Is the OP's theory that the evidence in the Pats first two games shows that deflated footballs make it harder for lost fumbles to be recovered? Or that the deflated footballs are fumbled more? Both? Or is he not trying to make any argument, just stating facts? From later posts, it is sounding like the OP is theorizing both, but I didn't ask for your input on the OP's intentions.
While the sample size is way too small to make any conclusions on any theory, it is still interesting to consider the theories out there, lmo.