That's fair. As for AFC teams, until proven otherwise, KC is at the top; after them, I think the Bills, Bengals, and Ravens are the top challengers--in any order. Each has its warts, but all three are built to compete with anyone on any given day. After those three, the next tier includes the Dolphins, Texans, and maybe the Chargers and Jaguars. Then I see the Jets, Browns, Titans, or Steelers--any two of them rounding out the top ten.
It is still not a scientific or quantitative analysis. But purely (or un-purely?) by anecdotal, recent history bias (what have they done lately/), and just "gut feelings." That's the best I can offer.