Mango

It happens in every sport. Being elite at the very highest level takes a different breed both physiologically and psychologically. Every once in a while you get players who transcend both. But just about all athletes, even in the NFL, will lean more one way or the other.

Honestly superstitions are real. I try not to drink regional beers for away teams on game day. Sadly every time I’ve been drinking not blue light this year, the Bills go on a skid during the game. Cheap beer for me on sundays for the next 12 weeks

I’m gonna get flamed for this, but here is a hot take: I think I would rather lose a close one to the Pats and beat the Titans. At least we know who we are. Winning games were supposed to. Losing games were supposed to. AFC record stays in tact. This how we get to 10+ wins. Beat the Pats and lose to TEN. Holy shite, every week suddenly becomes a toss up for us. It’s what has gotten us 7-9/9-7 every year for an entire generation. Perfect world, we are 5-0 and that’s what I’m pulling for!

You got me man, I went full John Madden on that one. If we hold them to less points then we score, I like our odds. The last year or two, generally you hold NE under 24 you’ll win. If you can put 28 on them, you should be in the middle of a good football game, no matter what they do.

If we could keep Harvey Weinstein out of this, that would be great. ??

Any lead against NE by less than 14 with 1:30 or more on the clock, terrifies me. I don’t bet on NE v. BUF games. I did almost parlay BUF, MIA, NYJ last week though. Also, eff you Peyton Manning and Phil Rivers. A few years ago I parlayed each division winner, and the Chargers had a crap year largely thanks to the Broncos. It was the only one I missed and cost me a pretty large profit.

I was thinking the same thing. The football IQ seemed to be pretty high with their press corps. They didn’t seem to have a Jerry Sullivan sitting in the room. Interesting you chose 44-3. I walked out of the Ralph after Sunday’s game thinking, if we do this next week, we’re losing 42-7. Not far off. Haha Then again, it’s what BB does to young QB’s. Much like the Taliban, they disfigure the young so they remember for a lifetime. (Sorry if that was too much)

“I wouldn’t say they do anything complicated, but what they do, they do well” BB was about as praising as he gets here. He regularly muffs on people’s names and just says positions. He named Poyer and Hyde specifically. But the above quote is a worry of mine. I think we play really sound football, and do what we do well. But if TB and BB figure it out, the offense will need to carry the load because it’s not tricky on that side of the ball. Which is fine by me, because as BB said, it’s worked in CAR, and worked here for 3 years, why would we change. Realistically, I think we have a great shot if we can hold NE under 24, and we can put up 28. I think no matter what happens 24 points has got to be the bare minimum on the offensive side of the ball

The team is 3-0, albeit closer than we would like to 1-2, but at least they won, which is at least some change compared to other years....even the last two. I actually think that TEN is a must win. Win or lose vs. NE we will be viewed as over achieving or under achieving. We are in a similar tier to the Titans. We either come off really high or really low against them, either way, we have to win another AFC game on the road we have to win. We need to build some wins against better similar teams on the road to come out of the WAS, PHI, CLE run. All teams I think that are similar to BUF. If we can beat the Titans, and come out of that 3 game stretch 2-1, we are right as rain.

I am constantly a guy who focuses on what could be better tomorrow, rather than what we did well today. Wanted to take this thread to make sure I am on the record as a fan (but worried somtimes) of Josh Allen. If we can see more of the below quote. We will be definitely be "good enough" in year two of his development. Allen has been more accurate this year, cutting his rate of “poor throws” (according to Pro-Football-Reference.com) from a league-worst 24 percent in 2018 to just 6 percent — which ranks fourth-best this year. Some of that can be attributed to a dose of shorter throws,1 but the NFL’s Next Gen Stats estimate that Allen is completing passes at a rate 0.9 percentage points higher than expected this season, even after adjusting for the depth of the pass and other particulars, while he checked in at 7.7 percentage points below expected last season (second-worst in the league). You left out the rest of the paragraph. Don't get your panties in a bunch everytime somebody isn't 100% positive about Buffalo. They gave Buffalo a better chance to win than the betting line. Tom Brady has a long history of winning, and Buffalo/McDermott a history of losing. Patriots are doing what they do, and the Bills have done what they normally do. I thought this write up was relative positive and fair. So let’s be honest: A lot of signs point to the Bills’ magical season-opening run coming to a screeching halt against New England this week. (Our model gives the Pats a 65 percent chance of winning, despite being on the road, and that’s conservative compared with the probability implied by the Vegas line.) But we also give Buffalo a 70 percent chance to make the playoffs — and for a franchise with only one playoff game under its belt since 1999, that’s as good an excuse for a raucous parking-lot celebration as anything else.

