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Everything posted by billsfan1959
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Democratic 2020 Presidential Primary Thread
billsfan1959 replied to snafu's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Sally Yates isn't a political person at all...nope...no way...uh uh... Now you know why she was ousted by Trump: Her inability to make sound decisions... -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
It is still a possibility as his party does support post birth abortion.... -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Just what the country needs, Bernie Sanders getting on national television and saying we may more lose more people than we did in WW II... -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Yep. Pretty sad when your political ambitions rest on the hopes for a rising death toll and a falling economy... Monkeys' lives matter..... -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Over the next several months, things will stabilize. We will find that the mortality rate for COVID-19 is actually 1% or less of all those who have the virus. Things will get back to normal. The engines of the economy will get back to full strength. Markets will rebound. And the end of the world didn't arrive... -
I'm not deflecting. Jackson had a great year.I detailed it in my post. He didn't play well in the playoff game. Period. Yet, you refust to admit it and throw stats around like 508 yards of offense and 9 trips into Tenn territory. Totally misrepresents his play. You can make the exact same argument for Allen in his playoff game and you don't. They had nearly identical yards per play and Allen had 356 yards of offense with 24 less touches and still managed to get into Houston territory 8 times. So, using your same logic, he should be considered to have had a decent game. Allen did not have a great second half. Jackson wasn't particularly good in any of his game.
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Oh please. You have been critical of Allen since before he ever set foot on an NFL field. The truth about Jackson is this: He is an incredible athlete. He played well mostly with a lead and on the back of an incredible run game (not just his running). Where he excelled this year is in TD production. Last year he had a TD% of 3.4 and this year he had a passing TD% of 9, putting him in rare company. I have no problem with him receiving the MVP. Personally, I would have gone with Wilson. However, that TD production masked some real issues with his passing game, which were exposed in the playoff game. We will see what he does next year. My guess is that his TD% drops back down to somewhere between 4 and 5. Given that he is on a Greg Roman offense, he will continue to throw the ball less than any other team. Roman's schemes are based on the run game. I have a hard time believing the team with the fewest pass attempts in the league will lead or be up at the top in passing TDs again. He could replicate it, but I doubt it as nobody ever has. You can delude yourself all you want about the yards he put up in the playoff game with 79 touches. The truth is, he didn't play well, particularly when he had to carry the team on his throwing.
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Gotcha. Well, I am 100% in agreement they need to drastically upgrade the talent around him and they better get some major pieces this off-season. I think with continued improvement of Allen’s play and some real talent added at receiver, the offense will continue to evolve.
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I didn’t call all of the analyses of Allen during the draft process lazy and superficial. I said much of the national narrative coming out of the draft was lazy and superficial - and has continued to be perpetuated. That is my view. Feel free to differ. I agree 100% with the need to upgrade around him and if they want Allen to take that next step they better do it this off-season. My response was to your reference to Allen as “Wonder boy.“ It sounded a bit condescending. If that wasn’t your intent my apologies. I agree with the rest of what you say
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I have been here for all of them. Of course they are all scrutinized. However, I stand by my assessment.
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Just can’t help yourself, can you?
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I am not in the “everybody hates Buffalo“ camp. I think that much of the negative perspective from the national sports media revolves around the fact that, generally speaking, Buffalo sports teams haven’t been very good for a long time. It is a result of losing. Winning has a way of changing perspectives. I was specifically referring to the prevailing thoughts on Josh Allen. For whatever reason, he evoked strong feelings in people during the draft process. I believe a national narrative developed around the issue of his “accuracy” and people took hardline stances on whether or not he would ever be able to develop into a decent starting NFL quarterback, much less a franchise QB. I feel that narrative was based on superficial analyses and has been perpetuated by people too lazy to actually break down his play and by people who just don’t want to be wrong. Heaven knows he has his flaws and has much to improve on; however, I have been following this team and the NFL for over 50 years and I don’t ever recall a QB whose every single play is so scrutinized - and usually through a lens of negativity. Bad plays are used as support for the view he will never be a franchise QB, while good plays are presented as nothing more than “tantalizing glimpses“ of the potential that he will never be able to reach.
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I think, when all is said and done, Jackson's season will be seen as an anomaly. When was the last time that a QB on a team with the fewest pass attempts in the NFL finished 1st in passing TDs? I haven't done the research yet; however, my guess: rarely, if ever.
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That's not really all there is to it. You can talk about the Titans being run centric; however, there isn't a more run centric team in the NFL than the Ravens. There are very legitimate questions regarding Jackson if that team has to rely on his arm to win games.
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It is a lazy comparison. Doesn't surprise me at all. If there is a chance to compare Allen's play to any QB or situation with a positive outlook versus a negative outlook, you can count on the negative comparison about 90 percent of the time.
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It will be interesting to watch. Baltimore led the NFL, by far, in average lead at the start of their drives at almost 7 points. Baltimore was so rarely behind by an real margin that they never had to deviate from their reliance of everything revolving around the run game and rely soley on Jackson's arm. I suspect if they have to rely on the passing game to win, Jackson will, more often than not, look like he did last. However, it remains to be seen.
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Jackson became the darling of the NFL in that first game against the Dolphins. His passing game was never scrutinized
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I'm not a Jackson hater. He is an exceptional athlete and a good QB. With that said, those ducks were not uncharacteristic. He threw some beautiful passes this year; however, he threw more than his share of those kind as well. His passing game just never received the scrutiny this year because of his TD production. A lot of his completions were to receivers that were open because of what they schemed with his legs and the team running game. It is a staple of a Greg Roman offense. More importantly, however, Jackson made the most of those chances with a TD% of 9 and threw for 36 TDs. So, when he was completing 14 of 23 passes for 105 yards, or 9 of 20 for 143 yards, or 16 of 25 for 145 yards, nobody said a word because he was still producing TDs with his arm and yards and TDs with his legs. I've talked about his 9% TD percentage before. That is a phenominal TD%. Since 1970, there have been only 2 QBs, who played at least 14 games in the season, to finish with a TD% of 9+. His TD% last year was 3.4%. If he had the same TD% this year as he did last year, he would have thrown 22 less TDs. Alex Smith, Colin Kaepernick, and Tyrod Taylor all had their best year (TD%) under Roman. The problem is that none of them could duplicate it. A really good year is a TD% of 6 - 7. No modern day QB has a career TD% over 6 (Russell Wilson is the leader there). If Jackson had a TD% of 7 this year, his passing TDs would have dropped from 36 to 28 - and a TD% of 6 this year, his passing TDs would have dropped from 36 to 24. The problem for Jackson moving forward is what helped him this year: He is in a Greg Roman offense. Defenses will figure out how to force his mobile QB to win with his arm. However, Roman's strength is not the passing game when he has to rely on it (the same can be said of Jackson). His passing games are effective when the running game dominates. His teams are always at the bottom of the league in pass attempts. In 7 years as an OC, his teams were 31st or 32nd in pass attempts in 6 of those years (29th in the other). To maintain the kind of TD production Jackson had this year, he would have to duplicate a TD% range that only a couple of QBs ever attained, and that no one ever duplicated. He might be the exception; however, my guess is that next year, his TD% will be between 5 - 6. That would be a good year. However, with a TD% in that range, in Roman's offense, rather than 36 passing TDs, he is throwing for 20-25 TDs.
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Jackson was the soup du jour this year that has now spoiled...
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You have real deficiencies in your ability to analyze football. Seriously, you should stop trying.