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NeverOutNick

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Everything posted by NeverOutNick

  1. Edwards and Alec Anderson must've shown enough for Beane and company to feel confident on the youth movement. Love Morse but I understand completely.
  2. I want the bills go hard at WR in the draft BUT the one guy I'd be ecstatic to get is Sutton. That dude is about to explode into a bonafide stud WR. He's basically there but had Wilson as his QB. Sign me up if it only costs a 3rd rounder or so
  3. That is the ONLY thing that worries me about him. He’s a special talent but you can’t teach that Odunze drive. I honestly think 10 years from now we’ll be talking about Odunze over even Harrison because of that dawg trait…so many great WR options in this class. Hopeful Beane makes the right choice early and often this year
  4. I love everything about Mitchell from athleticism to route running. The only question I have is why does he not show up in games as much as Worthy. Does he take plays off or is the QB just missing him? If he loves football and has that Odunze competitiveness I don’t see how he’s not a first round pick and a likely target of ours
  5. Exactly my first thoughts. Good move
  6. If a DE could create separation and catch the ball in big playoff moments then I’m all for it
  7. Maybe Zay Flowers too 😉
  8. Absolutely love your takes. You definitely watch the wolverines. And I agree all 3 would be welcomed additions to the bills depending on the round we take them
  9. I don’t think that’s true. He switched over from wide receiver to cornerback and you can stick him outside or inside and he’s going to make plays. He’s just a really smart really good football player and I would love him on the bills as well. Even though it’s not a need.
  10. I think a lot of teams know how good of a football player this dude is. He may not be a first rounder, but I bet he goes on day two.
  11. I like the strategy and agree WR is a must multiple times in this loaded class. I don’t think we need to go crazy with DBs as we can get a couple cheap options if need be in FA. I’d save a couple draft picks for O line (tackle, center options) as those are pricier players after the rookie contracts and Brown is one back injury from sucking again and Dawkins is getting older and chunkier…Morse is old too. All these guys can play but good to not handcuff yourself later on by not having quality guys waiting when contract talks get pricey
  12. All it takes is one team to fall in love with his “potential”. I just think his issues with inconsistency and inaccuracy are not worthy of the first round risk. I hope NE loves him at 3 though lol
  13. I may be in the minority but I like Gardner-Johnson. He would be cheap because of his injury history but would be a good FS/nickel for us if we got a good deal. His biggest weakness is tackling but McD and company are good at getting our DBs to be more physical and he’s still relatively young.
  14. What Nix did going from Auburn to Oregon and putting in the work to get better is what JJ needed to do. I believe it was foolish for him to come out this draft. He needed at least another year
  15. I’m not impressed with the late QBs thus far but I’ll definitely dig more into it. I almost think this offseason we should just sign Trubisky as the cheap backup. He sucked everywhere else but behind Josh he was great I will say, without doing a deep dive on him yet I like the quarterback from FSU, Travis as a late round flyer, but I’ve only really watched him in passing
  16. Baker at his best is a top 10 QB in this league. He can make every throw with great anticipation while leading his receivers to be able to RAC. Purdy has the absolute perfect situation around him, is very intelligent but doesn’t have the same physical gifts that baker does. I think Mac has a higher ceiling than Purdy but he’ll never get the situation Purdy is in and Mac also doesn’t seem to have the mental makeup to be a franchise guy
  17. It sucks because unless he resurrects his career going to a team that has a great offensive structure we’ll never know. I think Mac still has the skill set to be a very good NFL starter somewhere between Baker and Purdy level if given the right opportunity. But mentally he isn’t on those dudes level so you’re probably more right than wrong
  18. That’s a fair comparison. Maybe without being a head case lol. I think he’s a better athlete and decision maker than Mac. But imagine if Mac Jones went to a team that wasn’t totally lacking an offensive direction.
