Wow I read almost all the posts. Back to the OPs question. Despite most of the dislike for the President on this board, he's most likely going to be reelected. Why? Because historically incumbents most often do. In recent history it's understandable why Ford and Carter didn't and I think the Ross Perot had a lot to do with the first Bush (at least it would have been closer). Americans usually don't fire their President. If I were to bet it would be Obama.
My 2 cents...