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Astrobot

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  1. This is required reading. Best Geno Smith article I've come across. It lists strengths and weaknesses.
  2. Bingo. An OG that the Bills have talked extensively to, JC Tretter, from Cornell, is on most mocks at RD4-5. They think highly of him. Emory Hunt from FootballGamePlan has the Bills going with Barrett Jones in RD3. If he's there, I'll eat my hat, but good value for O-Line depth, something that has screwed us in the past few years. MY preference is Tretter or Dallas Thomas on Day 3.
  3. Thanks for the props, Nanker! I'm not leaving TBD, the Bills discussion here is deep enough, and varied enough, to accurately dipstick the Bills' needs. Right now, our P1 is QB, our P2's are WR and SILB, and our P3's are WILB and TE. If you disagree, I'd be happy to change them. The simulations (done with VBA on Excel platform) take into account positional needs submitted by each of 32 team analysts, and our Big Board is updated weekly (and actually daily for the last 2 weeks). The Big Board guys don't rank players high who are "famous for being famous".
  4. I looked around other draft websites, and most have Geno Smith in the #20-23 range. When there's depth on the O- and D-Lines, like this year, that's where the feeding frenzy will be. Every one of the QBs this year is flawed, perhaps not fatally, but certainly flawed.
  5. Minnesota has the #22 and #25 pick in the draft (1480 pts. on the trade chart). They want a WR in this draft--remember they traded Percy Harvin to the Seattle Seahawks. Cordarelle Patterson is sitting there when it's the Bills' pick at #8, and the call comes in. Nix agrees to swap the #8 (1400 pts.) for the trade-down. Minnesota takes Cordarelle. I fed this into the DraftTek Simulator and the resulting draft looks like this, with some other considerations at various picks:1 8 Minnesota Cordarrelle Patterson WRF Tennessee1 23 Buffalo Geno Smith QB West Virginia P2 +6 Value1 25 Buffalo Tyler Eifert TE Notre Dame P3O +3 Value (Trufant CB)2 41 Buffalo DeAndre Hopkins WRF Clemson 3 71 Buffalo Jonathan Bostic ILB Florida4 102 Buffalo Devin Taylor OLB34 South Carolina (Travis Kelce TE Cincinnati , Gavin Escobar TE San Diego State)5 136 Buffalo Lavar Edwards OLB34 LSU (Marcus Davis WRF Virginia Tech, Landry Jones QB Oklahoma)6 167 Buffalo Malliciah Goodman DE34 Clemson (Le'Veon Bell RBF Michigan State, J.C. Tretter OG Cornell )We win in any trade down. In this case, if Geno Smith makes it to 8, he slides quite a bit further. I'd take Trufant at #25 and take Travis Kelce later at TE, and OLB Lavar Edwards. I'd also seriously consider Le'Veon Bell even if I have to wait a year to use him--you'd have thunder and lightning in Spiller-Bell for years, with Smith at QB, Eifert-Chandler at TE and Hopkins-Johnson at WR. Bostic is a solid run defender with some versatility between ILB and OLB.
  6. I could go with Jordan, Manuel, but whom would you take in the second round?
  7. Several draftniks have compared Jordan to Jevon Kearse, most recently McShay, who has also called Barkevious Mingo "Ware, Kearse-like". Yep, this one's going to be a difficult one to call. But that's why we're here, why we watch the draft, and why we slow down at accidents.
  8. Great point. Geno went 20 TD to 0 INT along one stretch. I am not averse to taking Another QB in RD 6 or UDFA, by the way. If Matt Scott, Seth Doege, Collin Klein, Sean Renfree, or Matt Dysert were there, I'd make sure my other priorities were already met (including OLB, TE, CB, WR, K/P), then give them a hard look.
  9. I'm not voting. I will say this: If this is the choice we make at 8, we have several options. ----> Kirwan's draft lets the Bills take the QB with a 7:1 TD:INT ratio. It doesn't mean we can't take one later, should Bray, Scott, or Jones fall into RD4. ----> Warmack at OG easily replaces Levitre and you have no more OL movement, where the Lane Johnson option forces you to change 2 positions. ----> Dion Johnson was McShay's #1 pass rusher, holds up in space and versatile".."25 sk 10 INT 15 FF and 7 QBs on stretchers", not a 4-3 LB ----> Some draftniks are touting Lotulelei as an even better DE than a DT, but there is the heart thing. He's been #2 on most boards since May. ----> I think Xavier Rhodes is the best CB in this draft, not Milliner or Trufant. There; I've said it. ----> I am not a fan of Ansah for this team right now, you could talk me into Cordarrelle and Tavon.