  19. You’re not wrong. He’s got all the physical tools you want in an NFL prospect but he’s too inconsistent and inaccurate to be seriously considered as a day 1 starter. Some team may reach on his potential but he wasn’t able to do it under Harbaugh so I have a hard time believing the light will suddenly click on when he gets to the NFL
  20. I hope if he ends up with NE that both of you are right on Nix. Since his Auburn days when he was immature and chaotic, he has grown into a real NFL QB. I’m very impressed with him and am totally comfortable standing on an island with my take. He’s going to succeed
  21. I absolutely love this QB and WR class! It's such a unique and deep year at both positions for potential franchise changers. Not to toot my own horn but I've been more right than wrong on QBs and WRs since doing my scouting. The only 2 QBs I loved in 2018 were Baker and Allen (sorry Lamar I was happily wrong). Baker had some of the best ball placement I've ever seen from a college QB. He led his WRs the same way Stroud did and unlike Stroud in College he did well going through his progressions so even though he was cocky his floor was always high. Allen was a unicorn with his Big Ben frame and howitzer for an arm, he had 0 reliable weapons at Wyoming but you could see the potential oozing and thank God it worked out better than we could have imagined. I loved Russell Wilson coming out and thought wow the Bills brought him in for a visit so we may finally have our guy, but then we didn't take him after 3 rounds and although he is what he is now, he's had a great career. Now on to this year... There are 2 glaring things I want to point out about this year's QB class. First off, there are 5 first round QB prospects that all have potential to be franchise QBs in this league. Secondly, there is NO ONE in this class that is a sure-fire homerun/can't miss prospect like Joe Burrow was a couple years ago. Not one of these guys has Burrow's accuracy and precision with leading WRs or even his ability process information so quickly to make the right decision. Maybe one day they will get there and it's still the best class I've seen in a while, but expectation need to be tempered because I couldn't see one of these guys going to the 2020 Bengals and making them an instant playoff team like Burrow did. Most of the QBs will need the right situation to fully develop into the franchise QB they can be. I did not go into detail with QBs like JJ McCarthy, who I don't believe is a first round QB (I've watched Michigan too much the past couple years and he's way too inconsistent for me to risk taking early) or any of the other lower ranked guys because I don't see enough promise in any of them to be franchise guys in the NFL. Without further ado here's the rankings and explanations of my 5 first round graded QBs: 1. Drake Maye – When I watch Maye this year it reminds me of Herberts final year at Oregon. Both of them had incredible penultimate campaigns that if they could’ve/would’ve come out you’d have a hard time not making them the #1 overall pick BUT their final college years opened a lot of questions about decision making. Maye threw a lot of balls this year that killed drives and made me think what the heck are you doing dude but when he was dialed in there was no one better in this class. Maye has everything you need and want in an NFL franchise QB. He’s huge with no limitations on his arm manipulating defenses with arm angles and strength even with bad footing. He can use his legs in key moments and is willing to carry his team on his back. His physical tools are unmatched and his ability to go through progressions are good for a college QB but his timeliness and anticipation on throws are make him stand out to me. He’s got traits of the elite guys playing today to where he can make something out of nothing and if he gets someone like Brian Daboll to refine his inconsistencies, Maye's ceiling is a top 5 QB in the NFL. He has that ability to process new information and get better and you see it in the middle of a game when he recognizes a defensive alignment he's seen earlier and makes the right adjustment. He seems like a smart dude, and it would suck if he went to a team with no offensive direction to be in the same undeveloping purgatory that Herbert had been in the last few years. One thing that can't be measured from our couches is scouting is a player's work ethic. You can see his heart and confidence on the field and after the game but work ethic is a huge part of a QBs success and an element we won't be able to know because we're not paid scouts talking to his coaches and teammates. I hope all of these guys have a great work ethic because it could be a special QB class. For a guy sitting on his couch evaluating college QBs the last 25 years, I believe Maye is worth the risk as the #1 QB in this class. I think the elements that he is lacking are very coachable unlike some of the other prospects below. 2. Caleb Williams – He throws with very polished touch, which is hard to teach, and you know the WRs appreciate it. Great athlete who runs so smooth. He is fun to watch, and whichever team gets him will have huge ticket sale increases because he’s an instant star. He’s got Allen and Mahomes type ability to avoid the sack and throws well on the run keeping his eyes downfield. But that leads me to my biggest negative with Caleb. Matt Miller said it best, “He leans into the spectacular, he won’t take the layups”. He plays hero-ball all the time even when there is a clean pocket, and he doesn’t need to do that. In college this worked a lot but, in the NFL, if he doesn’t learn to take what he’s given early and often he will have a short career. It may be unfair, but I wonder if he relies on his unmatched athleticism to make up for his deficiencies at reading coverages both pre snap and early on during the play. He will instantly make any team better the second they draft him, but my unpopular take is he may not live up to the enormous hype that has been put on him. If Caleb wants to transform into a franchise QB that could potentially be a top 5 QB in this league, he needs to go to the right team with the right offensive minds in place to help him play with more anticipation. He really needs to learn the intricacies of being an NFL QB because right now it's a lot of video game highlights and not a lot of smart decision-making that gets a team deep in the playoffs. He has the Mahomes and Allen ceiling, and thankfully for them they had Reid and Daboll to get them to where they are today. If he doesn't land in the right situation Caleb has the low floor of a Jonny Manziel (I don’t believe he’ll ever be this bad) who just doesn’t get it at the NFL level. 