Mango

Not that Tannehill is some elite QB, but part of that is because of Mariota. Tannehil went 7-3 once he took over as the starter. Even against the MM led Titans, the Bills won 7-14 after a called back TEN TD (Actually 2 called back, but it was on the same drive) and 4 missed FGs. Most teams don't miss putting up 19 points like that. Sure the occasional missed field goal or called back TD, but 19 points is a ton. If we flip that game (which isn't crazy) we are talking about the "barely made the playoffs Bills" and the "clinched the playoffs with a month to go Titans". The teams are not that different from each other. Titans are coming off the hot hand so they get the edge in a tightly grouped pack in the 3-6 range in the AFC. Part of the reason the Titans could not clinch earlier was 2 games in the final 3 weeks against what turned out to be the 10-6, division winning, Houston Texans. A lot of theirs and Houston's and standings depended on those games. Additionally 4 of 6 were against their division, where any combination of Indy, Houston, and Tennessee could have made the playoffs.

For starters they made it to the AFC Championship game? The Bills are still listed as the 6 seed. They are banking on Rivers taking Indy to the next level. We shall see, they might be wrong, but it isn't a crazy idea. Pitt returns their POS HoF QB. Then there are the Chiefs and Ravens, who until they prove otherwise, should be ranked about the Bills. I think 4, 5, and 6 could be interchangeable. If Rivers has some gas left in the tank, they will probably be closer the the Chiefs/Ravens class than the Pitt, Buffalo, Tenn, class in the AFC. I mean, they averaged about 25k per game which isn't too bad when you realize the ENTIRE state of Wyoming has about 570k people in it. They draw like 5% of everybody who lives there which is kind of wild.

Not the worst prediction. Bills were pretty close to 8-8 last year. 2 of the below 3 could have easily flipped. If I had to put my house on the line I would guess 9 or 10 wins this year. If I am playing with fake internet points 11 seems fair. TN- Called back TD (actually two- they were on the same drive) and 4 missed field goals. Win by 1. People always forget about this game. It could have been ugly adding 19 point swing. Pitt- 3rd string QB, Duck Hodges threw 4 INTs. Won by 7. A healthy Big Ben and it probably goes the other way. NYJ 1- Darnold plays with mono. Wins by 1.

I’ve really liked “All or Nothing”. If nobody HS watched it, think hard knocks but during the actual season. Even the Rams season with Jeff Fisher was entertaining since they were in the middle of relocating. He also got fired, so there was some added drama to a pretty bland guy. I really had a hard time with the Cowboys season. Jerry Jones is around way too much and Jason Garrett might be the biggest **** in football. Really just entirely vanilla. Bruce Arians/ Carson Palmer was great. Carolina was decent too.

To be fair, no team in the NFL has probably lost to another QB at the rate Brady has beaten everybody. His win % is like .778. Works out to a career average of 12-4...20 year average. It’s pretty wild. But otherwise I totally agree with you.

No. I doubt TB runs from any sort of challenge. Can we just stop with the bolded because it “feels right” The horse is dead, and died unjustly. Brady’s win % in the AFCE is no better than his win % in any other division. Brady’s win % against Peyton Manning is like 66%. Thats as good or better than Big Ben, Rivers, Rodgers, Brees, Watson...basically everybody else’s entire career. And most of those guys are headed to the HoF. And they play against much worse competition that a Peyton led Colts/Broncos team on a regular basis.

Did I not hear him correctly. He said “here in Omaha” and then said he was a “Buffalo year round guy”. Ha! But seriously I dig the guy. Hopefully his career pans out as a Bill.

They have lost more games than they have won in 4 of their last 8 seasons. Drew Bees is THE ONLY reason they were not a dumpster fire in those years, and the reason why they can go from 7 wins to 13 wins in a single off season. A guy like Wentz has yet to show that kind of ability. I think the only way this works out (and you can probably never count on it) is actually having to pay a QB 30M per year for about 2 years.

They can do it but they'd really be missing some players. Alshon's cap # is $18 mil, cut post-June 1 next year: $5 mil dead cap Desean's cap # is $11 mil, cut post-June 1 next year: $2 mil dead cap Goodwin's cap # is $7 mil, $0 guaranteed Brandon Graham, who will be due $18 mil next year, will be 33, and has a $5 mil dead cap # post-June 1/ Jason Kelce who has talked about retirement each of the past 2 offseasons which would save $8 mil.

I know cap numbers can always be worked and tweaked, but even with accounting for $10M in cap increase and roll over, they are still looking at needing to clear $40M in space. I am not sure I have ever seen anybody over that much. Maybe the Saints at one point? Absolutely wild. https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/philadelphia-eagles/cap/2021/

I would expand on this and say Allen is not going anywhere until his 5th year option at the earliest. Allen would have to regress quite a bit for them to keep Daboll and move on from Allen before that. That said IF Allen does not show more growth this year or remains flat, the short term move is probably going to be to bring in a new OC for year 4 and 5.

I would add Pitt to this list. Per Winston, Pitt offered him more money than NO. I get the sense that Pitt is not so sure what Ben has left in the tank. The guy has threatened retirement for years now. Coming off a bad elbow injury. Plus looks to be doing his best to win a Matt Patricia look-a-like contest. Cam may be a welcome addition. They had terrible QB play and still won 8 games. 5 loses were a TD or less. Cam puts them in the playoffs last year and gets them 2 more wins minimum.

I don't know what to think of this kid. He has had an inconsistent career in terms of %, has not made anything 50+ since 2018. I was hoping PFR would give an easy breakdown of attempts/converted by distance, but they don't... But then you see stuff like the below, and think, "OK he can do this". Granted he is only kicking against air.

Meh, I wouldn't read anything into it. A non-issue. Guy has basically called everything in his football life coach since he was 9. I doubt the GM thought anything of it.

If you look at my post history, I am not sold on Allen being worth a $30M+ contract. But he’s proven himself the starter until he either tanks or proves he’s worth that kind of money. Not really worried by it.

Unsure why the laughter on this one. Some are on the Josh is the guy side of the fence, others are on the skeptical side. Either way I think he is should be pragmatically looked as shown signs but not proven side. It is not like the FO took a guy in the second. It’s a 5th and of no completion to JA. Barkley should be worried in the 2021 season though. Also Webb is toast.

At worst it is insurance on JA (hands up don’t shoot). At best, dude progresses, she’s flashes, and in year 4 we are able to flip this pick into a 3rd.

I was just joking because TO tweeted at McBeane and the Bills a few weeks ago, saying he’d be a nice addition in the resldzone. Ie good hands, good size, and high point the balls. Also reports are/were he is having trouble driving off of his left foot so he is slow in and out of some of his breaks...sorta similar to your write up. Mostly tongue and cheek.

So basically 46 year old Terrell Owens?

It’s the 40 in the NFL, everything is fractions of seconds. But it’s about 0.3 sec slower than MJD, about the same speed as Gronk, and less than .1 slower than Mario Williams. It is not a deal breaker obviously. But it is a valid concern heading into the season.

unsure if that was fat fingers or autocorrect. ?

MJD is much faster as well. Do we have the slowest backfield in the NFL? Ha

Good down hill runner, just enough shake and bake to make you miss. I do wish we had some more speed in the backfield. Don’t love having 2 mid 4.6 guys as your 1,2,

I really like Gallimore. I think he is high ceiling high motor. Dallas got a great player

The lag on NFLN is brutal with the lag