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Posts posted by NoSaint
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Just now, NyQuil said:
People are acting like the Bears wouldn't have wanted a kings ransom to fall to 28.
no people are acting like it was worth it to jump that far. -
1 minute ago, BigDingus said:
Glad the Bills won't be forcing their way up now. Maybe they trade up a couple picks, but no crazy splash to the top 10.
Bears are going to be scary though. 2024 version of the Texans.
the bears are going to be scary because they got him but glad we didn’t go get him… ugh. -
Nfc racking up pass catchers
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Just now, Bruffalo said:
Penix is the kind of pick that either makes you a genius GM or fired.
At least it's fun.
Nah. Paired with kirko, you’ve misallocated either a top pick or $100m
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1 minute ago, SirAndrew said:
Cousins gets benched this year, I’d bet on it.
100m guaranteed. And tampering picks. Good plan. -
1 minute ago, Kirby Jackson said:
I like Penix over McCarthy 🤷🏻♂️
what about over kirko
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4 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said:
Alt can absolutely play. It just felt like the perfect time to give your franchise QB a weapon.
man we still have Samuel-Shakir…and almost as long as them til our next pick… let’s tread lightly- 1
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1 minute ago, Ralonzo said:
An elite early-pick WR can unlock a QB's potential, like EJ Manual.
Right?
I’m not sure the cfl will unlock mccarthys but who knows- 1
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2 minutes ago, Low Positive said:
If they are as good as you think they all are, why would any team trade down instead of drafting them?
because they have different needs or timelines or ratings? -
3 minutes ago, stevestojan said:
Giants now just need a QB to throw to him.
unfortunately, none of the ones left were real. May as well take a star pass catcher if there’s not a qb -
1 minute ago, Bookie Man said:
Chargers rolling with Quentin Johnston and Josh Palmer lol?
and a high 2nd -
For a 15 year old memory I’ll take it being more like .8 than 1.5 for the non participating team and pretty darn close on the participating ones.
I have zero recollection on the other percentages though. By the time you get through the million different allotments I think adds up fast.
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29 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said:
Super Bowl tickets have always been a lottery system. It was always based on seniority. My guess is it is a combination of seniority and spend but don’t know the exact formula. It’ll be weighted somehow but not sure exactly how.
I don’t know if it’s common knowledge but each team gets a substantial allotment of Super Bowl tickets whether they are in the game or not. I don’t remember the specifics but pretty sure that it’s at least 1,000. I reached out to a friend to confirm that number and will update once he responds. If you do the math though & 30 teams not participating account for 30k tickets, the league & it’s sponsors must be another 5k-10k. That leaves roughly 20k per participating team. By the time you address the internal needs / sponsors they probably have 15k seats available for a lottery of season ticket holders.
Yea, don’t quote me on numbers but I recall from the saints Super Bowl that each team gets like 1.5% of the inventory and the teams in the game get like 5% additional (those numbers are almost certainly off but at least vaguely in the ballpark)Then the league gets a chunk, sponsors, media, the host city team received a bump up in their allotment, etc….
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1 hour ago, Reed83HOF said:
luckily, our need is fully squared with first round value -
2 minutes ago, stuvian said:
you're asking me to explain how defense helps teams win with an exact number of points? A Vegas bookie couldn't do that
I think he’s implying the pass rusher at 28 probably takes essentially zero points off the opposing totals while the wr may add 50 or so to ours if we get the right guy- 1
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4 minutes ago, Logic said:
Yeah.
The other problem is that the Bills likely aren't the only team that doesn't have 28 first round grades on players this year, so why would trading all the way back to 28 be particularly attractive to anyone?
because every teams needs are differentwhile we have one huge hole and are contenders, another team could really value multiple picks and pushing some of that value back a year to better meet their window (maybe a more developmental project plus picks next year instead of an instant impact)
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11 hours ago, Kirby Jackson said:
This is a tough question for me. I’d love to answer “both.” Legette has the higher ceiling IMO. McConkey certainly has the higher floor. I think McConkey will be better in 2024 because he’s more refined at this point.
