
sherpa
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Head Coach Tony Bennett's surprise decision to retire at Virginia was the canary in the coal mine signal. Stating the reason as the changing landscape of college basketball was code for the portal and NIL. They spend all their time recruiting and raising money. Such a shame.
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The NPR hearing with Katherine Maher was an absolute TKO.
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I'm not pretending anything. I understand their concern as it was a major screw up and needs to be fixed. You can find anyone on the internet to make any claim you want. But what happened? Nothing. I taught Soviet anti air systems and am familiar with the basics of these, which are derivatives. You could tell the Houthis that we were going to strike this target at this time using this weapon and this delivery maneuver, and it wouldn't matter. Any successful shot would be pure luck, and surely not the result of what this foolish leak was about.
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The odds is losing an airplane over Yemen are far greater if it is from mechanical issues. This entire thing, as a threat to US forces is ridiculous and purely political. For the fourth time, it was was stupid and needs to be fixed, but the claim that it was a threat to US forces is grossly exaggerated. Previous policy pf tolerating drone and missile launches resulted in the friendly fire destroying of an F-18, and nearly two, but for the rapid action of an LSO on the back of a carrier who saw it an transmitted to make the second missile stupid. Make it political. I don't really care, bit it is nonsense.
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I'm not sure what your point is here, but if the US lost a fighter, (and "jet" is a senseless redundant), it would be known. I'm not good with the leak, but in my humble view, the consequences, which amount to ZERO, have been grossly overstated for political reasons. Clean it up and move on. Existing policy re the Houthis is way better than it was three months ago, which resulted in getting an F-18 shot down, and very nearly two. The stupid, ungodly expense of simply defending against missile and drone attacks was idiotic, not that the commander in chief was even aware of it.
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I agree that every every effort should be made to eliminate the possibility of this happening again. What I would disagree with is overblowing the danger to US forces on these strikes. We are talking about coordinated strikes in Yemen. That area has very limited, and easily overcome air defenses. You could tell them a day in advance that a strike was planned, and without naming targets, I wouldn't feel threatened. As background, I have no idea what ships from foreign nations are watching the Truman Task Force. I do know that it is operating in international waters and might well be being watched by people sympathetic to Iran and the Houthis, if not from those nations specifically. When we deployed, the carrier was always tailed the second day out of Pearl Harbor through the entire WESTPAC cruise by Soviet intel ships, usually within 15-20 miles. Carriers are not invisible. Getting information on an impending strike is not hard. The F-18's with their visible weapons would have been very visible. Doing simple math, one could easily predict time on target. Twenty minutes to tank, 350 to "feet dry," then 450 knots or so so to the the target. Heck, when the US launched the attack on Baghdad in 2003, I wrote on another website the time when if would occur, four hours prior. It wasn't hard. I saw a report that a number of B-52's had launched from a base in the UK. I knew what they carried and I know the times/distances. I was exactly correct, actually the stuff started hitting Baghdad 8 seconds after I predicted. This stuff isn't hard. Again, this is a sloppy, major mistake, and needs to be corrected, but any threat to US forces is exaggerated.
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I have a completely different view on this. The issue is a major screw up. No doubt about it. Admit it. Fix it. But, the strike was successful and the mistake had no consequence. On the other hand, the strategic policy of defending against drones and missiles at massive cost, instead of launching an offensive strike to eliminate the threat, to the point of the US military being concerned about inventory, was an idiotic policy, as expressed by the on scene commander.
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How do I know it? I don't, but I am extremely comfortable and confident in my view. The Houthis are a nomadic group of lunatics completely dependent on Iranian support. The time frame of this would not permit any Iranian support, as that takes time, and based on results, they knew nothing. Still a stupid mistake, but non consequential tactically. Merely an exposure of something that needs to be cleaned up. Not true. Ill informed and stupid.
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The information was not leaked to the Houthis, at least not by any credible report, so it had no impact. The strike was extremely successful. It was a clear screw up, but conjecture without evidence, ie., any real harm, is being used for political purposes. I give them one major screw up. But....The major screw up was not getting offensive re the Houthis in the first place, and that was entirely on Biden Inc. Requested by the fleet commander and refused, so we defended $300 drones with $1 million missiles, to the point of drawing down those weapons to dangerous levels. Eventually, an F-18 was shot down by our own forces, and it was damn near miraculous that a second one, in close trail, was not.