3. Bo Nix – I love Bo Nix. He’s my dude and to be totally honest if I were a GM and was a QB away from being a contender, I'd take Nix over Caleb. I almost ranked Nix over Caleb because I know and love what I'm getting with Nix, but Caleb has that unicorn potential so I'm hoping I have the right people in place to get the most out of him. Bo is a seasoned veteran coming in as a rookie. He’s so consistent and smart with the football. Unlike Penix, if Bo’s first couple progressions aren’t there, and the pocket breaks down he has the mobility to make something happen and has really good accuracy on the run. Bo is a very good athlete and man can he run. He’s not silky smooth running like Caleb or have the video game moves of Jayden but I still bet he runs under a 4.6 at the combine. He doesn't have the same arm strength as Maye, Penix or Williams but he can make every NFL throw that is needed. His progressions and rollouts remind me of Burrow. He’s not Joe Burrow but he’s the closest thing in this draft to him. Burrow was so refined and no moment was too big for him and his accuracy was unmatched. With Nix it's not as sexy to watch but he has that same "it" factor and his play in big moments is Joe Burrow lite, for lack of a better description. Nix is a winner, he's gritty and whatever fan base gets him, they will instantly love him. I believe my top 3 QBs are the guys worth taking in the top 5. The next 2 are first round talents but have limitations that these 3 don't. 4. Michael Penix Jr – This dude is Tua with a better arm. Guy has a great arm and throws the prettiest ball in this draft. Penix has a great attitude, personality and never give up persona that teammates and fans are going to gravitate to. Love a lot about Penix and the only reasons he’s not ranked higher is because he is the least mobile of the top guys and NEEDS a clean pocket to succeed. He's the closest thing in this draft to Mayfield and Stroud's ability to lead receivers open with his throws, but he's not that good. I love his composure in the pocket. He will stay in the pocket until the last second to make the right throw and he makes it more often than not. He trusts his WRs to make plays. If he has an all-pro offensive line, the dude is going to thrive and could be the best QB in this class. If his first couple reads are open, he’s unbelievable but has trouble when he has to progress further than that and isn’t great going off script or extending plays, probably because of his limited mobility. I can see him being a very successful top QB in this league if he goes to the right team like Minnesota with the offensive coach, great weapons and a really good O line. I’m not as concerned about his age or injury history because of what kind of QB he is, and his style of play should last for 10+ years. He doesn’t have a low floor or a high ceiling but we’ve seen less mobile guys have incredible careers a la Peyton Manning. 5. Jayden Daniels – Great college QB and will probably go down as one of the 10 best college QBs of all time. Uses his legs better than any QB in this class. If he goes to a team that knows how to use his strengths, he is going to be a nightmare to scheme against. He is not in the same class of an athlete as Lamar was coming out (no one is) but I’d say he’s a better athlete than Kyler Murray and a better thrower than Lamar was coming out. He can throw the deep ball well, but he’s not great at going through his progressions. He doesn’t have good accuracy with short and intermediate throws. I believe he would take the most time to develop out of the 5 QBs listed but you can still win with him now. If you're drafting Daniels, you'd have to know that when he’s your franchise QB you’re building around what he can do best which is throw the deep ball and make plays with his legs because everything else is not NFL level at this point. I would not draft Jayden in the top 10 but if my head coach wanted him and convinced me we had great offensive minds that could develop Jayden than I could see a path similar to Lamar Jackson, in which he will be successful. I'll finish my deep dive into the WR class later this month...
  22. Sounds like even in your hypothetical we know where the problem lies. It’s painful to watch other teams totally deflate in big moments to a chiefs team that honestly isn’t Super Bowl level. 9ers were the better team last night but Shanahan and Purdy went away from what was working and let the chiefs be the chiefs. They clawed back into it because they were allowed to do so. I wholeheartedly know that McD is not the guy Josh needs to reach his promising potential as an all time great but it’s more about how lucky Mahomes is that he gets to have such great leadership in the chiefs organization from Owner, GM and of course Reid and Spagnola’s never wavering leadership and game management in these playoffs. McD is awful in the areas that matter most and will always find way to help his lackluster defense instead of putting his pride aside and giving the only reason we make the playoffs every year, Josh Allen, everything he needs to take us to the promised land. I hope one day we’ll get there but it sucks to go from the last couple years of knowing Josh Allen WILL make our Bills a consistent Super Bowl dynasty to now realizing Pegula is perfectly content with McD and even Beane selfishly handcuffing this organization to a different more enjoyable level of the drought years. Diggs realized this last year and I believe Josh knows it too but will never say it. I hope he can hold on another year and stay the rock we need until a change is finally done. He deserves better
  23. Hope I feel different in the morning. Probably just sad to see the Chiefs win again because of great coaching. It sucks to be this much of a realist now. I liked being the Bills fan who was riding high on Josh Allen mountain knowing we would win a Super Bowl “next year” BUT I now FINALLY realize I get to feel the same agony that Diggs knew last year and I’m sure Allen knows now deep down inside. No matter how magnificent that Josh mountain looked it keeps sinking under a massive McD ocean that will never dry up. I know how magnificent that mountain is but the waters keep growing all around it…it just keeps pouring down on that mountain sinking deeper and deeper in that endless boring ocean. If only there were a drought to dry it up and let the beautiful mountain sore sky high again…maybe one day soon my fiends. But until then I can live a dreamless season knowing the ocean will still be there in the morning hiding the promise of that astounding mountain
  24. What? I didn’t get that at all. Maybe Diggs will be gone, complete turnover of coaching staff and FO and every other player will bail at some point and if so good riddance BUT Josh will be a Bill for life. Even if he wanted to leave there is no way Buffalo would ever let him. Letting him leave would be the most foolish decision a team has ever made in the history of the NFL. Franchise tag after franchise tag if need be lol.
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