starrymessenger

Do teams really put in a lot of work just to set up smoke screens? Maybe they do. In a class like this year's maybe the smokescreen is to create confusion concerning which QB the Bills are really interested in so teams wont trade up ahead of them. Still I can't get rid of this feeling that if MT is there at 10 he is on his way to Buffalo. The team can now cut bait with Tyrod next year.

Of course.

Except more often than not when you pick a QB early you are drafting for need, and it happens every year and will happen again this year. How often is that QB really the BPA? Or are QBs really entirely in a class by themselves when it comes to drafting. In general terms of course drafting an inferior talent because of need is almost always a losing strategy.

Well that may be what he would (or would not) do, but I would not be surprised if three QBs come off the board in the first round and maybe 4 by the high second. If I'm right about the interest its not unlikely that one goes top 10 either.

Bills will be drafting a receiver (or two). Just not sure who or when. Both Williams and Davis will be good, and possibly very good at the next level. Neither would be a bad pick. My fav is Davis. I think his skill set is more diversified, will give you better YAC and is close to Williams as a red zone threat. Having said that it may well be that the Bills will address the need later in the draft. They have so many holes to fill and there will be premium prospects at positions of need. If the Bama backer is there I can see coach drooling over him. If Allen falls he is the likely pick for sure. OJ Howard is a decent risk/reward guy and there a a couple of great safeties going top 15 if not before. Just no D. Watson please.

Absolutely agree on Watson. I love his competitive spirit and he is a great college QB. I just dont see any reliable and consistent indication of the passer instincts and accuracy needed indispensibly for success at the next level. He may wind up a marginal uptick to Tyrod, and maybe not. Chad Kelly is a more promising passer for development and he might even go undrafted. My fear is that Whaley may jump if Watson is there at 10 and repeat his EJ fiasco. Why? Because Doug just doesnt know QBs. Hopefully if he starts running to the podium somebody will tackle him before he gets there. The only QB in this draft whose ceiling is franchise guy is MT In my (inexpert and humble) opinion. Small sample size and lots of risk, but he would not have to start right away. If you are going to roll the dice on a QB, he should be the guy. Of course all things considered maybe you shouldnt be looking at QB at all at 10. And MT could be off the board anyway.

Agree. He is LK with perhaps less instincts/anticipation. He is awesome but I wonder whether and for how long he can play and remain healthy at the next level given his hyper aggressive style. Has had problems with stingers. If health is not an issue he would be a deserving pick at 10 fo sho.

True but our new scheme has corners getting a lot of help from safeties over the top and there may be a good one there at 10.

Agree. Not a likeable guy but in terms of potential for playing the position he was always light years ahead of EJ. He's got a long way to go tho and a lot to prove.

Reuban Foster come on down. McD's corners get help underneath from athletic LBs who have, among other things, cover ability (where RR is perhaps limited).

JMO (and most likely unqualified at that) but I believe if he is there at 10 the Bills will take him as the QB who best projects success at the next level (though not year 1, but we have a bridge starter). To me what he projects are exactly those abilities that are hardest to find and to teach. Almost every college QB prospect carries risk when projected to the bigs, but you need to take the leap of faith. I think he is off the board when our number is up, so it makes sense to talk WRs, S and even TEs.

Jay Ajayi.

Yeah Yeah

Agree. Never understood the criticism of Clay. Quite possibly the best hybrid TE in the game. He is a huge contributor in the run game. I have no problem with him as a pass catcher. He is good underneath and can stretch the field reasonably well. How many times have I seen him tear through the seam all to no avail. How many times has he been under or over thrown. Lots. Its not on him.

Well I'm a Bills fan and I don't think that. To me he is a WR 3 or, ideally, a WR4 who is a good STs player. He is an upgrade to JH and a good signing. The #2 WR is likely about to be drafted IMO, either in the 1st or 2nd round.

Agree. Also its normal and prudent to basket with your forearms a bit to catch a ball thrown over your head or shoulders. Doesnt mean he cant or doesnt use his hands. To the contrary he looks like he might have strong hands when competing for balls. Wonder how quick he is off the line (straightline speed not a problem obviously) and how he deals with the press. Lots of questions.

I think the WR signings have been positive. These guys are capable of contributing and bring other things to the table like STs and theyhave useful life left to their careers. I think that if we go Davis or Williams at 10 the Bills have the makings of a very, very good NFL receiving corps. Thing is you might more be planning for the future because of Tyrod. What good is a ferrari without a motor? I think they maybe go S instead if one of the two is still on the board when they pick.

The storyline isthat Bama did not know how to use him to advantage. With him the issue is not talent, its desire. Never had the intimidating demeanor of a Bama player. I don't care if he has All pro tools. You need the burning will to win to succeed at this level. If he does in fact have it the he is the best TE prospect in years and would not be a bad choice at all at 10 (though prolly not what I would do). If he doesnt have it, he will underform. There will be some top talent on the board at 10 so whatever direction they go we should get a very good player/prospect. As long as the Bills dont surprise everyone by outsmarting themselves. Has been known to happen. Remember Ngata.

Listenbee has a chance to turn into something IMO. Some say he might have gone in the 3rd had he not been injured. I think that may be a stretch but he would have gone higher. Some say he is a body catcher. I disagree. He can and does use his hands. Tracks the ball very well. He is a burner with a sturdy physique. Concern for me is a non-existent route tree, not sure if he can be quick enuf out of his breaks and I wonder why he does not get better separation on go routes with his wheels. Could be a function of his limited routes and opposition putting their fastest corner on him. Not really banking on him but I think he has a chance to contribute. Hope so. Time will tell.

WR at 10 is also my guess as most likely, esp if the S are gone. I've got this funny feeling that Whaley has a man crush on OJ Howard however even tho I feel we probably have enuf to work with at the position. Howard would be my "surprise" pick at 10.

I've only seen him play half dozen times or so but I was impressed with him. Agree about the flags but he is a red ass ballplayer on the field and I really like that competitive spirit. It may be two sides of the same coin but if he can grow up a bit shed the flags and keep the will to win he looks to me like a really good prospect. To me a fifth would be a very good risk/reward profile. I will be interested to see where he goes.

Well why do you say that and how can you be so sure.

Too fat to push away from the table I guess. When he goes camping the bears hide their food.

Agree completely with the Cotton Bowl comment. And thats why I am confident he will 1) adjust and 2) eventually dominate.

If we haven't already pulled the trigger on someone else I have a hard time passing on him if he is there in the fifth. Looks like a very talented QB to me. I don't care if he's a little crazy as long as he's not young Richie batsh*t crazy.