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Everything posted by billsfan1959
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The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Everyone around you must thank God every day that idiocy isn't a communicable disease -
Haha! I was at Offutt AFB, Strategic Air Command, and Hurlburt Field (Auxillary Field of Eglin AFB), 1st Special Operations wing. Spent some time TDY at Patrick in 79 and 80 (and later) conducting training for DIA Attaches in dealing with hostile intelligence agencies. Wish I knew you were there, I would have bought you a beer
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I know people that have been trying for two weeks to file unemployment insurance claims here in NC. Cannot process a claim online and cannot talk to a live person.
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After state governments across the country directed their citizens to shut down their businesses and just kinda hope things worked out, a new order has been issued: everyone is to jump off a bridge immediately. Medical experts believe it's the best, most effective way to stop the virus. Assuming everyone follows through and obeys the order, coronavirus will be wiped out, according to officials. There are no bad side effects, as far as anyone can tell. A few people pointed out that it could kill everyone, but these people are anti-science and obviously hate their neighbors.
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The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
My guess is probably more. What a shocker.... -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Thanks for the honest input. Obviously, I feel more of a sense of optimism than you, and that your blame of Trump is unreasonable. However, that is your is your opinion. I agree that time will tell. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Just as a little diversion, thought I'd share my progress on the small greenhouse I've been building for my wife - almost all from salvaged windows and doors. Still a ways to go, but at least I can be outside while isolated. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Actually, shouldn't reparations be for the elderly, as they seem to be disproportionately targeted by the virus? Or maybe men, since they are targeted more than women? Or maybe Spanish and the Italians, as they seem to be targeted more than others? How about those that live in urban versus rural areas? Oh hell, let's just have reparations for everyone.... -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Been posted before, but still good... Basic Economic Understanding Bureau officials burst into the congresswoman's office and confiscated her economics degree early Tuesday morning "for the safety of the nation." They found it hanging on the wall next to a hammer & sickle flag. They tore it down and returned it to Boston University for safekeeping. "We received distress calls from millions of concerned Americans," one BEUB official said. "We pulled up Representative Ocasio-Cortez's Twitter account, and sure enough, she compared the price of a croissant with the price of an hour of human labor. She seemed to have no understanding of the underlying facts." -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
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The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
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The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Because Trump... -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Back at you. In regard to being overwhelmed, I agree that it is one of the critical factors in the death rate. However, from what I have gathered from a variety of sources, I don't see, even in NYC, anywhere near the level that we have seen in Spain and Italy. I also think the lag behind of the rest of the country provides the time needed to ensure other areas never get overwhelmed to that point either. Hope for the best and thanks for the reply. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I have no idea if deaths attributed to the virus are inflated; however, it is an intersting topic. According to the data, approximately 85% of all virus related deaths occur in people with at least one pre-existing chronic condition - and many with more than one. Just off hand, I would think the virus would likely be the catalyst, or at least a contributing factor. I imagine It is something that will be evaluated at some point. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
My advice has always been to take the precautions you are told to take. If you can find a post that says otherwise please let me know. It seems you and others, who have been so vociferous in criticizing Trump about not listening to the scientific information from doctors, scientists, and researchers, don't actually practice what you preach. This is not time to look at, analyze, and debate the data! This is a time to react purely from an emotional perspective! I don't want you or your loved ones to die from this virus. Of course, I don't want you or any of your loved ones to be among the 2.8 million people who will die in this country this year from a variety of causes - many of which could actually be preventable as well. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Whenever a debate takes place, each side believes his/her point is more valid, Bob. That has been the nature of debates since, oh, I don't know, probably the beginning of time? And of course you do not wish to discuss anything. Entertaining other perspectives isn't your strong suit. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
