QCity

1-3 during the week is just a light dusting. It's probably going to rain for next Sunday's game. The storms have been over since Fri, it's just about cleanup and flood control now.

Won't be any snow left in the Stadium by Tuesday

I would say the Bills fans in Buffalo are the ones that got screwed via the 7 feet of snow. It's hard to sympathize with Bills fans living in, say, Florida right now.

Yeah, not a traditional 4-3 MLB thumper, but is tearing it up in Fangio's system. Fangio's also got Smith, Bowman, Willis, and Brooks to work with at LB, I mean, c'mon... seriously?

If any of you cooped up Buffalo natives are going stir crazy and want to watch some fantastic LB play (and have NFL Gamepass), check out the A-22 film for the any of the last three San Fran games (Rams, Saints, Giants). I used to watch Wisconsin just to see this kid play but thought he might be a bit undersized for the NFL (he had a bad 40 time at the combine as well), but just *wow* he took it to the next level for sure. He's a sideline-to-sideline tackling machine and his instincts are off the chart. He's stuffing plays in the backfield, breaking up passes, picking off balls, generating pressure, etc, etc, on seemingly every snap. Watching him reminds me of a Sam Mills or maybe a Zach Thomas -- slightly undersized but just has that inherent ability to gravitate towards the ball. Anyways, he was on special teams the first 6 games and only got to play due to an injury to Willis -- he only has four starts so far, but he's on pace to lead the league in tackles (!) and he's generating DROTY talk.

Marquise Goodwin WR Buffalo Bills Status: Doubtful (snow)

Bayless is a bottom of the barrel contrarian, designed to engage viewers by outraging them (and he does it very well). Jerry Sullivan is our own hometown light beer version of Skip.

A lesson in metrics: how Bleacher Report gamified journalism for 1.3 billion monthly pageviews It's the dregs of journalism, somewhere between tabloid reporting and the Cable News cycle. It's tenets are not about accurate reporting, but generating pageviews with sensationalism, controversy, and pandering. I'm not surprised so many people read it, however.

Bruce Arians just punted from the DET 36 on their last two possessions.

Ron F*ing Smith.

Kujo is a tackle, we were only playing him at guard out of desperation. You don't turn down a guy capable of playing at a Pro Bowl level because you want to "develop" a 5th round pick. If you want to say Incognito would bring a toxic personality to the locker room, that's a good reason, but to say he wouldn't be an upgrade over our current guard situation is ridiculous. Win now, right?

Incognito was coming off a Pro Bowl season. Young guys?? We are starting Pears and Urbik.

TBD is always going to wildly overreact after every game. Note that I said "game" and not just "loss," because if Orton hits one of those passes at the end, the crazies would have been posting about Superbowl odds. It goes both ways. Best course of action is just to wait until Monday before reading/posting.

The Brown fumble gave me chills. It was 10-3, the exact same score as the KC game last year. It was the first drive of the 3rd quarter, again, same scenario as last year. A long march down the field and we were about to demoralize them by going up by 2 TDs. As soon as that ball went out of the back of the endzone, the Jeff Tuel flashbacks started. The momentum started to shift. Leodis then put the exclamation point on the day.

Same thing as the KC game last year, we outplayed them, but the game was lost on 2 huge turnovers. Bryce Brown did his Jeff Tuel impersonation and Leodis followed it up with a tribute to T.J. Graham.

Winston will stay in school if he's convinced he's a 2nd round pick. The Sabres will get the 3rd pick this year. You know it's coming.

I really wasn't trying to paint Billick as unintelligent, I was just trying to say his grasp on statistics probably isn't as strong as he thinks (I could be wrong). I've worked with many accomplished people that I consider to be intelligent (physicians, engineers, even CFOs paid to analyze numbers) and I am always a bit taken aback when I discover they don't fully grasp basic probability. Is there a correlation between successful people and aptitude with probability? In my experience, not a strong one (I'd estimate an r-squared of .3 ) I don't, however I can give you an example of a guy talking out of both sides of his mouth. Yesterday Billick told us the Bills were atop his toxic differential list (predicting success) and today he predicts us to miss the playoffs. Maybe I'm missing something?

Super Bowl coaches aren't exactly known for their mathematical acumen. Plus, there's a reason Billick is in the booth and Marvin Lewis is on the sidelines, but that's going off topic. First of all, is this metric actually predicting anything, or is it just telling you what happened? Let's say I told you, "Teams that score more than 40 points and commit no turnovers have a 99% chance of winning -- you'd be hard-pressed to find any controllable statistical combination that has quite the same rate of predictive success." You would probably sarcastically laugh, "No kidding." I haven't really predicted anything, I've simply told you teams that score a lot of points and don't turn the ball over win games. We all know that. Billick is essentially saying the same thing - get turnovers and then score (explosive plays). In the end it's not telling us anything that we don't already know. The key word here is "controllable." Can you really control and predict turnovers for a game? For a month? For half a season? Seattle led the league in turnovers last year, this year they are struggling to stay in the black. Our 2011 Bills stormed to a 5-2 start primarily based on turnovers. When the turnovers dried up, well...you know the rest. I think you can win the turnover battle consistently if you have the elitest of the elite QBs - a Rogers, Manning, or Brady. Is that really telling us anything? Get a top 5 QB and you will have success? Not exactly a revelation. For the record I predict we will have a negative toxic differential for the month of December. Any guesses why?

Nobody knows who the OL coach is. I'm serious.

It's more snark than strawman.

Let's put him on the Wall of Fame.

Translation: He can't get open.

I think it comes down to production. I've never understood why this fanbase fell in love with Williams. I thought the guy was overrated at Syracuse and was living off his 11 TD campaign as a rookie. He was brought here to boost our red zone production but has been invisible once we get inside the 20. Correction, he's been invisible every time he takes the field - save for the 1 grab vs Chicago and a TD catch on a busted coverage / broken play. Watch the A22, the guy isn't getting open. He's never had a 1000 yd season and he's never caught more than 65 passes.

Love Francesa's comment "if the man does not value the QB position he should not be a position of authority in the NFL." http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q-rAu4TtTmM

I'm shocked we won, I thought we would come out flat. I'm not used to seeing the Bills win on the road. Any road victory is fantastic in my book, especially against a division opponent.