The answer is that you actually need BOTH of those skill sets still on this team. If forced to choose, I’ll say Legette because what he has is harder to teach. I can find a guy a little later, albeit smaller, but that also separates in Jacob Cowing. I think that it’s easier to find good footwork than it is to find that size/speed combination.
it’s also cheaper/easier to find a lunch pail guy than an elite traits guy in free agencyAlso- I swear I meant that as a hard working technician of the game and not as a white guy
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I’ll be totally honest - I’ve spent very little time with a lot of these qbs…. But I don’t think this will be a memorable class 10 years from now.
I wouldn’t be shocked if the top guy of the class lands somewhere in that cousins/dak/herbert range (viable starter, but not top 5 tier player) and I think the rest will be huge disappointments.
I think there are quite a few that lose coaches and GMs jobs and it’ll be interesting to see if some of them slide more than expected or if the feeding frenzy happens
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2 hours ago, Warriorspikes51 said:
Maybe the guy becomes great…
but IMO it would be a horrific use of a premium draft pick.
I would much rather try to sign Justin Simmons this summer or draft a Safety in Round 4 or 5 that can compete
or if you project him as a corner…we are OK there for this season.
Do I think he’d be good in this defense? Sure. Does the pick move the needle at all for our record? Not really.
as you say, we could look at a guy like Thomas or Mitchell plus Simmons… or for same investment dejean plus Tyler Boyd?
seems easy to me.
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8 hours ago, Brandon said:
No, I'm not joking at all. I don't think most NFL teams are going to be guilty of it, but outside of that, a lot of people are going to take one look at a white guy playing CB in college and immediately assume that he should move to safety in the NFL. Maybe if he'd posted some pedestrian numbers at his pro day. Instead, it was borderline freakish, especially for a guy one month clear off a broken leg.
I absolutely think some coaches will be subject to following the subconscious stereotype.
no catastrophic harm but you watch the film and the comps that jump to mind inevitably will share some physical characteristics. Our brains naturally create buckets for patterns. No white guys play corner isn’t an absurd one to instinctually have lingering back there somewhere
fair to him? Probably not. In the scope of we are all human for better or worse? For sure.
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3 hours ago, MDH said:
The Athletic did a similar exercise a week or so ago. They didn’t share the metrics they used but the Bills came in as the 4th best team in the league based on roster construction. I think that’s a tad high and it’s somewhere in between 4 and 10.
I tend to agreeand think they could substantially fill major holes immediately instead of minor upgrades or long term projects.
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4 hours ago, Chaos said:
Whatever you think about PFF, they do try to quantify things that are tough to quantify. And whatever you think of power rankings, during the off-season, that is as good a way as any to see how the Bills are perceived https://www.pff.com/news/nfl-power-rankings-nfl-teams-before-2024-nfl-draft.
At the present, PFF sees the Bills ranked 10th.
I am not sure what people expect from any NFL draft. Every team picks players. Every team is trying to improve. A couple of teams drafting top QBs, may be looking to completely transform, their fortunes. But if your team is drafting 28th, its reasonable to expect that around 27 teams are better positioned to improve than your team is.
Is there any reason to expect the Bills to outperform other teams with similar or more draft capital? If so why?
Separately, do you think most pundits/fans see the Bills has a top 10 before the draft, and will any the draft move anyone's opinion one way or the other?
if you don’t think they are top ten, you don’t understand how qb driven the league is.
as to whether they improve more than average- I think having a massive hole at the best position in the draft allows for a very large delta.
Moving wr1 from worst to middle of the pack is a huge change; while another team going from a dine enough to a good safety probably won’t see the same change on the field
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12 minutes ago, Chicken Boo said:
It is certainly his fault for not milking the play clock and checking out of some of those terrible play calls.
or, you know, making a play- 2
Live 2024 NFL Draft thread - Round 1 (Do NOT tip the Bills pick)
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
it’s nonsense. Trade kirko back to the Vikings for slightly more than the tapering penalty?!?
Jokes aside- all time weird pick