So, let me get this straight, you are upset that the press wasn't provided the details from classified meetings? Also, you have no idea of what information was provided to Trump and Congress in these briefings, yet you choose to Blame Trump. And I am getting so tired of this mantra of Trump doing nothing in January and Februray. I asked @Gary Busey the following questions at least five times and he has yet to answer. I asked @Capcothe same questions and he refused to answer. Since you are making the same claims as they were, please take the time and answer the following questions for all of us. 1. At which point in January and February (your timeframe) should the administration and other leaders around the world have reasonably known the magnitude of what was coming worlwide? 2. What specific information are you basing your answer on? Timeline On December 31, China alerted the WHO to several cases of unusual pneumonia in Wuhan . On January 7, the WHO reported that China had identified a new virus, named 2019-nCoV, and that it was identified as belonging to the coronavirus family, which includes SARS and the common cold. On Jan 11, China announced its first death from the virus released the genetic sequence. However, it was also accompanied with the information that they had only experienced 41 cases and that there was no obvious evidence of human-to-human spread yet. By Jan 17, China had reported only 2 deaths and only two cases had been identified outside of China On Jan 20, First US case is reported On January 23, The WHO reported that the outbreak did not yet constitute a public emergency of international concern and there was "no evidence" of the virus spreading between humans outside of China. On Jan 20, Trump forms coronavirus task force On January 30, the WHO declared the virus a global emergency and reported the death toll in China at 170, with 7,711 cases. On Jan 31, President Trump bans foreign nationals from entering the US if they were in China within the prior two weeks. By Feb 3, new cases had been confirmed in at least 7 countries, including the US; however, there had been only 1 death reported outside of China. That was in the Phillipines and it was a man from Wuhan. By Feb 6, only 30 people in Europe had been identified with the virus and all had ties to China. This is also the date of the first identified human to human transmission of the virus in Malasia. On Feb 12, cases start to spike in South Korea Through the end of Feb, there had been 88,000 confirmed cases - but only 8000 confirmed cases outside of China. There were 2977 deaths - but only 142 outside of China Between Mar 1 - Mar 10 approx 35,000 new cases identified outside of China, and 1,319 deaths world-wide outside of China On Mar 11, the WHO officiallly declares a pandemic On Mar 11, President Trump bans all travel from 26 European countries for non-US citizens and non-green card holders By Mar 11, There were 32,000 confirmed cases and 1,400 deaths, world-wide, outside of China and South Korea - with both China and Korea reporting stabilazation of the virus. On Mar 13, Trump declares a US national emergency with 2,183 confirmed cases and 48 deaths -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
1. No, Bob, I have criticized people for fear mongering and dire predictions while offering no substantive data to back it up, and no willingness to engage in an intellectual discussion about it. I have clearly stated what I think will happen and why. I have provided data and analyses. 2. I clearly stated in the post you quoted, that I will be more than willing to admit I was wrong if the numbers turn out to be worse. 3. I have never minimized it. I have been very clear, consistent, and, IMO, rational in what I have stated. And, no, I don't think calming people in a time of crisis makes things worse. My experience is that panic, blame, and fearmongering are what makes crises worse than they should be. So, would you like to give your opinion as to what you think will happen and provide your supporting data? -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Agree. BTW, the figures I quoted came from the CDC site: Over 215,000 dead from influenza, pneumonia, and chronic lower respiratory diseases in 2017, and Over 180,000 dead in 2018. No figures for 2019 https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/deaths.htm -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
They have done things the federal government hasn't done before. That's not delusional. It's just a fact. And speaking of delusional, you seemed to have turned it into an olympic sport in your posts. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I have several thoughts on this, based on what I have read. My guess is that we will end up with somewhere around 35,000 - 50,000 dead from this wave. I also think far more people have already contracted this virus than we think. Virtually every legitimate source is saying approximatey 25% are asymptomatic and another 25% have minor symptoms that wouldn't even prompt them to seek medical attention. So, I think far more people will have been exposed to it than you think. In the end, I think you will see a death rate of total cases that is higher than the flu, but still below 1%. Also, I don't think it won't be too long before we have the capability of each person being able to be tested, as well as the development of therapeutic drugs/vaccines. So, hopefully we don't get hit with a bad second wave in the future. I could be wrong and, if so, I will be more than willing to admit it. Edit: Thanks for rationally saying what you think will happen and why -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
My point exactly. If you don't know what information anyone in the government received in these classified briefings, regarding the virus, then maybe you should just STFU about it until you do. BTW, if you don't think the House Intelligence Committee received substantially the same information, then you are going to believe just what you want to believe regardless. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
You tell us -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I haven't researched that yet either. I think it will be interesting to look at the statistics when this is all over and how they compare to "normal" stats. For instance, approximately 175,000 - 200,000 people die each year in this country from influenza, Pneumonia, and chronic lower respiratory diseases (and you can only imagine what those figures are worldwide). I wonder what those figures will look like when we look back at this year. -
The Next Pandemic: SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19
billsfan1959 replied to Hedge's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
How many is that going to be? How many people do think are going to die in this country from the virus? I have asked this question of others who keep talking about all the people that are going to die. Please, go on record with what you think is going to happen here and provide your supporting data.