when does he have to decide? if the Falcons were to, say, trade Matt Ryan this offseason, I could see him staying in hopes that Atl has the #1 pick.
That said, Jacksonville is a MUCH better destination than NYJ. Jax has a #1 RB, and a good WR corp. NYJ's have none of that, one top of their general dysfunction.
I like the NHL one. That way it encourages teams not to tank, but your odds increase the worst you are. It helps teams (like the drought Bills) escape from their eternal 5-7 win seasons.