but that takes guts, and having the US as an easy out makes that all but impossible.