  10. In Pat Kirwan's mock draft, Gone are: Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida Matt Barkley, QB, USC Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama Barkevious Mingo, DE, LSU Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia The draft comes to #8 of the Bills, and here are the next 5 picks, all of whom are on your board. Who do you pick? Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia Dion Jordan, OLB, Oregon: Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State You may also vote "Other", including Bjoern Werner, Cordarelle Patterson, Trufant, Ansah, Kenny Vaccaro, Damontre Moore, Tavon Austin, etc.
  11. This. You could have Bradham on StrongSide, Sheppard SILB, Dansby, and Lawson on the Weakside.
  12. Everybody has an opinion. My opinion is that this took a lot of time to consider other teams' needs and to select the BPA for each. The fact that you got paid to do it earns you a TBD Freakin' Oscar.
  13. I'd rather have 2 WRs from the draft. This draft is loaded. I think there are WRs in every round at our pick that will be excellent receivers. My favorite in each is highlighted: RD1--Cordarrelle Patterson, Tavon Austin, Keenan Allen, DeAndre Hopkins (who I have ranked higher than most draft sites) RD2--Robert Woods, Terrance Williams, Justin Hunter, Quinton Patton, Ryan Swope, Stedman Bailey, Marquise Goodwin RD3-- Markus Wheaton, Aaron Dobson, Ace Sanders RD4- Conner Vernon, Da'Rick Rogers, Kenny Stills, Chris Harper, Cobi Hamilton, Tavarres King RD5- Aaron Mellette, Rodney Smith (EJ Manuel's target), TJ Moe (strength off of press cov) RD6- Corey Fuller, Darrin Moore, John Goodman (Notre Dame, best blocker in late rounds, 4.4 forty), Kerwynn Williams (4.34 speed, Tavon Lite), Jasper Collins (most polished route runner in late rounds), Nicholas Edwards: 95 passes for 1,250 yards and 19 touchdowns to lead FCS in his Junior year, Denard Robinson (below-average hands as WR and no position drops him--wildcat guy?), Josh Boyce (16 ypc with Andy Dalton, Pachall, foot surgery drops him here) UDFA-Marlon Brown: 6'4" 216, injuries drop him here UDFA-Roy Roundtree Michigan record for receiving yards in a single game (246) UDFA-Cody Hoffman BYU UDFA-Tyrone Goard 6'4" 205, tall speedy UDFA Marcus Davis ex-quarterback, averaged a team-best 17 yards per catch last year
  14. I confess...my son and I used to check out people's castaways. My son ran into the house one dinnertime, looked at me excitedly and said, "Pachinko machine!" I left my newly-made Manhattan on the table and rushed for the door. Leonhard is the pachinko machine. Tomorrow's dumpster pickup could be a slightly-used Takeo.
  15. see signature line below this post. I'm sticking with it.
  16. Drafttek's mock would send these players to the Bills tomorrow: 1 8 Buffalo Cordarrelle Patterson WRF Tennessee---- (Jarvis Jones) 2 41 Buffalo Matt Barkley QB USC-------------------------- (Tank Carradine, Jordan Poyer) 3 71 Buffalo Margus Hunt DE34 SMU------------------------(Terrance Williams, Jordan Reed, Tavarres King) 4 102 Buffalo Travis Kelce TE Cincinnati--------------------(E.J. Manuel, Dysert, Nassib) 5 136 Buffalo J.C. Tretter OG Cornell-------------------------(William Campbell, Jelani Jenkins, Zaviar Gooden) 6 167 Buffalo Kenjon Barner RBC Oregon-------------------(Dion Sims, Matt Scott, Braden Brown) I have put the most-discussed player the Bills didn't take in parentheses. I'd go JJ in RD1 and Terrance Williams RD3. Matt Scott's stock is way up, and I'd expect the Bills to look at him earlier, even with one of the other QB's taken. EJ-Dysert-Nassib falling to RD4 is the computer saying the demand is low for this crop of QBs compared to Big Uglies, TE, RB, CB. I've talked with JC Tretter and his Dad, and they both really see the fit for J.C. in Buffalo. No OLB34 in these picks (my feeling is that Lawson in a 3-4 will pay big dividends).
  17. Anyone want to bet that this year's Boldin is not a WR?
  18. By trading a sixth-round pick to the Ravens, the 49ers now have *only* 14 picks in the 2013 draft.
  19. "I see your Anquan, and I raise you Boldin."
  20. Someone asked me who the upcoming draft's Anquan Boldin is. I said nobody will be age 33 before game 5 of this season. So nobody.
  21. Tretter is on the Bills' radar, and if Warford's gone and we've taken a QB and LB in RD1-2, Tretter will likely be a Bill in RD3. MY notes: athlete: high scorer on HS basketball team, also QB, OT, came as a TE, from upstate Akron NY, excellent bend, quickness, sudden, lateral agility, slides well, fundam sound, 28 reps, anchor
  22. http://www.profootballcentral.com/2013/03/10/jarvis-jones-cleared-to-play-without-restriction/
  23. Julian Edelman WR http://ibnsportswrap.com/article.php?articleID=120
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