I'll change it a bit (in a "particular" order):
Genuine Contenders
Chiefs
Ravens
Bills
Bengals
Dolphins
Probably
Jaguars (not genuine contenders, but should win their division)
Pretenders (Battling for the last playoff spot)
Chargers
Browns
Steelers
Jets
Texans, Titans, etc. (there are 6 teams with 3 wins, so they will hang around mathematically, but none will not make it)
The Jets and Steelers really have no chance--their D's are good, but no O. The Browns have a great defense and inconsistent QB play, and they play in the most challenging division. The Chargers should get in, but they are the Chargers. It comes down to the Chargers and Browns and tie-breakers.