Mango

Agreed totally. If we could spread the defense out a bit more, that would open up the field for more chunk plays with his legs.

Agreed kind of, just because he runs up the middle like an RB or TE would. This year makes me especially nervous since he seems to have caught the fumble bug. I don't understand why there aren't more QB's as good at the QB sneak as Tom Brady. I know, he is the GOAT/nemisis. It is just a weird skill to have for such an immoble QB. For 15 years he has been the best in the business at it. Not only does he do it the best, he converts it at an astonishingly high rate, and had 6 different starting centers over his career. https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/21158057/the-dying-art-qb-sneak

I agree. He’s a talented runner. Reminds me of Cam when he takes off, in that he isn’t built on speed and shiftyness like a Vick or Lamar. I think in 2018 he used his legs too often to bail him out of his arm/eyes. I feel like I see Allen late to make reads and in 2019 is either throwing bullets because he’s late or holding the ball too long. Allen should run more, but needs to also become a better passer to be a forever solution for Buffalo.

We are going to have something like 90M in space next year. Isn’t this the entire reason we went 6-10, so that shite like this didn’t happen.

I think we are in the same place on this one. Better does not necessarily mean good enough. I do think the OL is average overall. WRs are just below. I don’t think either are terrible or flat out bad. Last year was terrible for both.

Im not speaking to you specifically on this, rather your point that others have made regarding JA’s ranking in 2019, being due to a bad supporting cast. This years WR and OL are exponentially better than last years. If supporting cast is what’s holding him back, at what point is supporting cast also responsible for his improvements? Honest question. I think we will have a very good idea next year by week 8. If the improvements are marginal, than I think it’s cause for concern and we should have a better vet backup to take the reigns if need be. To me he will have to play Miami good vs. teams like SEA, IND next year.

FTFY

I thought that was weird. My only guess is they expected to get 2 yards and they thought they were in 4 down territory....??‍♂️

I’ve always been a Phil Rivers fan. Hoping they can pull this one off and go on a crazy run into week 17. (Assuming Buffalo is still in the playoffs). I like Mahomes, he’s obviously part of the next generation. But I’m sick of it right now. Go Bolts!

This! Cleveland beating Pitt was helpful, but they are still the most meaningful game on our schedule going forward. Should note, ESPN still has us as favorites on Thanksgiving vs. Dallas and as favorites against Pitt in Pitt. EDIT: Just playing with the calculator, if CLE wins out, they do not need much to make the playoffs. Baltimore is easily their toughest. Did not realize.

Josh Allen is 3-0 when putting up 30 points or more* *=Josh's 30 point games are all against MIA

I break this down into, " We currently aren't good enough to be competitive against these teams now, and I do not think we will be good enough next year. There is a chance it might take this FO until year 5 to be competitive against good teams." That will be a major problem IMO if it comes to fruition.

He is better than Harry currently...I don't understand why that would not be the case next year, especially considering they don't have all that much invested into Harrison.

Oh boy, about 2/3rds of this board think Allen has less of a chance than winning a coin flip (64.81% are 40% sure or less). I am sure this thread will go well.

Win% right now only has Oakland losing to KC for the rest of the year, and they only play AFC teams. Buffalo losing to New England and Baltimore, which puts Oaklands conference wins above Buffalo by +1. Assuming win % comes to fruition Buffalo is the 6th seed and Oakland is the 5th. If we only flip Buffalo and Pitt, Pittsburgh is the 5th seed with the tie breaker over Oakland at the 6th seed with strength of victory. http://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

What do you want them to do? Play 16 games? - Josh Reed Run Blocking? - Josh Reed Find a soft spot underneath? - Josh Reed Be a much better athlete but play like 50% of the season? - Roscoe Parrish Dynamic kick returner? - Roscoe Parrish

It is still pretty early, but flipping Pitt and Buffalo swaps them to 11-5 and Buffalo 10-6. Does not matter though. We could win any other game and we would still miss the playoffs. If it makes you feel better, ESPN projects us winning that game as of right now. They also have us over Dallas, but again, even if we swapped an L for a W in NE or Baltimore, we would miss the playoffs at 11-5. Questioning accuracy of win% is valid. It has Oakland at 11-5 at the 5th seed.

I think we are on the same page here. I am just saying it isn't going 1-3 through the teeth of the schedule. I think it absolutely has to be Pittsburgh. Dallas, NE, or Baltimore, doesn't really do us any good without Pittsburgh dropping an additional game. Now if Cleveland can find a way to beat Pittsburgh, that changes a lot of things.

It is actually pretty wild that for a team that started so hot, they seem to have their backs against the wall in a way at 6-3 down the stretch. Worth noting, via choosing win % in the playoff calculator, both AFC wild card teams are projected at 11-5.

Losing either of those games would require us to beat Pittsburgh and steal Baltimore or New England. I believe the way the AFC is projected to fall right now (just via favorites), an NFC win would not be enough.

If you go straight win percentage/favorites, Buffalo right now puts us into the playoffs. If we swap Pittsburgh in Pittsburgh to a loss, winning any other game, regardless of NE, BAL, DAL, we miss the playoffs entirely because we lose the head to head against Pitt. It is a must win...assuming the favorites do what they are supposed to do right now. We needed the CLE game.

We absolutely need that 1 of 4 stretch to be Pittsburgh. I think if we do something like beat Dallas and lose to Pittsburgh, we might miss the playoffs all together. If Pittsburgh gets through CLE-CIN-CLE (the AFCN plays each other tough regardless of how trash some can be), even with a loss to ARI, we would go into Hienz field 8-5 vs. 8-5 most likely. We will need the head to head come week 17. I think our best shot to the playoffs is winning the next 2, beating Dallas (more of a chance to steal that game than NE or BAL right now) and Pittsburgh.

You should add a poll for this rather than a bunch of the same single line answers with records. My thoughts at 0-1 through the back half: MIA: hot right now, or at least as hot as a 2 win team can be. They are not an easy out. Probable WIN DEN: They are a very good defense, I expect this to be much closer than it should be. If we beat MIA I think we win this one. If we lose against MIA we lose this. WIN DAL: People have this as a blow out. Dallas has been hot and cold. Bills do not match up well. I think whoever has the momentum coming into this game wins. 50-50 BAL: Super hot right now. If they can cool down and BUF can contain Lamar, they can win. Chances are low though. LOSS Steelers - Steelers have been hot for a while now. I think this is sort of who we wish the Bills were. Season on the line here. 50-50 Patriots - Brady and co. have a history of not making the same mistake twice LOSS and it won't be close Jets - WIN If we can not play down to MIA and get some offense against a very good DEN defense, we are in a good spot. If we play down to them and drop one, I think we drop both of the 50-50 games.

Milano is good value for his draft pick. He should be resigned but won’t cost a ton. Jordan Phillips should be retained. Tre should be signed at basically whatever. Allen, if needed to be resigned tomorrow (which he doesn’t) would cost probably around Keenum money (hypothetical). That would still leave us tons of room.

Nailed it! And I will add his ability to put just about every throw on a frozen rope has bailed him out of his inability to read defenses over his career. Allen is regularly late to the read/throw, and the NFL isn’t the mountain west, he can’t get away with it.