Totally agree. We could win 12 games. I’m just going off of the last two years and the first 3 games. We’ve had some blow outs the last two years, and squeaked by some bad teams. We are only a few plays away from heading into NE 1-2. But we did find a way to win which can’t be discounted. Well know more through the middle of the season.

I wouldn’t be shocked to see us lose to: NE x2 TEN BAL CLE DAL PHI That’s 7 games. I think we are in a similar tier as CLE and TEN. Those games will probably be tough. Also Flacco hung 47 on us last year, so I wouldn’t go into that game lightly. I’m not picking them to lose either any of them right now. But outside of NYJ and MIA, there aren’t any gimmes.

I agree with basically all of this. Agreed, we have to pace the offense. But I’d favor change of pace. Find your mismatches and run no huddle as long as you can. We can stay at the line for 35 seconds at times, it’s fine. But I’d also throw in a healthy dose of quick counts. BB is notoriously difficult on young QBs. If we can keep them on the field, with irregular pacing, hopefully we can keep the looks pretty vanilla. Especially since I think we’ll need to put up 25+ and decision making has been tough for JA.

Correct. But that isn’t always a positive. Allen has us some issues with decision making, but he’s getting better.

I just don’t think they’re better than 8-10 wins, and they haven’t showed enough in the last 3 games (against very bad teams) to convince me otherwise. I’m not going to argue it, because it’s a stupid thing for me to be right about. They’re either not as good as you think they are, and that sucks, or they’re better than I think they are and it’s awesome! McDermott has to keep Brady under 24 points, and the offense has to score more than 24 points. Just using averages. I don’t think they’re there yet. But the team is absolutely improved and I’ll be cheering and rooting for it Sunday.

Honestly I would take to reddit for this. There is a sub for photoshop wars, battles, or whatever. The name escapes me. But post it there.

I think the Browns and Bills are pretty similar teams currently. Browns a bit over hyped. Bills a bit under hyped to start the season. Both teams will float around 8-10 win mark and both can be streaky. Expected with young QB's. I don't think the Browns are in any trouble (yet), the same as I do not think the Bills have arrived (yet) or should count on a 10-12 win season, like we are starting to see posted.

I actually think this is equally lazy. The Bills are indeed better than last year. I think they are about an 8/9 win team. We are 3-0 against 3 teams that are probably picking in or around the top 5. People getting excited about being top 10 or around there in the NFL always make me giggle a little bit. Like dude, that puts you just at or outside the top 3rd. It’s like legitimately getting excited and putting a bumper sticker on your car that reads, “My Kids Get C’s”

I always kind of laugh when people get hyped about being 10th in the NFL at something. Like dude, it’s a 1/3 of the league. That’s not impressive. 10th puts you right in the middle of the bell curve.

My guess is 35-17, Pats win. We let the game get away from us with a couple turn overs.

Straight up pick, or both beat the spread? Where are you placing that? I use betnow and they aren’t letting me on those games...

I once got punched in the face by a women with an actual baby in her arms at a Pats game a few years ago. Because I asked her husband to stop pushing me through the causeway at half time. It was jam packed and nowhere to go/walk faster. It was a pretty surreal experience actually. It wasn't even a nice day, it was freezing and rainy. Husband picking fights, woman throwing punches with a baby, at a 45 degree rainy Bills game. I wasn't mad, just super confused as to what the hell happened.

On side kick to start the game/half

Agreed. Not ripping or hating on the team. We, and the league, have seen a lot of 2-0 starts only to win 7 games.

I’ve liked what I’ve seen from this team. However we have beaten 2 of probably the bottom 5 teams in the league by a whopping 15 points. Until the defense neutralizes a very good offense, or the offense can go toe to toe in a shoot out, I still think we are hovering around .500. Cincy will I’ll be an interesting test. The. Seahawks should be decent this year (and built similarly to us) and they played them tough. Then got smoked by the 49ers. So we don’t know a ton about who is good right now. Just who is absolutely bottom of the barrel. For perspective, if the Bills win Sunday, and assuming the Giants really are terrible, Bills opponents will be 0-9. Not what anybody would call impressive. We could be the real deal. We could also have NE work us at home 42-17. We know nothing yet.